Valoración de los bancos cotizados españoles tras la crisis = Valuation of the Spanish listed banks after the crisis

<p>Después del inicio de la crisis financiera, la cotización en bolsa de las principales entidades financieras españolas se vio enormemente reducida y se ha mantenido en niveles bajos desde entonces. Con el objetivo de determinar si el valor en bolsa se corresponde con el valor intrínseco, se aplican los modelos de descuento de dividendos y descuento de resultados anormales, y se estima el coste de capital según las circunstancias de cada entidad. Teniendo en cuenta los factores macroeconómicos y sectoriales más relevantes que inciden sobre el valor de estas entidades, los resultados indican que cinco de los seis bancos cotizarían ligeramente por debajo del valor estimado y uno de ellos ligeramente por encima. En cuanto a los costes de capital, nuestros resultados indican que se ven afectados de forma notable por el negocio internacional de las entidades.</p><p>After the financial crisis started, the market values of the main Spanish financial institutions suffered a sharp cut and their shares have traded at really low levels since then. Trying to determine whether their price corresponds to their intrinsic value, a valuation of these firms is done by applying the dividend discount model and the residual income model. A cost of capital for each institution is also estimated. Taking into account the most relevant macroeconomic and industrial factors affecting the banks’ value, our results indicate that five out of six banks would be slightly undervalued, and the other one is slightly overvalued. Concerning the cost of capital, our results suggest that it is markedly affected by the internationalization of the firms.</p>

A PROPOSED ARCHIVAL EMPIRICAL RESEARCH METHODOLOGY TO TEST RELIABITIY AND VALIDITY OF DISCOUNTED RESIDUAL INCOME MODEL

Kerlinger and Lee (2000) defines reliability as “the proportion of the ‘true’ variance to the total obtained variance of the data yielded by a measuring instrument” and content validity as “representativeness or sampling adequacy of the content—the substance, the matter, the topic of measuring instrument”. The goal of this research is to provide an empirical research method to quantify the reliability and validity of residual income model in the prediction of the value of equity (stock price), by proposing to compare all active U.S. firms from 1981 to 2005 traded in the NYSE and the AMEX (the time period and listed stocks are subject to change based upon the availability of data from different sources). JEL Classification Codes: G10, G17, M41, Z10.

Comparative study of Ohlson and cash flow discounting models in the prediction of the stock price

Two models derived from the dividend discount model attracted the attention of researchers: the residual income model (RIM) and the Ohlson model. These models are said to be dualistic since they combine both aspects of the economic and accounting vision. We propose, in our study, to test the performance of the dualistic evaluation model and to show the importance of accounting information. To do this, we will calculate the value of a listed company according to the actuarial valuation model, namely: the available cash flow discounting model (DCF) and the Ohlson model as a dualistic model. Then, we will determine, based on the expectation and the variance of the signed prediction error (SPE), the model that comes closest to the market price in the case of a Tunisian listed company. The results found in the Tunisian context show the superiority of the Ohlson model in the prediction of stock market prices. This model underlies the traditional belief that the company value is compounded of two main parts: the net value of the investment made in it (book value) and the present value of the period benefits (earnings) that together bring the “clean surplus” concept of the shareholders’ equity value. Specifically, Ohlson (1995) motivates the adoption of the historical price model in value relevance studies, which expresses value as a function of earnings and book values

Relative Versus Fundamental Valuation: An Empirical Study of US Biotechnology Firms Around the 2000 High-Tech Bubble

This study is related to the issue of whether the stock market reflects the fundamental value of high-tech firms around the 2000 high-tech bubble. We extend the literature on firm valuation by exploiting the conceptual difference between intrinsic and relative values. We apply the residual income model and valuation multiples to estimate these two values respectively and make a comparison for a sample of biotechnology firms. Under realistic assumptions, it seems that estimated fundamental values of these firms fail to be reflected by the stock market. Their market valuation is rather based on relative value for both periods before and after the fall of high-tech stocks.

Intellectual Capital and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from the Jakarta Islamic Index

Measurement of intellectual capital is fundamentally crucial for companies. It enables managers to allocate economic resources to improve knowledge assets in order to support a sustainable competitive advantage for the companies.This study presents a method of residual income model (RIM) to measure intellectual capital (IC). This method quantitatively assesses intellectual capital using knowledge-based view perspective. Purpose of the study is to examine the relationship of intellectual capital with company financial performance empirically. This study uses panel data regression with research objects listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index from 2014to 2017. The results of this study indicate that intellectual capital does not affect the company's financial performance

Market Efficiency and Fundamental Valuation. Evidence from the German Stock Exchange

The present paper tests whether the intrinsic value of firm, estimated with the residual income model (RIM), and the resulting value-to-price (V/P) ratio can explain the cross section of stocks returns. The study enhances the literature in the area of asset pricing by the introduction of a new intrinsic value risk factor in such a manner as to obtain a monotonic relation between risk and expected returns. Furthermore, we incorporate in the RIM, for the first time, a time series model that does not rely on analysts’ forecasts for the estimation of the key parameters of the model. A unique dataset from Germany is utilized, from 31/12/1989 to 30/6/2016, contributing by this way to the necessary accumulation of non-US research. The results show the existence for longer time periods of a V/P ratio effect that is persistent and cannot be explained by either the systematic risk, the size or the BE/ME ratio of the sample firms. The results of the regressions models indicated that the intrinsic value risk factor is positively related to stock returns and that it increases the explanatory power of the asset pricing models whenever it is explicitly included in them.