The Impact of Corporate Governance on the Cost of Equity for Russian Companies in the Ohlson Model

The purpose of this paper is to identify key indicators of corporate governance that affect the market value of Russian companies. To this end, we examine the possibility of modifying the Ohlson model of evaluating stock price dynamics in public companies, by adding corporate governance variables that may affect market value. The study consists of the following stages: the key points of the Ohlson economic model are described, empirical works that demonstrate corporate governance as a factor in assessing the value of companies are presented, and the significance of the modified Ohlson model for the Russian market is evaluated. The novelty of our methodology is represented in the prioritisation of our “other information” parameter, which is a combination of forecast analytical data and corporate governance indicators. Through analysis of panel data, we estimate differences in the predicted net profit indicator, calculated as the average of analyst forecasts for an individual company for a financial year, and the actual net profit. Corporate governance is represented by the percentage of board members holding professional certificates and licenses, the average term of board of directors members, the share of independent members on the board of directors, the share of independent members in the audit committee, the proportion of women on the board of directors, and the size of the board of directors. Our results indicate dependence of share prices on the dynamics of the book value of equity, abnormal profits, the share of board members holding professional qualifications, the difference between the actual net profit and the forecast net profit of companies, and the level of gender diversification in the board of directors. The results of our analysis of deviations in average stock prices are comparable to the findings of existing literature examining the markets of Europe, Latin America and Africa.

Comparative study of Ohlson and cash flow discounting models in the prediction of the stock price

Two models derived from the dividend discount model attracted the attention of researchers: the residual income model (RIM) and the Ohlson model. These models are said to be dualistic since they combine both aspects of the economic and accounting vision. We propose, in our study, to test the performance of the dualistic evaluation model and to show the importance of accounting information. To do this, we will calculate the value of a listed company according to the actuarial valuation model, namely: the available cash flow discounting model (DCF) and the Ohlson model as a dualistic model. Then, we will determine, based on the expectation and the variance of the signed prediction error (SPE), the model that comes closest to the market price in the case of a Tunisian listed company. The results found in the Tunisian context show the superiority of the Ohlson model in the prediction of stock market prices. This model underlies the traditional belief that the company value is compounded of two main parts: the net value of the investment made in it (book value) and the present value of the period benefits (earnings) that together bring the “clean surplus” concept of the shareholders’ equity value. Specifically, Ohlson (1995) motivates the adoption of the historical price model in value relevance studies, which expresses value as a function of earnings and book values

AUDIT COMMITTEE AND ACCOUNTING INFORMATION VALUE RELEVANCE

This paper describes the results of empirical research investigated the effect of audit committee characteristics (AC) on the accounting information value relevance (VR) for Indonesian companies in 2014 - 2018. VR is measured using the Ohlson Model, while AC is measured using its members and its independence members. By using data of 590 firm-years, this study found that the size of the committee audit and the AC independence positively affects the value relevance of EPS. Yet, the AC size affects negatively the BVS value relevance whereas the AC independence does not affect BVS value relevance. These results enrich the literature of value relevance, especially in connection to the AC characteristics.

Analysis of The Bankruptcy of Companies with Altman Model and Ohlson Model

Often companies that have been operating for a certain period forced to disperse because of increased financial distress that caused bankruptcy. There are two models that can be used to predict bankruptcy of companies, that is Altman model (Z-score) and Ohlson model. This study aims to determine the accuracy of the Altman model (Z-Score) and Ohlson's model in predicting bankruptcy of delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period.The population in this study were all of delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period, totaled 17 companies. The number of samples used in this study were 8 companies, by using purposive sampling method. Data analysis used data processing application SPSS version 25. The results showed that accuracy of the Altman model is 58.3%, while the Ohlson model is 79.2%. The conclusion of this research Ohlson model has the highest accuracy that compared to Altman model in predicting bankruptcy at delisting companies in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015-2019 period, with accuracy values of Ohlson model is 79.2% and 58.3% for the Altman model. For further researchers, it is expected to increase the number of samples of companies studied and extend the research periods in order to provides more accurate results, and combining the Altman and Ohlson models with other bankruptcy prediction models that can be applied in companies in Indonesia.

Insolvency analysis of the food manufacturing industry in Cuenca

The risk of insolvency is related to failure or business closure, for this reason the analysis and management of this type of risk is important. The insolvency risk was applied to the food manufacturing industry in Cuenca in the period 2013-2017, which allowed to determine the bankruptcy risk existing in the companies analyzed, as well as trends of the indicator in relation to the business size. Two models were applied: the business insolvency prediction model of Altman and the logistic model using the maximum likelihood method proposed by Ohlson. Altman’s model showed that companies in the 5 years analyzed are in “Safe Zone” (3,187 points in 2013 and 3,448 in 2017). Similarly, the Ohlson model, showed that in 2013 there was a 20,7% risk of insolvency in the sector, compared to 17,7% in 2017. The results of the analysis indicate that insolvency risk shows a decreasing trend in the analyzed period, which take us to the conclusion that the sector is financially healthy. However, due to the current changing environment and the internal operative management, it is very likely that the values suffer changes. Analyzing the risk of insolvency is fundamental for companies, considering that it will allow them to know the level of bankruptcy risk they have, and based on this, take measures to reduce the risk. Key words: Altman model; food sector in Cuenca; insolvency risk; Ohlson model.

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ALTMAN Z-SCORE, SPRINGATE, ZMIJEWSKI AND OHLSON MODELS IN PREDICTING FINANCIAL DISTRESS

This study aims to determine: (1) whether there is a difference between the Altman model, the Springate model, the Zmijewski model, and the Ohlson model in predicting financial distress. (2) the most accurate prediction model in predicting financial pain on a pharmaceutical company listed in IDX. The type of research is comparative descriptive. The sampling method used purposive sampling with 45 data from 9 pharmaceutical companies listed in IDX. Dependent and Independent variable is measured by ratio scale. Data analysis was performed by descriptive analysis, normality test, and paired sample t-test using SPSS program. Based on the result of these study indicate that : (1) There is a significant difference between the Altman model, the Springate model, the Zmijewski model, and Ohlson model in predicting financial distress, (2) The Altman model is the most accurate prediction model in predicting financial distress. KEYWORDS: Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, Ohlson, Financial Distress

RELEVANSI NILAI DAN KEMUNGKINAN DETERIORASI: KAJIAN LITERATUR SISTEMATIK

The paper presents the review of the value relevance literatures used Ohlson model (1995). The popularity of value relevance topic nowadays is principally driven by the adoption IFRS which changed how companies measure its income and assets. Although this topic is still in debate whether it useful or not, this paper tried to conclude a summary from many prior value relevance researches. First, I seek to review some of the significant literature on value relevance during 2009-2019. The emphasis is on results and empirical contributions relating incremental value relevance. The second part of this paper is discussion about eight different studies from more than 10 countries about evidence of value relevance phenomenon in their setting. This paper finds that the concept of value relevance really exists in many countries but it is deteriorating / declining over the period. Further research could test other information to prevent this deterioration of value relevance such as future prospect attributes rather than historical information only

Ohlson Model-Based Valuation of Companies in European Emerging Markets

This article examines the Ohlson model as an alternative way to explain the dynamics of public companies’ market quotations in emerging countries of Europe. In general, Ohlson model is an econometric model that takes into account companies’ financial statements and parameter of “other” information. The purpose of this study is to conduct a comparative analysis of the ability of Ohlson model to estimate the value of companies in emerging markets of Europe. The scientific novelty lies in the following fact: this paper is the first empirical research that simultaneously tests the significance of Ohlson model in emerging countries of Europe. Panel data analysis for seven consecutive years demonstrates the significance of Ohlson model for the whole region of emerging European economies and for markets of Poland and Russia. The results obtained are comparable to findings of the authors who have examined the emerging markets of Latin America and Asia.

Pengaruh Corporate Governance dalam Memprediksi Biaya Ekuitas dengan Pendekatan Model Ohlson

Cost of equity a concept of cost in determining the real cost that must be borne by the company to obtain funds from a source or use of capital from each source of funds, then determine the average cost of capital of all funds used by the company. The method used in the measurement of equity costs is the Ohlson model. Research objectives to prove empirically the Effect of Corporate Governance in Predicting Equity Costs with the Ohlson Model Approach. Research population of manufacturing companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample used using porposive sampling techniques amounted to 30 companies. The analysis method used uses a panel regression model. Based on the test results, it is empirically proven that (1) Family Ownership does not affect the cost of Equity, (2) Institutional Ownership negatively affects the cost of equity, (3) The Independent Board of Commissioners does not affect the cost of equity. الملخص: تكلفة الأسهم هي مفهوم التكلفة في تحديد مقدار التكاليف الحقيقية التي يجب أن تتحملها الشركة للحصول على أموال من مصدر أو استخدام رأس المال من كل مصدر للأموال، ثم تحديد متوسط تكلفة رأس المال (متوسط تكلفة رأس المال) لجميع الصناديق المستخدمة من قبل الشركة. الطريقة المستخدمة في قياس تكاليف الأسهم هي نموذج أولسون. الهدف من هذه الدراسة هو إثبات ملكية الأسرة بشكل تجريبي، والملكية المؤسسية، ومجلس مفوضين مستقلين حول تكلفة الأسهم. البحوث السكانية لهذا البحث شركات في بورصة إندونيسيا. كانت العينة المستخدمة تقنية أخذ عينات هادفة بلغ مجموعها 30 شركة. الطريقة التحليلية المستخدمة هي نموذج انحدار اللوحة. بناءً على نتائج الاختبار، تثبت بشكل تجريبي أن (1) ملكية الأسرة ليس لها أي تأثير على تكلفة الأسهم، (2) الملكية المؤسسية لها تأثير سلبي على تكلفة الأسهم، (3) مجلس المفوضين المستقلين ليس له أي تأثير على تكلفة حقوق الملكية. Abstrak: Biaya ekuitas sebuah Konsep biaya dalam menentukan besarnya biaya secara riil yang harus ditanggung oleh perusahaan untuk memperoleh dana dari suatu sumber atau penggunaan modal dari masing-masing sumber dana, untuk kemudian menentukan biaya modal rata-rata (average cost of capital) dari keseluruhan dana yang dipergunakan perusahaan. Metode yang digunakan didalam pengukuran biaya ekuitas adalah model Ohlson. Tujuan penelitian untuk membuktikan secara empiris Kepemilikan Keluarga, Kepemiikan Institusional, dan Dewan Komisaris Independen Terhadap Biaya Ekuitas. Populasi penelitian perusahaan manufaktur di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Sampel yang digunakan mengunakan teknik porposive sampling berjumlah 30 perusahaan. Metode Analisis yang digunakan menggunakan model regresi panel. Berdasrkan hasil pengujian membuktikan secara empiris bahwa (1) Kepemilikan Keluarga tidak berpengaruh terhadap biaya Ekuitas, (2) Kepemilikan Institusional berpengaruh negatif terhadap biaya ekuitas, (3) Dewan Komisaris Independen tidak berpengaruh terhadap biaya ekuitas.