South American climatic response to changes in the tropical South Atlantic Ocean hydrography during Termination 1

<p>Rapid climatic reorganizations during the last Termination (i.e. Heinrich Stadials 0-1) had major impacts on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength and on global atmospheric circulation patterns. However, if and how this high-latitude forcing affected low-latitude climate variability is still poorly constrained. Here we present a high-resolution multi-proxy record from marine sediment core M125-3-35 recovered in the western tropical South Atlantic combining foraminiferal Mg/Ca, Ba/Ca ratios, stable oxygen isotope measurements and organic biomarker-based sea surface temperature (SST) proxies (TEX86 and UK’37). The near-shore core position of M125-3-35 off the Paraíba do Sul river mouth in southeastern Brazil and the means of foraminiferal Ba/Ca ratios, which depends on the quantity of continental freshwater input, enables us to investigate direct coupling of continental hydroclimate and oceanographic changes.</p><p>The data show a complex interplay of oceanic and atmospheric forcing dominating the tropical South American climate, which is mainly controlled by the strength and position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ). During times of weakest AMOC in Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1) , a distinct SST peak in the tropical South Atlantic points to an enhanced Brazil Current and strong recirculation of heat within the southern hemisphere. Further, wet conditions prevailed during this time in tropical South America caused by a maximum southward shift of the ITCZ. This happened in coincidence with a temperature drop and weakening of the North Brazil Current (NBC) in the tropical North Atlantic (Bahr et al., 2018) as result of maximum AMOC slowdown. Therefore, for the first time, we reveal a clear seesaw-like pattern of the NBC and BC during times of abrupt AMOC variability.</p><p>While HS1 is generally characterized by a warm and wet anomaly in our record, Ba/Ca ratios and SST show a distinct centennial-scale alternation between warmer (colder) and wetter (drier) phases indicating a distinct climate instability during this climatic phase. A distinct offset exists between SST reconstructed using Mg/Ca, TEX86, and UK’37 which points to strong seasonal differences in the oceanographic settings and/or changes in the terrestrial input from the south American continent. These findings illustrate the strong sensitivity of hydroclimate variability in tropical South America to oceanic forcing as expected also during future climate change, in line with recent studies that showed a severe impact on modern South American climate by changes in (tropical) South Atlantic SSTs (Rodrigues et al., 2019, Utida et al., 2018).</p><p> </p><p>Bahr, A., Hoffmann, J., Schönfeld, J., Schmidt, M. W., Nürnberg, D., Batenburg, S. J., & Voigt, S. (2018). Low-latitude expressions of high-latitude forcing during Heinrich Stadial 1 and the Younger Dryas in northern South America. <em>Global and Planetary Change, 160</em>, 1-9.</p><p>Rodrigues, R. R., Taschetto, A. S., Gupta, A. S., & Foltz, G. R. (2019). Common cause for severe droughts in South America and marine heatwaves in the South Atlantic. <em>Nature Geoscience, 12</em>(8), 620-626.</p><p>UTIDA, Giselle, et al. Tropical South Atlantic influence on Northeastern Brazil precipitation and ITCZ displacement during the past 2300 years. <em>Scientific reports</em>, 2019, 9. Jg., Nr. 1, S. 1698.</p>

South American Climate during the Early Eocene: Impact of a Narrower Atlantic and Higher Atmospheric CO2

The Cenozoic climate of tropical South America was fundamental to the development of its biota, the most biodiverse on Earth. No previous studies have explicitly addressed how the very different atmospheric composition and Atlantic geometry during the early Eocene (approximately 55 million years ago) may have affected South American climate. At that time, the Atlantic Ocean was approximately half of its current width and the CO2 concentration of Earth’s atmosphere ranged from ~550 to ~1500 ppm or even higher. Climate model simulations were performed to examine the effects of these major state changes on the climate of tropical South America. Reducing the width of the Atlantic by approximately half produces significant drying relative to modern climate. Drying is only partly offset by an enhancement of precipitation due to the higher CO2 of the early Eocene. The main mechanism for drier conditions is simple. Low-level air crosses the tropical Atlantic from North Africa in much less time for a narrower Atlantic (2 days) than for the modern Atlantic (~6 days); as a result, much less water is evaporated into the air and thus there is far lower moisture imported to the continent in the Eocene simulation than in the modern control. The progressive wetting (during the mid- to late Cenozoic) of the Amazon due to the widening Atlantic and the rising Andes, only partly offset by decreasing CO2 values, may have been partly responsible for the accumulating biodiversity of this region.

South Pacific Subtropical High from the late Holocene to the end of the 21st century: insights from climate proxies and general circulation models

The South Pacific Subtropical High (SPSH) is a predominant feature of the South American climate. The variability of this high-pressure center induces changes in the intensity of coastal alongshore winds and precipitation, among others, over southwestern South America. In recent decades, strengthening and expansion of the SPSH have been observed and attributed to the current global warming. These changes have led to an intensification of the southerly winds along the coast of northern to central Chile and a decrease in precipitation from central to southern Chile. Motivated by improving our understanding about the regional impacts of climate change in this part of the Southern Hemisphere, we analyzed SPSH changes during the two most extreme climate events of the last millennium, the Little Ice Age (LIA) and the Current Warm Period (CWP: 1970–2000), based on paleoclimate records and CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. In order to assess the level of agreement of general circulation models, we also compare them with ERA-Interim reanalysis data for the 1979–2009 period as a complementary analysis. Finally, with the aim of evaluating future SPSH behavior, we include 21st century projections under a Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP8.5) scenario in our analyses. Our results indicate that during the relative warm (cold) period, the SPSH expands (contracts). Together with this change, alongshore winds intensify (weaken) south (north) of ∼35∘ S; also, southern westerly winds become stronger (weaker) and shift southward (northward). Model results generally underestimate reanalysis data. These changes are in good agreement with paleoclimate records, which suggest that these variations could be related to tropical climate dynamics but also to extratropical phenomena. However, although models adequately represent most of the South American climate changes, they fail to represent the Intertropical Convergence Zone–Hadley cell system dynamics, emphasizing the importance of improving tropical system dynamics in simulations for a better understanding of its effects on South America. Climate model projections indicate that changes recently observed will continue during the next decades, highlighting the need to establish effective mitigation and adaptation strategies against their environmental and socioeconomic impacts.

South Pacific Subtropical High from the late Holocene to the end of the 21st century: insights from climate proxies and general circulation models

The South Pacific Subtropical High (SPSH) is a predominant feature of South American climate. The variability of this high-pressure center induces changes in the intensity of coastal alongshore winds and precipitation, among others, over southwestern South America. In recent decades, a strengthening and expansion of the SPSH have been observed and attributed to the current global warming. These changes have led an intensification of the southerly winds along the coast of northern to central Chile, and a decrease in precipitation from central to southern Chile. Motivated by improving our understanding about the regional impacts of climate change in this part of the Southern Hemisphere, we analyze SPSH changes during the two most extreme climate events of the last millennium: the Little Ice Age (LIA) and the Current Warm Period (CWP: 1970–2000), based on paleoclimate records and CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. In order to assess the level of agreement of general circulation models, we also compare them with ERA-Interim reanalysis data for the 1979–2009 period as a complementary analysis. Finally, with the aim of evaluating future SPSH behaviour, we include 21th century projections under a RCP8.5 scenario in our analyses. Our results indicate that during the relative warm (cold) period, the SPSH expands (contracts). Together with this change, alongshore winds intensify (weaken) south (north) of ~ 35º S; also, Southern Westerly Winds become stronger (weaker) and shift southward (northward). Model results generally underestimate reanalysis data. These changes are in good agreement with paleoclimate records, which suggest that these variations could be related to tropical climate dynamics but also to extratropical phenomena. However, although models adequately represent most of the South American climate changes, they fail in representing the Intertropical Convergence Zone - Hadley Cell system dynamics. Climate model projections indicate that changes recently observed will continue during next decades, highlighting the need to establish effective mitigation and adaptation strategies against their environmental and socio-economic impacts.