maximal entropy method
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Symmetry ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Zhou ◽  
Xiyun Qin ◽  
Xiaozhe Zhao

Due to poor natural factors and human interference, the information that was obtained by sensors tends to have high uncertainty and high conflict with others. A combination of highly conflicting evidence with Dempster’s rule often produces results that run counter to intuition. To solve the above problem, a conflict evidence combination methodology is proposed in this article, which contains the distance of evidence, classical conflict coefficient, and two-tuple IOWA operator. Both the classical conflict coefficient and Jousselme distance indicate the degree of evidence conflict, and it is clear that the two parameters are symmetrical. First, the two-tuple IOWA operator is proposed. Second, the orness is determined by aggregated data; then, the weighting vector is calculated by a maximal entropy method. Finally, the weighted average is the evidence in the system by a two-tuple IOWA operator; then, the Dempster combination rule is utilized to fuse information. Compared with other existing methods, the presented methodology has high performance when dealing with conflict evidence and has strong anti-interference ability.


Author(s):  
L. A. Solntsev ◽  
V. M. Dubyansky

Aim. Zoning of the territory of Nizhny Novgorod region by risk of HFRS infection using Maxent method. Materials and methods. Data from Centre of Hygiene and Epidemiology in Nizhny Novgorod region for each case of the HFRS for 2010 - 2016, data on environment (Bioclim), data on vegetation activity (MODIS) were used. ArcGIS 10.2.2 and Maxent 3.3.3k packages were used. Results. Model for evaluation of potential risk of HFRS in Nizhny Novgorod was developed and validated. Conclusion. The data obtained do not contradict the observed spatial localization of the cases of HFRS infection (prediction accuracy over 75%), detected connection between spatial localization of HFRS cases and combination of environment factors and allow to predict changes in borders of potentially dangerous segments after environmental changes.


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