Stochastic model predictive control for driver assistance control of intelligent vehicles considering uncertain driving environment

Advanced driver assistance control faces great challenges in cooperating with the nearby vehicles. The assistance controller of an intelligent vehicle has to provide control efforts properly to prevent possible collisions without interfering with the drivers. This paper proposes a novel driver assistance control method for intelligent ground vehicles to cooperate with the nearby vehicles, using the stochastic model predictive control algorithm. The assistance controller is designed to correct the drivers’ steering maneuvers when there is a risk of possible collisions, so that the drivers are not interfered. To enhance the cooperation between the vehicles, the nearby vehicle motion is predicted and included in the assistance controller design. The position uncertainties of the nearby vehicle are considered by the stochastic model predictive control approach via chance constraints. Simulation studies are conducted to validate the proposed control method. The results show that the assistance controller can help the drivers avoid possible collisions with the nearby vehicles and the driving safety can be guaranteed.

Two-Stage Energy Management for Energy Storage System by Using Stochastic Model Predictive Control Approach

There is a growing tendency for industrial consumers to invest in both photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage systems (ESSs) to meet their electricity requirements. However, the uncertainty of load demand and PV output brings great challenges for ESS operation. In this paper, a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) approach-based energy management strategy for ESSs is proposed. A non-parametric probabilistic prediction method embedded in time series correlation is adopted to describe the uncertainty of load demand and PV output. Then, a two-stage energy management model is proposed aiming at minimizing the total operation cost. The upper stage can generate an hourly operation strategy for ESSs, while the lower stage focuses on a more detailed minute-level operation strategy. The hourly operation strategy is also used as a basis to guide the ESS operation in the lower stage. Besides, a chance constraint was introduced to achieve a win–win solution between PV power consumption and electricity tariff, while the terminal value constraint of the capacity of ESSs to better cope with the uncertainty beyond the prediction time window. Finally, the numerical results showed that the proposed method can achieve an effective ESS energy management strategy.

Stochastic Model-Predictive Control with Uncertainty Estimation for Autonomous Driving at Uncontrolled Intersections

This paper presents an uncontrolled intersection-passing algorithm with an integrated approach of stochastic model-predictive control and prediction uncertainty estimation for autonomous vehicles. The proposed algorithm is designed to utilize information from sensors mounted on the autonomous vehicle and high-definition intersection maps. The proposed algorithm is composed of two modules, namely target state prediction and a motion planner. The target state prediction module has predicted the future behavior of intersection-approaching vehicles based on human driving data. The recursive covariance estimator has been utilized to estimate the prediction uncertainty for each approaching vehicle. The desired driving mode has been determined based on the uncontrolled intersection theory. The estimated prediction uncertainty has been used to define the probability distribution of the stochastic model-predictive controller to cope with time-varying uncertainty characteristics of the perception algorithm. The constrained stochastic model-predictive controller based on safety indexes has determined the desired longitudinal acceleration. The proposed robust intersection-passing algorithm has been evaluated via computer simulation based on Monte Carlo simulation with a sensor model. The simulation results showed that the proposed algorithm guarantees the minimum safety constraints and improves the ride comfort at uncontrolled intersections by estimating the uncertainty of sensors and prediction.

Stochastic model predictive control framework for resilient cyber-physical systems: review and perspectives

In the era of Industrial 4.0, the next-generation control system regards the cyber-physical system (CPS) as the core ingredient thanks to the comprehensive integration of physical systems, online computation, networking and control. A reliable, stable and resilient CPS should pledge robustness and safety. A significant concern in CPS development arises from security issues since the CPS is vulnerable to physical constraints, ubiquitous uncertainties and malicious cyber attacks. The integration of the stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework and the resilient mechanism is a possible approach to guarantee robustness in the presence of stochastic uncertainties and enable resilience against cyber attacks. This review paper aims to offer a detailed overview of existing stochastic MPC algorithms and their CPS applications. More specifically, we first review existing stochastic MPC algorithms for both linear and nonlinear systems subject to probabilistic constraints. We then discuss how to extend the stochastic MPC framework to incorporate resilience mechanisms for constrained CPS under various malicious attacks. Finally, we present an architectural stochastic MPC-based framework for resilient CPS and identify future research challenges. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Towards symbiotic autonomous systems’.