Increased incidence of second primary malignancy in patients with malignant astrocytoma: a population-based study

We identified patients diagnosed with malignant astrocytoma (MA) as the first of two or more primary malignancies between 1973 and 2015 from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Multiple primaries-standardized incidence ratio (MP-SIR) was calculated to quantitate the risk of second primary malignancy (SPM). We further identified the risk factors of developing SPM and factors affecting overall survival (OS) in MA patients with SPM. Our results revealed that overall risk of SPM among MA patients was significantly higher than that in general population (SIR: 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1–1.18, P<0.05). Specific sites where the risk of SPM increased included salivary gland, bone and joints, soft tissue including heart, brain, cranial nerves other nervous system, thyroid, acute non-lymphocytic leukemia and acute myeloid leukemia. Overall risk of SPM in patients aged ≤29 and 30–59 years significantly increased (4.34- and 1.41-fold respectively). Whereas patients aged ≥60 years had a significantly decreased risk of SPM. Patients in the group of latency at 36–59, 60–119 and ≥120 months carried significantly increased overall risk of SPM. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, race, marital status, WHO grade, differentiated grade of cancer tissues, latency was independent predictor of OS in MA patients with SPM, which were all selected into the nomogram. The calibration curve for probability of survival showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation. In conclusion, MA survivors should be advised of their increased risk for developing certain cancers in their lifetime. Our study had clinical implications for the surveillance of MA survivors at risk of developing SPM.