scholarly journals Contribution of Agricultural Investments to Stabilizing International Rice Price Volatility under Climate Change

2016 ◽  
Vol 50 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuji KOIZUMI ◽  
Hideki KANAMARU
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
Agricultural Investments

scholarly journals How far climate change affects the Indonesian paddy production and rice price volatility?

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Sari Busnita, Rina Oktaviani, Tanti Novianti
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Security Issue ◽  
Price Fluctuation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
The Impact

Food security issue after 2008 global-crisis is something relate with the climate change phenomenon which had worsened on the last few decades. The impact of global climate change can be seen from the fluctuation of main crops production yield in tropical countries. This has affected the food price fluctuations particularly on the grain price, both international and domestic markets. The rice-commodity, known for its thin market characteristics, is now also experiencing the fluctuation of production, its productivity and also the rice price. Considering the importance of rice as the main staple food in Indonesia, the purpose of this research is to identify the Indonesia’s rice price fluctuation (volatility) and to investigate how far climate change affects the Indonesian paddy production and rice price volatility. By applying monthly time-series data from 2007 to 2014, this research used ARCH-GARCH methods to find out the rice price volatility and VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) to investigate the impact of climate change phenomenon on the Indonesian paddy production, as well as rice price volatility both in the short-run and long-run. The result is important for the stakeholders and government in preventing the risk and uncertainty condition of paddy production and rice price fluctuation caused by climate change

scholarly journals Global economy interacts with climate change to jeopardize species conservation: the case of the greater flamingo in the Mediterranean and West Africa

2011 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-3 ◽  
Author(s):  
ARNAUD BÉCHET ◽  
MANUEL RENDÓN-MARTOS ◽  
MIGUEL ÁNGEL RENDÓN ◽  
JUAN AGUILAR AMAT ◽  
ALAN R. JOHNSON ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Species Conservation ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Anthropogenic Habitats ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Use

The conservation of many species depends on sustainable economic activities that shape their habitats. The economic use of these anthropogenic habitats may change quickly owing to world trade globalization, market reorientations, price volatility or shifts in subsidy policies. The recent financial crisis has produced a global impact on the world economy. How this may have affected the use of habitats beneficial to biodiversity has not yet been documented. However, consequences could be particularly acute for species sensitive to climate change, jeopardizing long-term conservation efforts.

Forecasting Models Based on Data Analytics for Predicting Rice Price Volatility: A Case Study of the Sri Lankan Rice Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 1950006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chanchala Hathurusingha ◽  
Neda Abdelhamid ◽  
David Airehrour
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Price Variation ◽  
Rice Market ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Viable Mechanism

Paddy rice is a staple food that is common among the Sri Lankan populace. However, the frequent price variation of rice has negatively impacted the Sri Lankan economy. This is due to the Sri Lankan rice market lacking the mechanisms to evaluate and predict future rice price variations, often leaving domestic traders and consumers affected by sudden price spikes. This study identifies the quantifiable economic factors that affect the sudden rice price variations and presents a viable mechanism for forecasting Domestic Rice Price (DRP). In addition, it establishes three different regression models to emphasise the relationship of DRP in Sri Lanka with three economic factors: International Rice Price (IRP), International Crude Oil Price (ICOP), and USD Exchange Rate. Further, a time series model is formulated to forecast future variations in DRP while advancing factors that have a significant, but negative, correlative impact on the DRP. The results presented in this study show that the models proposed can be used by relevant food authorities to predict sudden hikes and dips in DRP, allowing them to establish a robust price control system.

scholarly journals INTEGRASI PASAR BERAS INDONESIA DENGAN PASAR BERAS INTERNASIONAL

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-103
Author(s):  
Catur Sugiyanto ◽  
Soetatwo Hadiwigeno
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
International Market ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
World Food ◽  
Food Crisis ◽  
Rice Market ◽  
The World ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
Production Pattern

The food crisis that was triggered by climate change has swept the world lately. Climate change is affecting the pattern of the world that led to changes in the pattern of agricultural production as well. Changes in the pattern of production results in world food production schedule was delayed, and along with these changes, many countries export so that world food prices increase. Rising world food prices starting from US and then spread in the other parts of the world, including Indonesia. However, it is unknown how big relatedness of International food prices changes with food prices in Indonesia. This paper aims to analyze the connectedness between domestic rice market with international market, how long shock in international rice impact on the domestic market and to analyze interlinkage in domestic primary rice market.  Using data rice price in indonesia and international rice price of FAO, writer found that market rice integrated both in domestic and foreign, so the fluctuations in both markets would affect each other Keywords:  Food Crisis, Production Pattern,  Domestic and International Market Integration

scholarly journals RICE PRICE VOLATILITY IN EAST JAVA

2017 ◽  
Vol 69 (9) ◽  
pp. 253-261
Author(s):  
R.Y.E. Wati ◽  
R. Anindita ◽  
B. Setiawan
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Rice Price

Rice price volatility: Sustainable policies in Asia and Europe

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 251-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Bruna Zolin ◽  
Bernadette Andreosso-O'Callaghan
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Rice Price

scholarly journals Differences in Local Rice Price Volatility, Climate, and Macroeconomic Determinants in the Indonesian Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4465
Author(s):  
Agie Wandala Putra ◽  
Jatna Supriatna ◽  
Raldi Hendro Koestoer ◽  
Tri Edhi Budhi Soesilo
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Climate Dynamics ◽  
Local Market ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Controllable Factors ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
Rice Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

Rice is a staple food in most Asian countries, and food security is often viewed as having a rice supply to avoid a food crisis. The large number of people who have low incomes means there is a risk of household economic conditions being threatened when food prices are not controlled. We present a different approach by measuring rice price volatility at the local market level with climate and macroeconomic variables. The model succeeds in representing the variables that affect rice prices by an average of 75% nationally. The influence of macroeconomic variables and climate dynamics was found to have a non-uniform pattern from one region to another. The factors that dominate the volatility of rice prices in each province were different. To help address these problems, it is suggested to model and integrate climate data and macroeconomic variables. The output can be used to determine national policies for controllable factors and anticipate climate dynamics to reduce the risk that communities will have difficulty accessing food.

scholarly journals INTEGRASI PASAR BERAS INDONESIA DENGAN PASAR BERAS INTERNASIONAL

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-103
Author(s):  
Catur Sugiyanto ◽  
Soetatwo Hadiwigeno
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
International Market ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
World Food ◽  
Food Crisis ◽  
Rice Market ◽  
The World ◽  
Rice Price ◽  
Production Pattern

The food crisis that was triggered by climate change has swept the world lately. Climate change is affecting the pattern of the world that led to changes in the pattern of agricultural production as well. Changes in the pattern of production results in world food production schedule was delayed, and along with these changes, many countries export so that world food prices increase. Rising world food prices starting from US and then spread in the other parts of the world, including Indonesia. However, it is unknown how big relatedness of International food prices changes with food prices in Indonesia. This paper aims to analyze the connectedness between domestic rice market with international market, how long shock in international rice impact on the domestic market and to analyze interlinkage in domestic primary rice market.  Using data rice price in indonesia and international rice price of FAO, writer found that market rice integrated both in domestic and foreign, so the fluctuations in both markets would affect each other Keywords:  Food Crisis, Production Pattern,  Domestic and International Market Integration

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