scholarly journals Sources of Economic Growth in Kyrgyzstan

Author(s):  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis is an analytical technique of economic analysis and used to examine the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sectors. At the same time, this technique is the useful tool for macroeconomic analysis, which identifies inter-sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, two input-output tables for the years 2005 and 2014 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. In addition, the study investigates the source of production increase that occurred in producing sectors. Within this framework, the results obtained for aggregated main eight sectors and the whole economy will give insight for the efficiency of macroeconomic policies, which implemented in Kyrgyzstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute for the more rational economic policy.

Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis reflects the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sector in a country's economy and widely applied as an analytical technique of economic analysis in both developed and developing countries. At the same time, this technique is the macroeconomic analysis tool for identifying sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, input-output tables for Kyrgyzstan for the period of 2005-2013 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period was calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. Also, the study investigates the source of production increase occurred in any economic production sectors. Within this framework, the results will be obtained for aggregated main 8 sectors and whole the economy. Admittedly, the results will give insight into the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies implemented in Kyrgyzstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute to the creation of a more rational economic policy.


Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis reflects the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sector in a country's economy and widely applied as an analytical technique of economic analysis in both developed and developing countries. At the same time, this technique is the macroeconomic analysis tool for identifying sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, input-output tables for Kazakhstan for the period of 2006-2013 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period was calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. Also, the study investigates the source of production increase occurred in any economic production sectors. Within this framework, the results will be obtained for aggregated main 8 sectors and whole the economy. Admittedly, the results will give insight into the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies implemented in Kazakhstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute to the creation of a more rational economic policy.


Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Zamira Oskonbaeva ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

Input-output analysis is an analytical technique widely used both in developed and developing countries which reflects the production consumption relationships of production sectors of a country’s economy. At the same time it is the macroeconomic analysis tool that defines economic relations of each sector by production and consumption. During the process of globalization all developed and developing country economies are trying to open their economies in order to provide their economic development. However, the openness can lead to negative consequences in some countries such as increasing their external dependence. In this paper it is aimed to investigate the structure of foreign trade of Kazakhstan and to measure the external dependence of economy. For this purpose, with the help of input-output tables prepared for the period of 2006-2009, the inverse import matrix will be calculated by using coefficients of foreign trade flows, consequently the import quantities necessary to meet final demand and their changes during the period will be examined. According to the results obtained the potential impact of Kazakhstan’s foreign trade structure on both Kyrgyzstan and other Central Asian Turkish Republics will be discussed.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 110
Author(s):  
Tajerin Tajerin

Kajian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui sumber-sumber pertumbuhan output perikanan dan perubahannya yang terjadi selama periode analisis. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder dari Tabel Input Output Tahun 1990, 1995 dan 2000 yang disusun oleh Badan Pusat Statistik. Analisis data dilakukan menggunakan kerangka model input-output dengan pendekatan dekomposisi faktor. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa pada periode 1990-1995, pertumbuhan output perikanan primer dan perikanan sekunder didominasi sumber perubahan permintaan akhir domestik, sedangkan pada periode 1995-2000 didominasi sumber perluasan ekspor. Berdasarkan kontribusi terhadap sumber pertumbuhan output total, diketahui bahwa selama periode analisis (1990-2000) belum terjadi (tengah berlangsung) perubahan struktur dari perekonomian yang didominasi kelompok perikanan primer kepada kelompok perikanan sekundernya. Untuk meningkatkan kinerja pertumbuhan output perikanan primer dan perikanan sekunder terkait dengan perubahan strukturnya, diperlukan dukungan penguasaan terknologi yang lebih maju dan lebih mendorong perluasan ekspor bersamaan dengan upaya meningkatkan substitusi impor. Tittle: Sources of Fisheries Output Growth in the Indonesian Economy During 1990-2000 : And Input-Output Analysis Approach Using the Decomposition Factor Method.This study was primarily aimed to find out the sources of fisheries' output growth and changes occured to this sector during the analyzed period. Secondary data used in this research were derived from the 1990, 1995 and 2000 I-O tables composed by Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS). Analysis I-O model framework with factor decomposition approach. Results of the study indicated that during the 1990 – 1995 period, both primary and secondary fisheries' output were dominated by changes in the final demand, while during the 1995 – 2000 period, it was dominated by export expansion. Based on its contribution towards total output growth, during the analysis period (1990 - 2000), fisheries sector had not been experiencing structural changes from a primary-fisheries-dominated economy to secondary-fisheries-dominatedeconomy. In order to increase t output growth related to the structural changes, more advanced technologies, support for more export expansion balanced by the efforts to promote import substitution are required. 


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Tajerin Tajerin

Kajian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui sumber-sumber pertumbuhan output perikanan danperubahannya yang terjadi selama periode analisis. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder dari Tabel Input Output Tahun 1990, 1995 dan 2000 yang disusun oleh Badan Pusat Statistik. Analisis data dilakukan menggunakan kerangka model input-output dengan pendekatan dekomposisi faktor. Hasil kajian menunjukkan bahwa pada periode 1990-1995, pertumbuhan output perikanan primer dan perikanan sekunder didominasi sumber perubahan permintaan akhir domestik, sedangkan pada periode 1995-2000 didominasi sumber perluasan ekspor. Sedangkan berdasarkan kontribusinya terhadap sumber pertumbuhan output total, diketahui bahwa selama periode analisis (1990-2000) belum terjadi (tengah berlangsung) perubahan struktur dari perekonomian yang didominasi kelompok perikanan primer kepada kelompok perikanan sekundernya. Untuk meningkatkan kinerja pertumbuhan output perikanan primer dan perikanan sekunder terkait dengan perubahan strukturnya, diperlukan dukungan penguasaan terknologi yang lebih maju dan lebih mendorong perluasan ekspor bersamaan dengan upaya meningkatkan substitusi impor. Tittle: Sources of Fisheries Output Growth in the Indonesian Economy During 1990-2000 : An Input Output Analysis Approach using the Factor Decomposition Method.This study was primarily aimed to find out the sources of fisheries' output growth and changes happened to this sector during the analyzed period. The secondary data used in this research were derived from the 1990, 1995 and 2000 I-O tables composed by CBS (Central Bureau Statistics). The Analysis was done under I-O model framework with factor decomposition approach. The study indicated that during the 1990 – 1995 period, both primary and secondary fisheries' output were dominated by changes in the final demand, while during the 1995 – 2000 period, it was dominated by export expansion. Based on its contributions towards total output growth, during the analysis period (1990 - 2000), fisheries sector had not experienced the much-expected structural changes from a primary-fisheries-dominated economy to a secondary-fisheries-dominated economy, or perhaps it was still in process. In order to increase the output growth performance of both primary and secondary fisheries related to the structural changes, more advanced technologies, support for more export expansion balanced by the efforts to promote import substitution are needed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 152 ◽  
pp. 112-123
Author(s):  
Oleg S. Sukharev ◽  

The purpose of the study is to determine the existing growth models of the countries of the Eurasian Union by GDP expenditures and sectors (manufacturing, transactional raw materials). The research methodology is a macroeconomic analysis of the dynamics of the main indicator of economic development — gross domestic product. The research method is a structural analysis that allows you to get a structural formula for calculating the contribution of each component of GDP to the growth rate, as well as a comparative analysis of the dynamics models of the countries in question — Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia. The result of the study is the obtained structural relationships that make it possible to measure the influence of the investment structure on the growth rate, the criteria describing economic growth with a corresponding change in the country's national wealth, as well as the identification of models of economic dynamics by the countries of the Eurasian Union. It is indicative that the transaction sector dominates in Kazakhstan and Russia, while in other countries a mixed model is found, or industrial growth as in Belarus. According to the components of GDP and expenditures of the country, either a mixed or a consumer model is found (Kyrgyzstan, Russia), however, the contribution of government spending to the growth rate is provided only in Kazakhstan. It was also revealed that the reaction to the crisis of 2009 and 2015 was fundamentally different for the countries of the Eurasian Union. The search for the factor conditions of such a prevailing dynamics, as well as the influence of union economic relations on the formation of a growth model in each country, requires an expansion of research and an analytical perspective


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-70
Author(s):  
Rizki Putri Nurdiati ◽  
Rina Oktaviani ◽  
Sahara Sahara

Globalization has transformed the structure of industry into global integration of socalled global value chains (GVCs). Some literatures suggest that electronic industry is known as a successful industry in establishing global value chain. Electronic industry is one of leading cluster in driving economic growth in Indonesia. This study aimed to analyze the role of Indonesia in electronic global value chain according to its share towards global electronic industry, linkages, and value added distribution. An input output analysis by using the Asian International Input Output Table 2005 was employed to analyze the share of each country in electronic global value chain, inter-sector linkages, value added, also output and income multiplier. The result showed that Indonesia had low participation in electronic global value chain. Indonesia’s output share was the lowest among all countries which resulted in low valueadded acquisition. Indonesia played the role as the input user from the various sectors. It is suggested that Indonesia electronic manufacture sector should be integrated with the input supplier sectors. Electronic computing equipment sector can be the main priority in enhancing Indonesia electronic manufacture sector since it has the biggest effect to economic growth. Keywords: electronic, global value chain, Indonesia, input output analysis


Author(s):  
Mohd Khairul Hisyam Hassan ◽  
Zaleha Mohd Noor ◽  
Normaz Wana Ismail ◽  
Alias Radam ◽  
Zakariah Abdul Rashid

2016 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 470-492 ◽  
Author(s):  
NELSON MARCONI ◽  
IGOR L. ROCHA ◽  
GUILHERME R. MAGACHO

ABSTRACT: The complex relationship between production structure and economic growth has been the subject of considerable debate among Brazilian economists. This debate became especially relevant after the 2000s, when Brazil experienced a period of growth from the rise of commodity exports, which contrasted with the stagnation observed in the previous two decades. To analyse the capacity of commodity exports to generate long-term economic growth, this paper assesses this sector's performance and its effects on related sectors in the upstream supply chain through input-output tables. These analyses lead to two main conclusions. First, expansion of agricultural and mineral commodities production exhibited little capacity to boost the economy because they have the lowest linkage indices. Second, the analysis of the Brazilian production structure demonstrated that sectors related to manufacturing can stimulate other sectors, such as sophisticated services, because of their high linkage effects on other sectors. This study also demonstrates that a development strategy should take benefit of comparative advantages in order to reach a structural change oriented toward expanding manufacturing.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document