scholarly journals An Evaluation of Independence of Kazakhstan Economy by Input-Output Analysis (2006-2009)

Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Zamira Oskonbaeva ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

Input-output analysis is an analytical technique widely used both in developed and developing countries which reflects the production consumption relationships of production sectors of a country’s economy. At the same time it is the macroeconomic analysis tool that defines economic relations of each sector by production and consumption. During the process of globalization all developed and developing country economies are trying to open their economies in order to provide their economic development. However, the openness can lead to negative consequences in some countries such as increasing their external dependence. In this paper it is aimed to investigate the structure of foreign trade of Kazakhstan and to measure the external dependence of economy. For this purpose, with the help of input-output tables prepared for the period of 2006-2009, the inverse import matrix will be calculated by using coefficients of foreign trade flows, consequently the import quantities necessary to meet final demand and their changes during the period will be examined. According to the results obtained the potential impact of Kazakhstan’s foreign trade structure on both Kyrgyzstan and other Central Asian Turkish Republics will be discussed.

Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis reflects the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sector in a country's economy and widely applied as an analytical technique of economic analysis in both developed and developing countries. At the same time, this technique is the macroeconomic analysis tool for identifying sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, input-output tables for Kyrgyzstan for the period of 2005-2013 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period was calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. Also, the study investigates the source of production increase occurred in any economic production sectors. Within this framework, the results will be obtained for aggregated main 8 sectors and whole the economy. Admittedly, the results will give insight into the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies implemented in Kyrgyzstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute to the creation of a more rational economic policy.


Author(s):  
Tuncer Özdil ◽  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis reflects the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sector in a country's economy and widely applied as an analytical technique of economic analysis in both developed and developing countries. At the same time, this technique is the macroeconomic analysis tool for identifying sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, input-output tables for Kazakhstan for the period of 2006-2013 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period was calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. Also, the study investigates the source of production increase occurred in any economic production sectors. Within this framework, the results will be obtained for aggregated main 8 sectors and whole the economy. Admittedly, the results will give insight into the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies implemented in Kazakhstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute to the creation of a more rational economic policy.


Author(s):  
Ainura Turdalieva

The input - output analysis is an analytical technique of economic analysis and used to examine the production-consumption relationship between the economic production sectors. At the same time, this technique is the useful tool for macroeconomic analysis, which identifies inter-sectoral economic relations in the industry by production and consumption dimensions. For this study, two input-output tables for the years 2005 and 2014 were used. Tables consist of the same content and number of sectors and the sources of economic growth for the given period calculated by Syrquin Decomposition model. Syrquin Model is a demand-side approach, which decomposes economic growth into four main sources: domestic demand expansion, export expansion, import substitution and technological change. In addition, the study investigates the source of production increase that occurred in producing sectors. Within this framework, the results obtained for aggregated main eight sectors and the whole economy will give insight for the efficiency of macroeconomic policies, which implemented in Kyrgyzstan. This aspect of the research results is expected to contribute for the more rational economic policy.


1980 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 247-249
Author(s):  
A. R. Kemal

Input -output analysis is being widely used in developing countries for planning purposes. For a given level of final demand, input-output analysis allows us to project the required level of gross output to ensure consistency of plan. These projections are made on the assumption that the existing production structure is optimal and it implies that an increase in demand will be met through the expansion of domestic output even when it can be satisfied through an increase in imports. On the other hand, according to the semi-input-output method, we do not have to increase the output of international sectors in order to meet the increase in demand because the level and composition of these activities should be determined by comparative- cost considerations. These are the only national sectors in which output must increase in order to avoid shortage. The semi-input -output method has been such a useful and important contribution, yet, regrettably, its influence on the planning models had been rather limited.


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