scholarly journals Concrete Dam Displacement Prediction Based on an ISODATA-GMM Clustering and Random Coefficient Model

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 714 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yating Hu ◽  
Chenfei Shao ◽  
Chongshi Gu ◽  
Zhenzhu Meng

Displacement data modelling is of great importance for the safety control of concrete dams. The commonly used artificial intelligence method modelled the displacement data at each monitoring point individually, i.e., the data correlations between the monitoring points are overlooked, which leads to the over-fitting problem and the limitations in the generalization of model. A novel model combines Gaussian mixture model and Iterative self-organizing data analysing (ISODATA-GMM) clustering and the random coefficient method is proposed in this article, which takes the temporal-spatial correlation among the monitoring points into account. By taking the temporal-spatial correlation among the monitoring points into account and building models for all the points simultaneously, the random coefficient model improves the generalization ability of the model through reducing the number of free model variables. Since the random coefficient model supposed the data follows normal distributions, we use an ISODATA-GMM clustering algorithm to classify the measuring points into several groups according to its temporal and spatial characteristics, so that each group follows one distribution. Our model has the advantage of having a stronger generalization ability.

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 2727-2766
Author(s):  
Souha K. Badr ◽  
Ahmed H. Youssef ◽  
Hanaa H. Abu-zinadah

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Jia Ning ◽  
Guanghao Lu ◽  
Sipeng Hao ◽  
Aidong Zeng ◽  
Hualei Wang

With the large-scale integration of distributed photovoltaic (DPV) power plants, the uncertainty of photovoltaic generation is intensively influencing the secure operation of power systems. Improving the forecast capability of DPV plants has become an urgent problem to solve. However, most of the DPV plants are not able to make generation forecast on their own due to the constraints of the investment cost, data storage condition, and the influence of microscope environment. Therefore, this paper proposes a master-slave forecast method to predict the power of target plants without forecast ability based on the power of DPV plants with comprehensive forecast system and the spatial correlation between these two kinds of plants. First, a characteristics pattern library of DPV plants is established with K-means clustering algorithm considering the time difference. Next, the pattern most spatially correlated to the target plant is determined through online matching. The corresponding spatial correlation mapping relationship is obtained by numerical fitting using least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM), and the short-term generation forecast for target plants is achieved with the forecast of reference plants and mapping relationship. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method could improve the overall forecast accuracy by more than 52% for univariate prediction and by more than 22% for multivariate prediction and obtain short-term generation forecast for DPV or newly built DPV plants with low investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 2170-2180
Author(s):  
Untari N. Wisesty ◽  
Tati Rajab Mengko

This paper aims to conduct an analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 genome variation was carried out by comparing the results of genome clustering using several clustering algorithms and distribution of sequence in each cluster. The clustering algorithms used are K-means, Gaussian mixture models, agglomerative hierarchical clustering, mean-shift clustering, and DBSCAN. However, the clustering algorithm has a weakness in grouping data that has very high dimensions such as genome data, so that a dimensional reduction process is needed. In this research, dimensionality reduction was carried out using principal component analysis (PCA) and autoencoder method with three models that produce 2, 10, and 50 features. The main contributions achieved were the dimensional reduction and clustering scheme of SARS-CoV-2 sequence data and the performance analysis of each experiment on each scheme and hyper parameters for each method. Based on the results of experiments conducted, PCA and DBSCAN algorithm achieve the highest silhouette score of 0.8770 with three clusters when using two features. However, dimensionality reduction using autoencoder need more iterations to converge. On the testing process with Indonesian sequence data, more than half of them enter one cluster and the rest are distributed in the other two clusters.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenfei Shao ◽  
Chongshi Gu ◽  
Zhenzhu Meng ◽  
Yating Hu

Both numerical simulations and data-driven methods have been applied in dam’s displacement modeling. For monitored displacement data-driven methods, the physical mechanism and structural correlations were rarely discussed. In order to take the spatial and temporal correlations among all monitoring points into account, we took the first step toward integrating the finite element method into a data-driven model. As the data-driven method, we selected the random coefficient model, which can make each explanatory variable coefficient of all monitoring points following one or several normal distributions. In this way, explanatory variables are constrained. Another contribution of the proposed model is that the actual elastic modulus at each monitoring point can be back-calculated. Moreover, with a Lagrange polynomial interpolation, we can obtain the distribution field of elastic modulus, rather than gaining one value for the whole dam in previous studies. The proposed model was validated by a case study of the concrete arch dam in Jinping-I hydropower station. It has a better prediction precision than the random coefficient model without the finite element method.


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