scholarly journals A Cellular Automata Model Constrained by Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of the Urban Development Strategy for Simulating Land-use Change: A Case Study in Nanjing City, China

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 4012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Yang ◽  
Feng Shi ◽  
Yizhong Sun ◽  
Jie Zhu

While cellular automata (CA) has become increasingly popular in land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) simulations, insufficient research has considered the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of urban development strategies and applied it to constrain CA models. Consequently, we proposed to add a zoning transition rule and planning influence that consists of a development grade coefficient and traffic facility coefficient in the CA model to reflect the top-down and heterogeneous characteristics of spatial layout and the dynamic and heterogeneous external interference of traffic facilities on land-use development. Testing the method using Nanjing city as a case study, we show that the optimal combinations of development grade coefficients are different in different districts, and the simulation accuracies are improved by adding the grade coefficients into the model. Moreover, the integration of the traffic facility coefficient does not improve the model accuracy as expected because the deployment of the optimal spatial layout has considered the effect of the subway on land use. Therefore, spatial layout planning is important for urban green, humanistic and sustainable development.

2017 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 189-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cao Wei ◽  
Zhou Shenglu ◽  
Wu Shaohua

2020 ◽  
Vol 192 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Zhao ◽  
Cheng Li

AbstractInvestigating the spatiotemporal trends and trade-off/synergy relationships among ecosystem services can provide effective support for urban planning and decision making toward sustainable development. With Nanjing city in China as a case study, this study assessed the spatiotemporal dynamics of six key ecosystem services from 2005 to 2030. Integration of Markov-cellular automata and ecosystem services models was realized to analyze the potential impacts of future urbanization on ecosystem services by simulating business-as-usual (BAU), cropland protection (CP), and ecological restoration (ER) scenarios. Furthermore, an innovative trade-off/synergy degree was developed to quantify the magnitude of the complex relationship among the multiple ecosystem services under the different scenarios. Due to the rapid expansion of built-up land, carbon storage, habitat quality, and air purification decreased 2.92%, 5.80%, and 7.91%, respectively. The CP scenario exhibited the highest crop production values, and the ER scenario was a better urban development strategy that enhanced the regulating ecosystem services at the expense of crop production. To promote urban ecosystem services and minimize trade-offs, we proposed certain future urban development strategies, including ecological corridor construction and compact development. The study could provide a scientific reference for the effective ecosystem management of Nanjing and other rapidly urbanized regions.


2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 5788-5792
Author(s):  
Zheng Dong Xie ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Bu Zhuo Peng

The paper was supported by The Second Land Investigation Item and took Nanjing city, Jiangsu Province as a case study. The research of the theory, technique and application for land use investigation was achieved by the high-resolution remote sensing images for application, designed a set of technique of land use investigation for land property right management. The database and platform system were established to carry out the dynamic management of land use. Based on the summarization of the correlative studies, The paper designed a set of technique of land investigation for land property right management and also designed the technical process, dealt with the remote sensing images, detected the changed information, classified the land, investigated the land property right and established the database to serve for the management of land property right. And it has been successfully used in Nanjing. It’s unique to use the high-resolution remote sensing images by QuichBird for the scale of 1:5000 in land use investigation in area cities which is also the first time in Nanjing City.


2013 ◽  
Vol 689 ◽  
pp. 500-504
Author(s):  
Bin Shi ◽  
Kang Cai Nie

Under the background of the new village rapid planning and construction, the author tries to explore regulatory detailed planning ideas and methods on district from the structure of land use, spatial layout, road system, land development control. It aims at solving township in regulatory plan coordination control and providing reference for small towns and suburbs of regulatory detailed planning village planning and construction.


Author(s):  
Meisam Jafari ◽  
Seyed Masoud Monavari ◽  
Hamid Majedi ◽  
Ali Asghar Alesheikh ◽  
Mirmasoud Kheirkhah Zarkesh

Although, promotion of urbanization culture in recent decades has made inevitable development of cities in the world, however, the development can be guided in a direction that leave, to the extent possible, minimum socioeconomic and environmental impacts. For this, it is required to first forecast auto-spreading orientation of cities and suburbs in rural areas over time and then avoid shapeless growth of cities. This paper is an attempt to develop a dynamic hybrid model based on logistic regression (LR), Markov chain (MC), and cellular automata (CA) for prediction of future urban sprawl in fast-growing cities. The model was developed using 12 widely-used urban development criteria, whose significant coefficient was determined by logistic regression, and validated by relative operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The validated model was run in Guilan, a tourist province in northern Iran with a very high rate of urban development. For this, changes in the area of urban land use were detected over the period of 1989 to 2013 and then, future sprawl of the province was forecasted by the years 2025 and 2037. The analysis results revealed that the area of urban land use was increased by more than 1.7 % from 36012.5 ha in 1989 to 59754.8 ha in 2013, and the area of Caspian Hyrcanian forestland was reduced by 31628 ha. The results also predicted an alarming increase in the rate of urban development in the province by the years 2025 and 2037, during which urban land use is predicted to develop 0.9 % and 1.38 %, respectively. The development pattern is expected to be uneven and scattered, without following any particular direction. The development will occur close to the existing or newly-formed urban basements as well as around major roads and commercial areas. This development, if not controlled, will lead to the loss of 13863 ha of Hyrcanian forests and if the trend continues, 21013 ha of Hyrcanian forests and 20208 ha of Barren/open lands are expected to be destroyed by the year 2037. In general, the proposed model is an efficient tool for the support of urban planning decisions and facilitates the process of sustainable development of cities by providing decision-makers with an overview on future development of cities where the growth rate is very fast.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-86
Author(s):  
Samuel Awuah-Nyamekye

AbstractMost national and international discussions have not seriously recognized the role religio-cultural practices of indigenous Africans can play in mitigating the effects of climate change. This paper, examines the contribution the indigenous people can make towards the mitigation of the effects of climate change, using the Akan of Ghana as a case study. Mostly, indigenous people who are the major stakeholders in land use in Ghana are marginalized when policies aimed at reducing environmental degradation are made. This has resulted in low gains in the fight against environmental degradation despite several interventions in Ghana. A recent report puts Ghana into a net-emitter of GHG bracket. This means the country has to embark on a Low Carbon Development Strategy to address the situation. This paper, therefore argues that unless indigenous people—major stakeholders of land use—are duly involved; it will be difficult to address the effects of climate change in Ghana.


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