Author(s):  
Vesna D. Jablanovic ◽  

The basic aims of this paper are: firstly, to create a relatively simple chaotic international tourism expenditure growth model that is capable of generating stable equilibria, cycles, or chaos; and secondly, to set up a relatively simple chaotic international tourism receipts growth model. This paper confirms stable growth of the international tourism receipts and expenditures in high-income countries, low & middle-income countries, lower-middle-income countries, middle-income countries, and upper-middle-income countries in the period 1995-2018.


2002 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-103
Author(s):  
Vesna Jablanovic ◽  
Nada Lakic

Using the autoregression models, the paper considers movement of agricultural population. Irregular movement of agricultural population can be analyzed within the formal framework of the chaotic growth model. The basic aims of this paper are: firstly, to set up a chaotic growth model of agricultural population; and secondly, to analyze the stability of agricultural population movement according to the presented logistic growth model in the world and eight group of countries in the period 1967-1997.


Author(s):  
Vesna Jablanovic ◽  

The basic aims of this paper are: firstly, to create the simple chaotic gold price growth model that is capable of generating stable equilibria, cycles, or chaos; secondly, to analyze the local stability of gold price in the period 2001-2015; and thirdly, to discover the equilibrium gold price with Elliott wave logic in the observed period. This paper confirms the existence of the stable convergent fluctuations of the gold price in the observed period. Also, the golden ratio can be used to define the equilibrium gold price in the presented chaotic model.


2016 ◽  
pp. 5-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Mau

The paper deals with 2015 trends and challenges for social and economic policy in the nearest future. The analysis of global crisis includes: uneven developments in the leading advanced and emerging economies; new models of economic growth which look differently in different countries; prospects of globalization and challenges of ‘regional globalization’; currency configurations of the future; energy prices dynamics and its influence on political and economic prospects of particular states. Current challenges are discussed in the context of previous 30 years. Among the main topics on Russia, there are approaches to a new growth model, structural transformation (including import substitution issues), economic dynamics, budget and monetary outlines, social issues. The priorities of economic policy are also considered.


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