Inferring Fertility from Relative Mortality in Historically Controlled Cemetery Remains from Barbados

1989 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 609-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert S. Corruccini ◽  
Elizabeth M. Brandon ◽  
Jerome S. Handler
Keyword(s):  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Stable Model ◽  
Vital Rates ◽  
Relative Mortality ◽  
Mortality Ratio ◽  
Data Source ◽  
Relative Fertility

Fertility (crude birth rate) was estimated from skeletal and corresponding historical relative mortality ratios for a seventeenth- to eighteenth-century Barbados slave population. The estimates varied widely among themselves according to which data source and mortality ratio was used; they also varied from the actual historical fertility rate. In addition, we have raised logical objections to the use of stable model life tables for inferring nonstable vital rates in archaeological populations. These points are problematic for the broad use of relative mortality to infer relative fertility.

scholarly journals Smart Fert: Aplikasi Praktis, Valid, dan Mudah Untuk Mengukur Indikator Fertilitas di Era Otonomi Daerah

Populasi ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Lutfi Agus Salim ◽  
Lutfan Lazuardi ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Visual Basic ◽  
Reproductive Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
General Fertility Rate

Indikator fertilitas, seperti Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), General Fertility Rate (GFR), dan Gross Reproductive Rate (GRR), untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk setiap tahun di level kabupaten/kota sejak otonomi daerah sering tidak tersedia. Aplikasi sistem informasi fertilitas Smart Fert sebagai alat untuk mengukur indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diaplikasikan sangat layak untuk dikembangkan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan aplikasi Smart Fert serta menguji hasil perhitungan indikator fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert dibandingkan dengan perhitungan dari hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Penelitian ini merancang aplikasi Smart Fert berbasis bahasa visual basic. Untuk mengukur ketepatan dan kevalidan hasil perhitungan fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert, maka hasilnya dibandingkan dengan standar yang baik, yaitu hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hasil perhitungan fertilitas dengan aplikasi Smart Fert tidak menunjukkan perbedaan signifikan dengan hasil metode langsung Sensus Penduduk 2010. Dengan demikian, aplikasi Smart Fert dapat dipakai sebagai alat penghitung indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diimplementasikan untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk di tingkat kabupaten/kota.

ANNUAL SUMMARY OF VITAL STATISTICS—1965

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1966 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 1063-1067
Author(s):  
Myron E. Wegman
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
The United States ◽  
Vital Statistics ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Downward Trend ◽  
United States Population ◽  
First Time ◽  
Number Of Births

A CONTINUED downward trend for births, slightly upward for marriages, and about the same rate as last year for deaths characterize the provisional vital statistics of the United States for 1965 (Table 1). Despite the falling birth rate almost 2,000,000 persons were added to the United States population through the excess of births over deaths. Births in 1965 were down about 7% from 1964, bringing the total number, estimated at 3,767,000, below 4,000,000 for the first time in 12 years. The number of births was the lowest since 1951, giving a crude birth rate of 19.4 births per 1,000 population and a fertility rate of 96.7.

Trends and Differentials in Moslem fertility

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Nagi
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Reproductive Behaviour ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Percentage Change ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Fertility Differentials

SummaryThis paper examines data on fertility levels in 33 Moslem countries between 1960 and 1980. Fertility measures include crude birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific birth rate, and the percentage change in them between 1960 and 1980.The analysis focuses on: (1) the current status of Moslem fertility in comparison to non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) the emerging fertility differentials among Moslem countries; (3) how much of the recent fertility declines in some Moslem countries is associated with modernization variables and with family planning efforts.The results indicate that: (1) Moslem fertility remains universally high and is generally higher than in non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) very few Moslem countries have succeeded in bringing down their level of fertility to justify a search for the predictors of Moslem fertility levels; (3) in spite of a sufficient range of variations in the economic and social correlates of fertility, the corresponding fertility variables in these countries do not suggest that the reproductive behaviour of Moslem women has reacted to such variations; (4) efforts directed towards stronger family planning programmes are clearly related to fertility decline.

scholarly journals Implementasi Model Perhitungan Perkiraan Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Berdasarkan Efektifitas Penggunaan Alat Kontrasepsi di Provinsi Jawa Barat

Matematika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gani Gunawan ◽  
Eti Kurniati ◽  
Icih Sukarsih
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Method ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Census ◽  
West Java

Abstrak. Perhitungan jumlah penduduk dapat dilakukan secara langsung melalui suatu sensus penduduk. Salah satu faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi jumlah penduduk pada suatu wilayah adalah tingkat kelahiran atau angka fertilitas. Namun hasil pendataan yang dilakukan pada umumnya hanya memberikan informasi jumlah penduduk yang hidup pada saat sensus diadakan dan tidak mencatat secara lengkap jumlah bayi lahir hidup yang kemudian meninggal pada waktu sensus. Hal tersebut menyebabkan perhitungan angka fertilitas secara langsung tidak mungkin dilakukan, sehingga diperlukan suatu metode Matematika yang secara tak langsung dapat digunakan untuk menghitung angka fertilitas di suatu wilayah. Dalam makalah ini akan diperlihatkan suatu cara perhitungan kelahiran atau fertilitas secara tidak langsung, dimana cara ini dapat menentukan angka kelahiran tercegah sebagai indikator keberhasilan pengendalian jumlah penduduk melalui program Keluarga Berencana (KB), sehingga melalui perhitungan  ini  dapat ditentukan angka fertilitas total yang didasarkan pada efektifitas penggunaan alat kontrasepsi.Kata Kunci : keluarga berencana (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)Abstract. (Implementation of the Calculation Model for Estimated Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Based on the Effectiveness Use of Contraception in West Java Province) The calculation of the population can be done directly through a population census. One factor that can affect the population in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. However, the results of data collection carried out, in general only provide information on the number of people living at the time the census is held, and not complete records of the number of live-born babies who later died during the census. This has made it impossible to calculate the fertility rate directly, so a Mathematical method is needed that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in an area. This paper will show a method of calculating birth or fertility indirectly, where this method can determine the preventable birth rate as an indicator of the success of controlling population through Family Planning (KB) programs, so that through this calculation can be determined the total fertility rate based on effectiveness use of contraceptives.Keywords : family planning (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)

scholarly journals The regulation of fertility in pre-industrial populations: a local study from eighteenth century Finland

1996 ◽  
pp. 284-294
Author(s):  
Beatrice Moring
Keyword(s):  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Critical Determinant ◽  
Local Study ◽  
Family Head ◽  
First Marriage ◽  
Age At First Marriage ◽  
The Family ◽  
Limit Family Size

The crude birth rate in Finland in the eighteenth century was more than 40 per thousand. At the same time there was considerable regional diversity. This study of a coastal population in southwestern Finland reveals that the fertility was well below that of the country as a whole and as low or even lower that that recorded for neighboring countries. A more detailed study of families in Houtskiir indicates that the pattern of fertility varied according to the socioeconomic standing of the family head. Differences in age at first marriage were a critical determinant of these variations but other important factors were birth spacing and the timing  of the last birth. A conscious attempt was made to limit family size.

scholarly journals Demographic Issues in Malaysia

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (11) ◽  
pp. 116
Author(s):  
Nik Norliati Fitri Md Nor
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Older Persons ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Migrant Worker ◽  
Living Arrangement ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Asian Country ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Trend ◽  
Care Health

This article will discussed about demographic issues in Malaysia and focused about fertility trend, increasing the number of ageing (60 years and above) and non citizen residents. Since 2016 years the crude birth rate in Malaysia are decreased to 16.6 per 1000 population compared to 18.5 per 1000 population in 2009. Starting on years 2019, fertility trend among women are decreased which is below the replacement level 2.1 child per women (15-49 years reproductive women) especially Chinese and Indian ethnic. In 2014, Chinese ethnic and Indian showed that total fertility rate is 1.4 child per women. In 2015, Malay ethnic showed the total fertility rate is 2.6 per child among women 15- 49 years. This situation showed the issued of age population increasingly significantly. The percentage of older person in Malaysia in 2010 among Chinese, Indian, Malay and Bumiputera ethnic are representively 12.2 percent, 7.9 percent, 7.3 percent and 6.2 percent. It showed that the issues of social support for example the living arrangement of older persons, health care, health status and income are the most important issues and must be addressed. Besides that, Malaysia will be challenging problem migrant worker from Asian country and will cause the problem for example for Malaysian citizen to get the work. Based on Department of Statistics Malaysia in 2016, there are about 3.3 million non-Malaysian citizens in Malaysia which is 80.3 percent in 15-64 years. Hopefully this paper will provide some suggestions to enable the authorities to address these issues more effectively.

Land Availability and Fertility in the United States, 1760–1870

1982 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 577-600 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morton Owen Schapiro
Keyword(s):  
Eighteenth Century ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Critical Factor ◽  
The United States ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Land Availability ◽  
Demand For Children ◽  
Over Time

The decline in U.S. fertility rates, beginning in the latter part of the eighteenth century, is examined within a general model of fertility determination. The ability of land availability measures to explain the variation in components of the crude birth rate is tested using a pooled regression technique. A set of crude birth rate predictions for rural areas of 23 northern states during the period 1760–1870 is produced and compared with other estimates. It is concluded that the availability of land was a critical factor in determining the demand for children and, ultimately, the fertility rate, across states and over time.

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