Quantifying the Impact of Grid Size, Upscaling, and Streamline Simulation in the Risk Analysis Applied to Petroleum Field Development

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliana L. Ligero ◽  
Célio Maschio ◽  
Denis J. Schiozer
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Grid Size ◽  
Streamline Simulation ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Petroleum Field ◽  
The Impact

Comparison of Techniques for Risk Analysis Applied to Petroleum-Field Development

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliana Luci Ligero ◽  
Marcelo Gomes Madeira ◽  
Denis Jose Schiozer
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Comparison Of Techniques ◽  
Petroleum Field

Improving the Performance of Risk Analysis Applied to Petroleum Field Development

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eliana L. Ligero ◽  
Ana Paula A. Costa ◽  
Denis J. Schiozer
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Petroleum Field

Designing Risk Qualitative Assessment on Fiber Optic Instalation Project in Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (01) ◽  
Author(s):  
Devi Pratami
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Fiber Optic ◽  
Qualitative Assessment ◽  
Quality And Safety ◽  
Project Implementation ◽  
Cost Impact ◽  
Implementation Assessment ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Impact Cost

A project always has risks that can lead to project failure. In the project, a risk analysis is required to provide an evaluation for the project to proceed as planned. In the event of inadequate planning and ineffective control, it will result in irregularities identified as a risk to the project. This study aims to analyze the qualitative risk on Fiber Optic Installaion project in Sukabumi, West Java, Indonesia. In addition, risk assessment is undertaken on project implementation. Assessment of risk using the impact and probability to measure the impact of risk occurrence. The impacts are more detailed by classified by time impact, cost impact, quality impact, safety and security impact, proximity. The result is there are 36 risk that may occur and mostly risks are associaated by quality and safety&security impact.

Integrated Production Model as a Tool for Optimization the Development Strategy of the Sakhalin Oil and Gas Condensate Field

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleksandr Doroshenko ◽  
Miljenko Cimic ◽  
Nicholas Singh ◽  
Yevhen Machuzhak
Keyword(s):  
History Matching ◽  
Effective Field ◽  
Production Optimization ◽  
Production Model ◽  
Production Forecast ◽  
Hydrocarbon Production ◽  
Integrated Production ◽  
Wellhead Pressure ◽  
Field Development ◽  
The Impact

Abstract A fully integrated production model (IPM) has been implemented in the Sakhalin field to optimize hydrocarbons production and carried out effective field development. To achieve our goal in optimizing production, a strategy has been accurately executed to align the surface facilities upgrade with the production forecast. The main challenges to achieving the goal, that we have faced were:All facilities were designed for early production stage in late 1980's, and as the asset outdated the pipeline sizes, routing and compression strategies needs review.Detecting, predicting and reducing liquid loading is required so that the operator can proactively control the hydrocarbon production process.No integrated asset model exists to date. The most significant engineering tasks were solved by creating models of reservoirs, wells and surface network facility, and after history matching and connecting all the elements of the model into a single environment, it has been used for the different production forecast scenarios, taking into account the impact of infrastructure bottlenecks on production of each well. This paper describes in detail methodology applied to calculate optimal well control, wellhead pressure, pressure at the inlet of the booster compressor, as well as for improving surface flowlines capacity. Using the model, we determined the compressor capacity required for the next more than ten years and assessed the impact of pipeline upgrades on oil gas and condensate production. Using optimization algorithms, a realistic scenario was set and used as a basis for maximizing hydrocarbon production. Integrated production model (IPM) and production optimization provided to us several development scenarios to achieve target production at the lowest cost by eliminating infrastructure constraints.

Time-Lapse Seismic for Reservoir Management: Case Studies From Offshore Niger Delta, Nigeria

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (03) ◽  
pp. 391-402
Author(s):  
Sunday Amoyedo ◽  
Emmanuel Ekut ◽  
Rasaki Salami ◽  
Liliana Goncalves-Ferreira ◽  
Pascal Desegaulx
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Niger Delta ◽  
Reservoir Management ◽  
Time Lapse ◽  
Seismic Survey ◽  
Elastic Model ◽  
Field Development ◽  
4D Seismic ◽  
The Impact

Summary This paper presents case studies focused on the interpretation and integration of seismic reservoir monitoring from several fields in conventional offshore and deepwater Niger Delta. The fields are characterized by different geological settings and development-maturity stages. We show different applications varying from qualitative to quantitative use of time-lapse (4D) seismic information. In the first case study, which is in shallow water, the field has specific reservoir-development challenges, simple geology, and is in phased development. On this field, 4D seismic, which was acquired several years ago, is characterized by poor seismic repeatability. Nevertheless, we show that because of improvements from seismic reprocessing, 4D seismic makes qualitative contributions to the ongoing field development. In the second case study, the field is characterized by complex geological settings. The 4D seismic is affected by overburden with strong lateral variations in velocity and steeply dipping structure (up to 40°). Prestack-depth-imaging (PSDM) 4D seismic is used in a more-qualitative manner to monitor gas injection, validate the geologic/reservoir models, optimize infill injector placement, and consequently, enhance field-development economics. The third case study presents a deep offshore field characterized by a complex depositional system for some reservoirs. In this example, good 4D-seismic repeatability (sum of source- and receiver-placement differences between surveys, dS+dR) is achieved, leading to an increased quantitative use of 4D monitoring for the assessment of sand/sand communication, mapping of oil/water (OWC) front, pressure evolution, and dynamic calibration of petro-elastic model (PEM), and also as a seismic-based production-logging tool. In addition, 4D seismic is used to update seismic interpretation, provide a better understanding of internal architecture of the reservoirs units, and, thereby, yield a more-robust reservoir model. The 4D seismic in this field is a key tool for field-development optimization and reservoir management. The last case study illustrates the need for seismic-feasibility studies to detect 4D responses related to production. In addition to assessing the impact of the field environment on the 4D- seismic signal, these studies also help in choosing the optimum seismic-survey type, design, and acquisition parameters. These studies would possibly lead to the adoption of new technologies such as broad-band streamer or nodes acquisition in the near future.

scholarly journals The impact of a and b value uncertainty on loss estimation in the reinsurance industry

2000 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Liechti ◽  
E. Ruettener ◽  
S. Eugster ◽  
R. Streit
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Loss Estimation ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
Seismic Risk Analysis ◽  
Earthquake Catalogues ◽  
Local Soil ◽  
Average Annual Loss ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Loss Level

In the reinsurance industry different probabilistic models are currently used for seismic risk analysis. A credible loss estimation of the insured values depends on seismic hazard analysis and on the vulnerability functions of the given structures. Besides attenuation and local soil amplification, the earthquake occurrence model (often represented by the Gutenberg and Richter relation) is a key element in the analysis. However, earthquake catalogues are usually incomplete, the time of observation is too short and the data themselves contain errors. Therefore, a and b values can only be estimated with uncertainties. The knowledge of their variation provides a valuable input for earthquake risk analysis, because they allow the probability distribution of expected losses (expressed by Average Annual Loss (AAL)) to be modelled. The variations of a and b have a direct effect on the estimated exceeding probability and consequently on the calculated loss level. This effect is best illustrated by exceeding probability versus loss level and AAL versus magnitude graphs. The sensitivity of average annual losses due to different a to b ratios and magnitudes is obvious. The estimation of the variation of a and b and the quantification of the sensitivity of calculated losses are fundamental for optimal earthquake risk management. Ignoring these uncertainties means that risk management decisions neglect possible variations of the earthquake loss estimations.

scholarly journals ANALISIS RISIKO KEKERINGAN DI KABUPATEN BANTUL PROVINSI D.I. YOGYAKARTA

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 143
Author(s):  
Annisa Mu'awanah Sukmawati ◽  
Puji Utomo
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Drought Risk ◽  
Drought Event ◽  
Quantitative Research Methods ◽  
Risk Areas ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Very High

Bantul Regency is a district in Yogyakarta Province which has geographic, geological, hydrological, and demographic characteristics that are likely to cause drought. Drought event in Bantul Regency may have significant impacts on various aspects in line with the characteristics of drought impacts which are complex and cross-sectoral. This study addresses to analyze the level of risk of drought with observation units in 75 villages in the Bantul Regency. The risk analysis was carried out by comparing the time period of the 10 years, i.e. 2008 and 2018 to observe the shift of risk areas of drought in Bantul Regency. The research was conducted using quantitative research methods with quantitative descriptive and mapping analysis. The analysis steps are drought hazard analysis, vulnerability analysis, and drought risk analysis. The analysis shows that during the last 10 years, Kabupaten Bantul has been experiencing an increasing number of villages classified as high risk of drought, both in urban and rural areas. In 2008 there were 15 villages (20%) and increased to 21 villages (28%) in 2018 that were classified as very very high level. Meanwhile, in 2008 there were 30 villages (40%) in 2008 and increased to 32 villages (42.7%) in 2018 that were classified as very high level. It caused by the increasing probability of drought as well as vulnerability. The analysis results can be used as input for stakeholders to take mitigation and anticipation actions to reduce the impact of drought based on the spatial characteristics of the risk areas.

scholarly journals Risk analysis and mitigation on the impact of the development of Songyuan Irrigation area on the ecology of Lake Chagan

2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
SUN Guangyou ◽  
◽  
TIAN Wei ◽  
JIA Zhiguo ◽  
WANG Haixia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Irrigation Area ◽  
Lake Chagan ◽  
The Impact
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