scholarly journals We Didn’t Start the Fire: The Effect of Foreign Sponsorship on Peace Duration

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordan Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Peace Duration

Ensuring Peace: Foreign-Imposed Regime Change and Postwar Peace Duration, 1914–2001

2008 ◽  
Vol 62 (4) ◽  
pp. 717-736 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nigel Lo ◽  
Barry Hashimoto ◽  
Dan Reiter
Keyword(s):  
Regime Change ◽  
Strong Support ◽  
Balance Of Power ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Regime Type ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Third Party Intervention ◽  
Central Hypothesis ◽  
Peace Duration

This research note develops a new explanation of postwar peace duration: periods of peace following wars last longer when the war ends in foreign-imposed regime change. This study tests this hypothesis on a new data set (an expansion of Fortna's (2004) data) of all periods of peace following interstate war cease-fires, over the period 1914–2001. It also tests for other possible factors affecting postwar peace duration, including international institutions, the revelation of information during war, third-party intervention during war, postwar changes in the balance of power, regime type, past conflict history, and others. The article finds strong support for the central hypothesis that peace lasts longer following wars that end in foreign-imposed regime change. This pacifying effect diminishes over time when a puppet is imposed, but not when a democracy is imposed. There are other results, including that the strength of a cease-fire agreement has almost no impact on peace duration.

Educational Access and Peace Duration in Post-Conflict Countries

2012 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Ishiyama ◽  
Marijke Breuning
Keyword(s):  
Educational Access ◽  
Post Conflict ◽  
Peace Duration

Distributional effects of political power-sharing arrangements and their negative consequences for post-agreement stability

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-132
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Obayashi
Keyword(s):  
Power Sharing ◽  
The Political ◽  
Alternative Theory ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Distributional Effects ◽  
Peace Agreements ◽  
Commitment Problem ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
And Shifts ◽  
Peace Duration

Most of the previous studies of power-sharing arrangements (PSAs) find the political PSA to be ineffective in stabilizing post-agreement peace. These studies argue that the political PSA is a signal that is not costly enough to moderate the information asymmetry or commitment problem among the signatories. In this article, I develop an alternative theory of the political PSA that identifies its “negative” effect on post-agreement stability by highlighting two issues that have attracted little attention in the previous studies, i.e. distributional effects of the political PSA and shifts in the bargaining power among the signatories. To assess the validity of the theory, I first conduct a logistic regression analysis of inclusion of political PSA provisions in peace agreements, and then conduct a survival analysis of post-agreement peace duration.

The Durability of Peace

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline A. Hartzell ◽  
Amy Yuen
Keyword(s):  
Civil Wars ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Active Listening ◽  
War And Peace ◽  
Sustainable Peace ◽  
Single Process ◽  
Peace Duration ◽  
Durable Peace

With wars—not just global, but civil wars and other domestic infightings—still being rampant in the modern world, scholars have begun to develop interest in identifying the conditions that can help establish a durable peace. Peace is a lack of conflict and freedom from fear of violence between social groups. Commonly understood as the absence of war or violent hostility, peace often involves compromise, and therefore is initiated with thoughtful active listening and communication to enhance and create genuine mutual understanding. The study of the durability of peace has greatly evolved through the years, and one of its implications is that recent empirical work on this topic has focused on civil war. Most of this study has been tailored in response to the model of war, a theory of armed conflict which presents war and peace as stages of a single process. Furthermore, this analysis on peace duration revolves around for main themes: the characteristics of conflict and conflict actors, belligerent-centered dynamics, the role of third parties, and the developments in the measurement, estimation, and the study of peace duration. Under the conceptions of peace, sustainable peace must be regarded as an important factor for the future of prosperity. Throughout the world, nurturing, empowerment, and communications are considered to be the crucial factors in creating and sustaining a durable peace.

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