scholarly journals Explaining Peace Duration through Foreign Aid and Civil War Outcome

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa Martinez
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Peace Duration

scholarly journals Exogenous Shocks, Foreign Aid, and Civil War

2012 ◽  
Vol 66 (3) ◽  
pp. 363-393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burcu Savun ◽  
Daniel C. Tirone
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Foreign Aid ◽  
Civil Wars ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Conflict Prevention ◽  
Economic Shocks ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Civil War Literature ◽  
Attractive Option

AbstractThe recent civil war literature suggests that negative economic shocks in low-income countries increase the risk of civil war. Foreign aid can be an effective conflict-prevention tool in times of severe economic conditions. Aid cushions government spending from the downward pressures of economic shocks, providing recipient governments with resources they can use to make rebellion a less attractive option for aggrieved domestic groups. Using Official Development Assistance (ODA) data covering 1990 through 2004, we find that foreign aid appears to be a useful tool for preventing civil wars in the wake of negative economic shocks, and as such aid should be assessed by donors with these conflict-suppressing aspects in mind.

Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 339-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Gurses ◽  
Nicolas Rost
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Ethnic Group ◽  
Civil Wars ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Opposition Group ◽  
Peace Duration ◽  
Durable Peace

AbstractWhat role does religion play in preventing civil war from recurring? Politicians have proposed that when warring groups share the same religion, achieving a durable peace will be easier. We test this hypothesis empirically using a large-nsample of all ethnic civil wars that began and ended between 1950 and 2006, and a measure of co-religiosity between the ethnic group in power and the main opposition group. The analysis shows that there is no positive relationship between co-religiosity and the duration of post-civil war peace, showing that sharing the same religion may not help to bring about peace following an ethnic civil war. To the contrary, the closer religious ties, the less likely it is that peace will last after the end of the conflict, and the higher the risk that conflict will recur.

Termination and Recurrence of Civil War: Which Outcomes Lead to Durable Peace after Civil War?

2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
HIROTAKA OHMURA
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Civil Wars ◽  
Power Sharing ◽  
War Termination ◽  
Peacekeeping Operations ◽  
Post Conflict ◽  
Peace Settlement ◽  
Military Victory ◽  
Peace Duration ◽  
Durable Peace

AbstractThis article attempts to answer why some countries experience the recurrence of civil war and others do not. One of the most significant differences between civil war onset and its recurrence is that the latter has once experienced termination of civil war, while the former has not. To find the cause of recurrence, this article examines how different war termination types influence the duration of post-civil war peace. Duration analysis of the civil wars between 1944 and 1999 shows that military victory, supported by peacekeeping operations or power-sharing arrangements, leads to the most durable peace in a post-civil war country. Contrary to the accepted wisdom, negotiated peace settlement, even when supported by peacekeeping operations or power-sharing arrangements, is not positively related to post-conflict peace.

Sustaining the Peace After Civil War: What Do We Know About Peace Failure Versus Peace Duration?

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. David Mason
Keyword(s):  
Civil War ◽  
Dynamic Process ◽  
Armed Conflict ◽  
High Probability ◽  
Contentious Politics ◽  
Peace Duration

Once a civil war ends, there is high probability that the nation will relapse into renewed war within a few years. For a nation where a civil war has recently ended to relapse into renewed conflict, some dynamic process of contention must emerge that makes a resumption of armed conflict one—but not the only—possible outcome of that contentious episode. We can conceive of the dynamics by which contentious politics can lead to civil war recurrence as a function of three conditions. First, one or more dissident groups must emerge with the organizational and military capacity to mount and sustain an armed challenge to the postwar state. Second, one or more of those groups must have the incentive to resort to armed conflict rather than abide by the post–civil war order. Third, conditions and events in the postwar environment must evolve in a manner such that one or more of these groups must determine that they have an opportunity to revolt. This framework can be used to analyze how, in existing research, the outcome and key attributes of the now-ended civil war and conditions in the postwar environment affect whether dissident groups will resume armed conflict or sustain the peace.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document