scholarly journals Moisture Damage Modeling in Lime and Chemically Modified Asphalt at Nanolevel Using Ensemble Computational Intelligence

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. R. Hassan ◽  
A. Al. Mamun ◽  
M. I. Hossain ◽  
M. Arifuzzaman

This paper measures the adhesion/cohesion force among asphalt molecules at nanoscale level using an Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM) and models the moisture damage by applying state-of-the-art Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques (e.g., artificial neural network (ANN), support vector regression (SVR), and an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)). Various combinations of lime and chemicals as well as dry and wet environments are used to produce different asphalt samples. The parameters that were varied to generate different asphalt samples and measure the corresponding adhesion/cohesion forces are percentage of antistripping agents (e.g., Lime and Unichem), AFM tips K values, and AFM tip types. The CI methods are trained to model the adhesion/cohesion forces given the variation in values of the above parameters. To achieve enhanced performance, the statistical methods such as average, weighted average, and regression of the outputs generated by the CI techniques are used. The experimental results show that, of the three individual CI methods, ANN can model moisture damage to lime- and chemically modified asphalt better than the other two CI techniques for both wet and dry conditions. Moreover, the ensemble of CI along with statistical measurement provides better accuracy than any of the individual CI techniques.

Author(s):  
B. Samanta ◽  
C. Nataraj

A procedure is presented for monitoring and prognostics of machine conditions using computational intelligence (CI) techniques. The machine condition is assessed through an energy-based feature, termed as ‘energy index’, extracted from the vibration signals. The progression of the ‘monitoring index’ is predicted using CI techniques, namely, recursive neural network (RNN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and support vector regression (SVR). The proposed prediction procedures have been evaluated through benchmark datasets. The prognostic effectiveness of the techniques has been illustrated through vibration dataset of a helicopter drivetrain system gearbox. The performance of SVR was found to be better than RNN and ANFIS for the dataset used. The results are helpful in understanding the relationship of machine conditions, the corresponding indicating feature, the level of damage/degradation and their progression.


Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Ali Kheiri ◽  
Nazanin Behfar

Abstract In this study, Artificial Intelligence (AI) models along with ensemble techniques were employed for predicting the SSL via single-station and multi-station scenarios. Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNNs), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were the employed AI models, and the simple averaging (SA), weighted averaging (WA), and neural averaging (NA) were the ensemble techniques developed for combining the outputs of the individual AI models to gain more accurate estimations of the SSL. For this purpose, twenty-year observed streamflow and SSL data of three gauging stations, located in Missouri and Upper Mississippi regions were utilized in both daily and monthly scales. The obtained results of both scenarios indicated the supremacy of ensemble techniques to single AI models. The neural ensemble demonstrated more reliable performance comparing to other ensemble techniques. For instance, in the first scenario, the ensemble technique increased the predicted results up to 20% in the verification phase of the daily and monthly modeling and up to 5 and 8% in the verification step of the second scenario.


CAUCHY ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Venny Riana Riana Agustin ◽  
Wahyu Henky Irawan

Tsukamoto method is one method of fuzzy inference system on fuzzy logic for decision making. Steps of the decision making in this method, namely fuzzyfication (process changing the input into kabur), the establishment of fuzzy rules, fuzzy logic analysis, defuzzyfication (affirmation), as well as the conclusion and interpretation of the results. The results from this research are steps of the decision making in Tsukamoto method, namely fuzzyfication (process changing the input into kabur), the establishment of fuzzy rules by the general form IF a is A THEN B is B, fuzzy logic analysis to get alpha in every rule, defuzzyfication (affirmation) by weighted average method, as well as the conclusion and interpretation of the results. On customers at the case, in value of 16 the quality of services, the value of 17 the quality of goods, and value of 16 a price, a value of the results is 45,29063 and the level is low satisfaction


Author(s):  
Saeed Farzin ◽  
Mahdi Valikhan Anaraki

Abstract In the present study, for the first time, a new strategy based on a combination of the hybrid least-squares support-vector machine (LS-SVM) and flower pollination optimization algorithm (FPA), average 24 general circulation model (GCM) output, and delta change factor method has been developed to achieve the impacts of climate change on runoff and suspended sediment load (SSL) in the Lighvan Basin in the period (2020–2099). Also, the results of modeling were compared to those of LS-SVM and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) methods. The comparison of runoff and SSL modeling results showed that the LS-SVM-FPA algorithm had the best results and the ANFIS algorithm had the worst results. After the acceptable performance of the LS-SVM-FPA algorithm was proved, the algorithm was used to predict runoff and SSL under climate change conditions based on ensemble GCM outputs for periods (2020–2034, 2035–2049, 2070–2084, and 2085–2099) under three scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. The results showed a decrease in the runoff in all periods and scenarios, except for the two near periods under the RCP2.6 scenario for runoff. The predicted runoff and SSL time series also showed that the SSL values were lower than the average observation period, except for 2036–2039 (up to an 8% increase in 2038).


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kieu Anh Nguyen ◽  
Walter Chen ◽  
Bor-Shiun Lin ◽  
Uma Seeboonruang

This study continues a previous study with further analysis of watershed-scale erosion pin measurements. Three machine learning (ML) algorithms—Support Vector Machine (SVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)—were used to analyze depth of erosion of a watershed (Shihmen reservoir) in northern Taiwan. In addition to three previously used statistical indexes (Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square of Error, and R-squared), Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) was calculated to compare the predictive performances of the three models. To see if there was a statistical difference between the three models, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used. The research utilized 14 environmental attributes as the input predictors of the ML algorithms. They are distance to river, distance to road, type of slope, sub-watershed, slope direction, elevation, slope class, rainfall, epoch, lithology, and the amount of organic content, clay, sand, and silt in the soil. Additionally, measurements of a total of 550 erosion pins installed on 55 slopes were used as the target variable of the model prediction. The dataset was divided into a training set (70%) and a testing set (30%) using the stratified random sampling with sub-watershed as the stratification variable. The results showed that the ANFIS model outperforms the other two algorithms in predicting the erosion rates of the study area. The average RMSE of the test data is 2.05 mm/yr for ANFIS, compared to 2.36 mm/yr and 2.61 mm/yr for ANN and SVM, respectively. Finally, the results of this study (ANN, ANFIS, and SVM) were compared with the previous study (Random Forest, Decision Tree, and multiple regression). It was found that Random Forest remains the best predictive model, and ANFIS is the second-best among the six ML algorithms.


Author(s):  
He Dai ◽  
Shilong Wang ◽  
Xin Xiong ◽  
Baocang Zhou ◽  
Shouli Sun ◽  
...  

Thermal errors are one of the most significant factors that influence the machining precision of machine tools. For large-sized gear grinding machine tools, thermal errors of beds, columns and rotary tables are decreased by their huge heat capacity. However, different from machine tools of normal sizes, thermal errors increase with greater power in motorised spindles. Thermal error compensation is generally considered as a relatively effective, convenient and cost-efficient approach in thermal error control and reduction. This article proposes two thermal error prediction models for motorised spindles based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and support vector machine, respectively. In the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system–based model, the temperature values are divided into different groups using subtractive clustering. A hybrid learning scheme is adopted to adjust membership functions so as to learn from the input data. In the particle swarm optimisation support vector machine–based model, particle swarm optimisation is used to optimise the hyperparameters of the established model. Thermal balance experiments are conducted on a large-sized computer numerical control gear grinding machine tool to establish the prediction models. Comparative results show that the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system model has higher prediction accuracy (with residual errors within ±2.5 μm in the radial direction and ±3 μm in the axial direction) than the support vector machine model.


2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Serhat Odabas ◽  
Nurettin Senyer ◽  
Gokhan Kayhan ◽  
Erhan Ergun

In this study, the effectiveness of an SPAD-502 portable chlorophyll (Chl) meter was evaluated for estimating the Chl contents in leaves of some medicinal and aromatic plants. To predict the individual chlorophyll concentration indexes of St. John’s wort (Hypericum perforatum L.), mint (Mentha angustifolia L.), melissa (Melissa officinalis L.), thyme (Thymus sp.), and echinacea (Echinacea purpurea L.), models were developed using SPAD value. Multi-layer perceptron (MLP), adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and general regression neural network (GRNN) were used for determining the chlorophyll concentration indexes.


Author(s):  
Arindam Chaudhuri

Forecasting rice production is a challenging problem in agricultural statistics. The inherent difficulty lies in demand and supply affected by many uncertain factors viz. economic policies, agricultural factors, credit measures, foreign trade etc. which interact in a complex manner. Since last few decades, Statistical techniques are used for developing predictive models to estimate required parameters. Determination of nature of rice production time series data is difficult, expensive, time consuming and involves tedious tests. In this paper, we use Interval Type Fuzzy Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ITnARIMA), Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Modified Regularized Least Squares Fuzzy Support Vector Regression (MRLSFSVR) for prediction of Productivity Index percent (PI %) of rice production time series data and compare it with traditional Statistical tool of Multiple Regression. The accuracies of ITnARIMA and ANFIS techniques are evaluated as relatively similar. It is found that ANFIS exhibits high performance than ITnARIMA, MRLSFSVR and Multiple Regression for predicting PI %. The performance comparison shows that Computational Intelligence paradigm is a promising tool for minimizing uncertainties in rice production data. Further Computational Intelligence techniques also minimize potential inconsistency of correlations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amevi Acakpovi ◽  
Alfred Tettey Ternor ◽  
Nana Yaw Asabere ◽  
Patrick Adjei ◽  
Abdul-Shakud Iddrisu

This paper is concerned with the reliable prediction of electricity demands using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The need for electricity demand prediction is fundamental and vital for power resource planning and monitoring. A dataset of electricity demands covering the period of 2003 to 2018 was collected from the Electricity Distribution Company of Ghana, covering three urban areas namely Mallam, Achimota, and Ga East, all in Ghana. The dataset was divided into two parts: one part covering a period of 0 to 500 hours was used for training of the ANFIS algorithm while the second part was used for validation. Three scenarios were considered for the simulation exercise that was done with the MATLAB software. Scenario one considered four inputs sampled data, scenario two considered an additional input making it 5, and scenario 3 was similar to scenario 1 with the exception of the number of membership functions that increased from 2 to 3. The performance of the ANFIS algorithm was assessed by comparing its predictions with other three forecast models namely Support Vector Regression (SVR), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Findings revealed that the ANFIS algorithm can perform the prediction accurately, the ANFIS algorithm converges faster with an increase in the data used for training, and increasing the membership function resulted in overfitting of data which adversely affected the RMSE values. Comparison of the ANFIS results to other previously used methods of predicting electricity demands including SVR, LS-SVM, and ARIMA revealed that there is merit to the potentials of the ANFIS algorithm for improved predictive accuracy while relying on a quality data for training and reliable setting of tuning parameters.


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