scholarly journals Multi-station artificial intelligence based ensemble modeling of suspended sediment load

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Ali Kheiri ◽  
Nazanin Behfar
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Weighted Averaging ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Ensemble Technique ◽  
Ensemble Techniques ◽  
Neural Ensemble ◽  
Single Station ◽  
The Individual

Abstract In this study, Artificial Intelligence (AI) models along with ensemble techniques were employed for predicting the SSL via single-station and multi-station scenarios. Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNNs), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) were the employed AI models, and the simple averaging (SA), weighted averaging (WA), and neural averaging (NA) were the ensemble techniques developed for combining the outputs of the individual AI models to gain more accurate estimations of the SSL. For this purpose, twenty-year observed streamflow and SSL data of three gauging stations, located in Missouri and Upper Mississippi regions were utilized in both daily and monthly scales. The obtained results of both scenarios indicated the supremacy of ensemble techniques to single AI models. The neural ensemble demonstrated more reliable performance comparing to other ensemble techniques. For instance, in the first scenario, the ensemble technique increased the predicted results up to 20% in the verification phase of the daily and monthly modeling and up to 5 and 8% in the verification step of the second scenario.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Based Ensemble Modeling for Multi-Station Prediction of Precipitation

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Selin Uzelaltinbulat ◽  
Fahreddin Sadikoglu ◽  
Nazanin Behfar
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ensemble Method ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Monthly Precipitation ◽  
Ensemble Modeling ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Ensemble Techniques ◽  
Neural Ensemble ◽  
Non Linear

The aim of ensemble precipitation prediction in this paper was to achieve the best performance via artificial intelligence (AI) based modeling. In this way, ensemble AI based modeling was proposed for prediction of monthly precipitation with three different AI models (feed forward neural network-FFNN, adaptive neural fuzzy inference system-ANFIS and least square support vector machine-LSSVM) for the seven stations located in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC). Two scenarios were examined each having specific inputs set. The scenario 1 was developed for predicting each station’s precipitation through its own data at previous time steps while in scenario 2, the central station’s data were imposed into the models, in addition to each station’s data, as exogenous input. Afterwards, the ensemble modeling was generated to improve the performance of the precipitation predictions. To end this aim, two linear and one non-linear ensemble techniques were used and then the obtained outcomes were compared. In terms of efficiency measures, the averaging methods employing scenario 2 and non-linear ensemble method revealed higher prediction efficiency. Also, in terms of Skill score, non-linear neural ensemble method could enhance predicting efficiency up to 44% in the verification step.

scholarly journals Earthfill dam seepage analysis using ensemble artificial intelligence based modeling

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 1071-1084 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elnaz Sharghi ◽  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Nazanin Behfar
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Ensemble ◽  
Feed Forward Neural Network ◽  
Seepage Analysis ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neural Ensemble ◽  
Predicting Performance ◽  
Seepage Modeling

Abstract In this paper, an ensemble artificial intelligence (AI) based model is proposed for seepage modeling. For this purpose, firstly several AI models (i.e. Feed Forward Neural Network, Support Vector Regression and Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System) were employed to model seepage through the Sattarkhan earthfill dam located in northwest Iran. Three different scenarios were considered where each scenario employs a specific input combination suitable for different real world conditions. Afterwards, an ensemble method as a post-processing approach was used to improve predicting performance of the water head through the dam and the results of the models were compared and evaluated. For this purpose, three methods of model ensemble (simple linear averaging, weighted linear averaging and non-linear neural ensemble) were employed and compared. The obtained results indicated that the model ensemble could lead to a promising improvement in seepage modeling. The results indicated that the ensembling method could increase the performance of AI modeling by up to 20% in the verification step.

scholarly journals Development of Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Approaches and a Support Vector Machine Algorithm for Predicting the Marshall Parameters of Stone Matrix Asphalt

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (15) ◽  
pp. 3172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoang-Long Nguyen ◽  
Thanh-Hai Le ◽  
Cao-Thang Pham ◽  
Tien-Thinh Le ◽  
Lanh Si Ho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Stone Matrix Asphalt ◽  
Hybrid Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Stone Matrix

The main objective of this study is to develop and compare hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) approaches, namely Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) optimized by Genetic Algorithm (GAANFIS) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSOANFIS) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) for predicting the Marshall Stability (MS) of Stone Matrix Asphalt (SMA) materials. Other important properties of the SMA, namely Marshall Flow (MF) and Marshall Quotient (MQ) were also predicted using the best model found. With that goal, the SMA samples were fabricated in a local laboratory and used to generate datasets for the modeling. The considered input parameters were coarse and fine aggregates, bitumen content and cellulose. The predicted targets were Marshall Parameters such as MS, MF and MQ. Models performance assessment was evaluated thanks to criteria such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and correlation coefficient (R). A Monte Carlo approach with 1000 simulations was used to deduce the statistical results to assess the performance of the three proposed AI models. The results showed that the SVM is the best predictor regarding the converged statistical criteria and probability density functions of RMSE, MAE and R. The results of this study represent a contribution towards the selection of a suitable AI approach to quickly and accurately determine the Marshall Parameters of SMA mixtures.

scholarly journals Development of a new empirical correlation for predicting formation volume factor of reservoir oil using artificial intelligence

2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 408-416
Author(s):  
E. V. Shakirova ◽  
A. A. Aleksandrov ◽  
M. V. Semykin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Empirical Correlation ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Volume Factor ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Artificial Neural

It is known that oil in reservoir conditions is characterized by the content of a certain amount of dissolved gas. As reservoir pressure decreases this gas is released from oil significantly changing its physical properties, primarily its density and viscosity. In addition, the oil volume also reduces, sometimes by 50–60 %. In this regard, when calculating reserves, it is necessary to justify the reduction amount of the reservoir oil volume when oil is extracted to the surface. For this purpose, the concept of formation volume factor of reservoir oil has been introduced. The formation volume factor of oil is considered one of the main characterizing parameters of crude oil. It is also required for modeling and predicting the characteristics of an oil reservoir. The purpose of the present work is to develop a new empirical correlation for predicting the formation volume factor of reservoir oil using artificial intelligence methods based on MATLAB software, such as: an artificial neural network, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, and a support vector machine. The article presents a new empirical correlation extracted from the artificial neural network based on 503 experimental data points for oils from the Eastern Siberia field, which was able to predict the formation volume factor of oil with the correlation coefficient of 0.969 and average absolute error of less than 1 %. The conducted study shows that the prediction accuracy of the desired parameter in the developed artificial intelligence model exceeds the accuracy of study results obtained by conventional statistical methods. Moreover, the model can be useful in the prospect of process optimization in field planning and development.

scholarly journals Ecological-environmental quality estimation using remote sensing and combined artificial intelligence techniques

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Ehsan Foroumandi ◽  
Elnaz Sharghi ◽  
Dominika Dąbrowska
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Environmental Quality ◽  
Network Performance ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Environmental Attributes ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract Ecological-environmental quality was evaluated for Tabriz and Rasht cities (in Iran) with different climate conditions using artificial intelligence (AI) and remote sensing (RS) techniques. Sampling sites were surveyed and ecological experts assigned eco-environment background values (EBVs) of sites. Then, eco-environmental attributes were extracted as RS derived, and meteorological attributes were observed. Three AI-based models, artificial neural network (ANN), support vector regression (SVR), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) were then applied to learn the relationship between a target set of known EBVs and eco-environmental attributes as inputs. According to the results of the single models, none of the models could evaluate EBV appropriately for all regions and classes. Thereafter, three combining techniques were applied to the outputs of single models to enhance spatial evaluation of EBV. It was observed that the modeling for Tabriz led to more accurate results. It seems that the better network performance for Tabriz may be due to a more heterogeneous dataset in this kind of climate. Furthermore, results indicated that SVR led to better performance than both ANN and ANFIS models, but the models' combining techniques were shown to be superior. Combining techniques enhanced performance of single AI modeling up to 26% in the verification step.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Cancer Detection and Classification: Review Study

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 342 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alaá Rateb Mahmoud Al-shamasneh ◽  
Unaizah Hanum Binti Obaidellah
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Human Cancer ◽  
Imaging Techniques ◽  
Detection Methods ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Techniques

Cancer is the general name for a group of more than 100 diseases. Although cancer includes different types of diseases, they all start because abnormal cells grow out of control. Without treatment, cancer can cause serious health problems and even loss of life. Early detection of cancer may reduce mortality and morbidity. This paper presents a review of the detection methods for lung, breast, and brain cancers. These methods used for diagnosis include artificial intelligence techniques, such as support vector machine neural network, artificial neural network, fuzzy logic, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, with medical imaging like X-ray, ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, and computed tomography scan images. Imaging techniques are the most important approach for precise diagnosis of human cancer. We investigated all these techniques to identify a method that can provide superior accuracy and determine the best medical images for use in each type of cancer.

scholarly journals Moisture Damage Modeling in Lime and Chemically Modified Asphalt at Nanolevel Using Ensemble Computational Intelligence

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. R. Hassan ◽  
A. Al. Mamun ◽  
M. I. Hossain ◽  
M. Arifuzzaman
Keyword(s):  
Computational Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Moisture Damage ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Modified Asphalt ◽  
Chemically Modified ◽  
Dry Conditions ◽  
The Individual

This paper measures the adhesion/cohesion force among asphalt molecules at nanoscale level using an Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM) and models the moisture damage by applying state-of-the-art Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques (e.g., artificial neural network (ANN), support vector regression (SVR), and an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)). Various combinations of lime and chemicals as well as dry and wet environments are used to produce different asphalt samples. The parameters that were varied to generate different asphalt samples and measure the corresponding adhesion/cohesion forces are percentage of antistripping agents (e.g., Lime and Unichem), AFM tips K values, and AFM tip types. The CI methods are trained to model the adhesion/cohesion forces given the variation in values of the above parameters. To achieve enhanced performance, the statistical methods such as average, weighted average, and regression of the outputs generated by the CI techniques are used. The experimental results show that, of the three individual CI methods, ANN can model moisture damage to lime- and chemically modified asphalt better than the other two CI techniques for both wet and dry conditions. Moreover, the ensemble of CI along with statistical measurement provides better accuracy than any of the individual CI techniques.

scholarly journals Coparison of artificial intelligence methods for predicting compressive strength of concrete

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (06) ◽  
pp. 617-632
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Compressive Strength ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Classification And Regression Tree ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Methods ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Compressive Strength Of Concrete

Compressive strength of concrete is an important parameter in concrete design. Accurate prediction of compressive strength of concrete can lower costs and save time. Therefore, thecompressive strength of concrete prediction performance of artificial intelligence methods (adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system, random forest, linear regression, classification and regression tree, support vector regression, k-nearest neighbour and extreme learning machine) are compared in this study using six different multinational datasets. The performance of these methods is evaluated using the correlation coefficient, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error criteria. Comparative results show that the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is more successful in all datasets.

scholarly journals Investigation on performance of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based fuzzy inference system (PSOFIS) in a combination of CFD modeling for prediction of fluid flow

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meisam Babanezhad ◽  
Iman Behroyan ◽  
Ali Taghvaie Nakhjiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Mashallah Rezakazemi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Bubble Column ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Cfd Modeling ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Mesh Density

AbstractHerein, a reactor of bubble column type with non-equilibrium thermal condition between air and water is mechanistically modeled and simulated by the CFD technique. Moreover, the combination of the adaptive network (AN) trainer with the fuzzy inference system (FIS) as the artificial intelligence method calling ANFIS has already shown potential in the optimization of CFD approach. Although the artificial intelligence method of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based fuzzy inference system (PSOFIS) has a good background for optimizing the other fields of research, there are not any investigations on the cooperation of this method with the CFD. The PSOFIS can reduce all the difficulties and simplify the investigation by elimination of the additional CFD simulations. In fact, after achieving the best intelligence, all the predictions can be done by the PSOFIS instead of the massive computational efforts needed for CFD modeling. The first aim of this study is to develop the PSOFIS for use in the CFD approach application. The second one is to make a comparison between the PSOFIS and ANFIS for the accurate prediction of the CFD results. In the present study, the CFD data are learned by the PSOFIS for prediction of the water velocity inside the bubble column. The values of input numbers, swarm sizes, and inertia weights are investigated for the best intelligence. Once the best intelligence is achieved, there is no need to mesh refinement in the CFD domain. The mesh density can be increased, and the newer predictions can be done in an easier way by the PSOFIS with much less computational efforts. For a strong verification, the results of the PSOFIS in the prediction of the liquid velocity are compared with those of the ANFIS. It was shown that for the same fuzzy set parameters, the PSOFIS predictions are closer to the CFD in comparison with the ANFIS. The regression number (R) of the PSOFIS (0.98) was a little more than that of the ANFIS (0.97). The PSOFIS showed a powerful potential in mesh density increment from 9477 to 774,468 and accurate predictions for the new nodes independent of the CFD modeling.

scholarly journals Prediction of Multi-Scalar Standardized Precipitation Index by Using Artificial Intelligence and Regression Models

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Anurag Malik ◽  
Anil Kumar ◽  
Priya Rai ◽  
Alban Kuriqi
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Standardized Precipitation Index ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Precipitation Index ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Drought Prediction ◽  
Optimal Functioning

Accurate monitoring and forecasting of drought are crucial. They play a vital role in the optimal functioning of irrigation systems, risk management, drought readiness, and alleviation. In this work, Artificial Intelligence (AI) models, comprising Multi-layer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) and Co-Active Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (CANFIS), and regression, model including Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), were investigated for multi-scalar Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) prediction in the Garhwal region of Uttarakhand State, India. The SPI was computed on six different scales, i.e., 1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, 12-, and 24-month, by deploying monthly rainfall information of available years. The significant lags as inputs for the MLPNN, CANFIS, and MLR models were obtained by utilizing Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) with a significant level equal to 5% for SPI-1, SPI-3, SPI-6, SPI-9, SPI-12, and SPI-24. The predicted multi-scalar SPI values utilizing the MLPNN, CANFIS, and MLR models were compared with calculated SPI of multi-time scales through different performance evaluation indicators and visual interpretation. The appraisals of results indicated that CANFIS performance was more reliable for drought prediction at Dehradun (3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month scales), Chamoli and Tehri Garhwal (1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month scales), Haridwar and Pauri Garhwal (1-, 3-, 6-, and 9-month scales), Rudraprayag (1-, 3-, and 6-month scales), and Uttarkashi (3-month scale) stations. The MLPNN model was best at Dehradun (1- and 24- month scales), Tehri Garhwal and Chamoli (24-month scale), Haridwar (12- and 24-month scales), Pauri Garhwal (12-month scale), Rudraprayag (9-, 12-, and 24-month), and Uttarkashi (1- and 6-month scales) stations, while the MLR model was found to be optimal at Pauri Garhwal (24-month scale) and Uttarkashi (9-, 12-, and 24-month scales) stations. Furthermore, the modeling approach can foster a straightforward and trustworthy expert intelligent mechanism for projecting multi-scalar SPI and decision making for remedial arrangements to tackle meteorological drought at the stations under study.

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