scholarly journals Time Series Prediction of Electricity Demand Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amevi Acakpovi ◽  
Alfred Tettey Ternor ◽  
Nana Yaw Asabere ◽  
Patrick Adjei ◽  
Abdul-Shakud Iddrisu
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Electricity Demand ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Quality Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

This paper is concerned with the reliable prediction of electricity demands using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The need for electricity demand prediction is fundamental and vital for power resource planning and monitoring. A dataset of electricity demands covering the period of 2003 to 2018 was collected from the Electricity Distribution Company of Ghana, covering three urban areas namely Mallam, Achimota, and Ga East, all in Ghana. The dataset was divided into two parts: one part covering a period of 0 to 500 hours was used for training of the ANFIS algorithm while the second part was used for validation. Three scenarios were considered for the simulation exercise that was done with the MATLAB software. Scenario one considered four inputs sampled data, scenario two considered an additional input making it 5, and scenario 3 was similar to scenario 1 with the exception of the number of membership functions that increased from 2 to 3. The performance of the ANFIS algorithm was assessed by comparing its predictions with other three forecast models namely Support Vector Regression (SVR), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Findings revealed that the ANFIS algorithm can perform the prediction accurately, the ANFIS algorithm converges faster with an increase in the data used for training, and increasing the membership function resulted in overfitting of data which adversely affected the RMSE values. Comparison of the ANFIS results to other previously used methods of predicting electricity demands including SVR, LS-SVM, and ARIMA revealed that there is merit to the potentials of the ANFIS algorithm for improved predictive accuracy while relying on a quality data for training and reliable setting of tuning parameters.

Improved Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System Using Gray Wolf Optimization: A Case Study in Predicting Biochar Yield

2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 924-940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed A. Ewees ◽  
Mohamed Abd Elaziz
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Gray Wolf ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Whale Optimization ◽  
Benchmark Datasets

Abstract This paper presents an alternative method for predicting biochar yields from biomass thermochemical processes. As biochar is considered a renewable and sustainable energy source, it has received more attention. Several methods have been presented to predict biochar, such as neural network (NN) and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). However, each of them has its own drawbacks, such as getting stuck in a local optimum, which occurs in NN, and lack of uncertainty and time complexity, as in LS-SVM. Therefore, this paper avoids this limitation by using a hybrid method between the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and gray wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The proposed method is called ANFIS-GWO, which consists of two stages. In the first stage, GWO is used to learn the parameters of ANFIS using the training set. Meanwhile, in the second stage, the testing set is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method. Three experiments were performed to assess the performance of the proposed method. The first experiment used a set of UCI (University of California, Irvine) benchmark datasets to evaluate the effectiveness of ANFIS-GWO. The aim of the second experiment was to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method to predict biochar yield from manure pyrolysis. The third experiment aimed to estimate the values of input parameters of pyrolysis that maximize biochar production. The obtained results were compared to those of other methods, such as ANFIS using gradient descent, practical swarm optimization, genetic algorithm, whale optimization algorithm, sine-cosine algorithm, and LS-SVM. The results of the ANFIS-GWO method were >35% of the standard ANFIS and also better than those of other methods.

GPS Signal Reception Classification Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

2018 ◽  
Vol 72 (3) ◽  
pp. 685-701 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Sun ◽  
Li-Ta Hsu ◽  
Dabin Xue ◽  
Guohao Zhang ◽  
Washington Yotto Ochieng
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Receiver Design ◽  
Single Variable ◽  
Gps Measurements ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Static Test ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

The multipath effect and Non-Line-Of-Sight (NLOS) reception of Global Positioning System (GPS) signals both serve to degrade performance, particularly in urban areas. Although receiver design continues to evolve, residual multipath errors and NLOS signals remain a challenge in built-up areas. It is therefore desirable to identify direct, multipath-affected and NLOS GPS measurements in order improve ranging-based position solutions. The traditional signal strength-based methods to achieve this, however, use a single variable (for example, Signal to Noise Ratio (C/N0)) as the classifier. As this single variable does not completely represent the multipath and NLOS characteristics of the signals, the traditional methods are not robust in the classification of signals received. This paper uses a set of variables derived from the raw GPS measurements together with an algorithm based on an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to classify direct, multipath-affected and NLOS measurements from GPS. Results from real data show that the proposed method could achieve rates of correct classification of 100%, 91% and 84%, respectively, for LOS, Multipath and NLOS based on a static test with special conditions. These results are superior to the other three state-of-the-art signal reception classification methods.

Thermal error modelling of motorised spindle in large-sized gear grinding machine

2017 ◽  
Vol 231 (5) ◽  
pp. 768-778 ◽  
Author(s):  
He Dai ◽  
Shilong Wang ◽  
Xin Xiong ◽  
Baocang Zhou ◽  
Shouli Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Machine Tools ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Thermal Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Thermal Errors ◽  
Gear Grinding ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Grinding Machine

Thermal errors are one of the most significant factors that influence the machining precision of machine tools. For large-sized gear grinding machine tools, thermal errors of beds, columns and rotary tables are decreased by their huge heat capacity. However, different from machine tools of normal sizes, thermal errors increase with greater power in motorised spindles. Thermal error compensation is generally considered as a relatively effective, convenient and cost-efficient approach in thermal error control and reduction. This article proposes two thermal error prediction models for motorised spindles based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and support vector machine, respectively. In the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system–based model, the temperature values are divided into different groups using subtractive clustering. A hybrid learning scheme is adopted to adjust membership functions so as to learn from the input data. In the particle swarm optimisation support vector machine–based model, particle swarm optimisation is used to optimise the hyperparameters of the established model. Thermal balance experiments are conducted on a large-sized computer numerical control gear grinding machine tool to establish the prediction models. Comparative results show that the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system model has higher prediction accuracy (with residual errors within ±2.5 μm in the radial direction and ±3 μm in the axial direction) than the support vector machine model.

scholarly journals Driver Drowsiness Detection Based on Steering Wheel Data Applying Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Feature Selection

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 943 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sadegh Arefnezhad ◽  
Sajjad Samiee ◽  
Arno Eichberger ◽  
Ali Nahvi
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Steering Wheel ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Drowsiness Detection ◽  
Driver Drowsiness ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

This paper presents a novel feature selection method to design a non-invasive driver drowsiness detection system based on steering wheel data. The proposed feature selector can select the most related features to the drowsiness level to improve the classification accuracy. This method is based on the combination of the filter and wrapper feature selection algorithms using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). In this method firstly, four different filter indexes are applied on extracted features from steering wheel data. After that, output values of each filter index are imported as inputs to a fuzzy inference system to determine the importance degree of each feature and select the most important features. Then, the selected features are imported to a support vector machine (SVM) for binary classification to classify the driving conditions in two classes of drowsy and awake. Finally, the classifier accuracy is exploited to adjust parameters of an adaptive fuzzy system using a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. The experimental data were collected from about 20.5 h of driving in the simulator. The results show that the drowsiness detection system is working with a high accuracy and also confirm that this method is more accurate than the recent available algorithms.

Investigation of trap efficiency of retention dams

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 450-459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Parsaie ◽  
Samad Ememgholizadeh ◽  
Amir Hamzeh Haghiabi ◽  
Amir Moradinejad
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Kernel Functions ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Trap Efficiency ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Management Plans ◽  
Longitudinal Slope ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Abstract In this paper, the trap efficiency (TE) of retention dams was investigated using laboratory experiments. To map the relation between TE and involved parameters, artificial intelligence (AI) methods including artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and support vector machine (SVM) were utilized. Results of experiments indicated that the range of TE varies between 30 and 98%; hence, this structure can be recommended to control sediment transport in watershed management plans. Experimental results showed that by increasing the longitudinal slope of streams, TE decreases. This finding was observed for Vf/Vs parameter, as well. By increasing the mean diameter grain size (D50) and specific gravity of sediments (Gs), TE increases. Results of all applied AI models demonstrated that all of them have suitable performance; however, the minimum data dispersivity was observed in SVM outcomes. It is notable that the best performance of transfer, membership and kernel functions were related to tansig, gaussmf and radial basis function (RBF) for ANN, SVM and ANFIS, respectively.

Daily Forecasting of Dam Water Levels: Comparing a Support Vector Machine (SVM) Model With Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 3803-3823 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afiq Hipni ◽  
Ahmed El-shafie ◽  
Ali Najah ◽  
Othman Abdul Karim ◽  
Aini Hussain ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Svm Model

scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches for Accurate Prediction of Relative Humidity based on Temperature and Wet-Bulb Depression

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Ghadiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Samira Mohammadinia ◽  
Manouchehr Shokri
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Statistical Learning ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Cooling Towers ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Data Points

The main parameters for calculation of relative humidity are the wet-bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. In this work, easy-to-used predictive tools based on statistical learning concepts, i.e., the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) are developed for calculating relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. To evaluate the aforementioned models, some statistical analyses have been done between the actual and estimated data points. Results obtained from the present models showed their capabilities to calculate relative humidity for divers values of dry bulb temperatures and also wet-bulb depression. The obtained values of MSE and MRE were 0.132 and 0.931, 0.193 and 1.291 for the LSSVM and ANFIS approaches respectively. These developed tools are user-friend and can be of massive value for scientists especially, those dealing with air conditioning and wet cooling towers systems to have a noble check of the relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperatures.

scholarly journals On the Prediction of Biogas Production from Vegetables, Fruits, and Food Wastes by ANFIS- and LSSVM-Based Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yong Yang ◽  
Shuaishuai Zheng ◽  
Zhilu Ai ◽  
Mohammad Mahdi Molla Jafari
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Biogas Production ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Robust Algorithms ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Proposed Model

This study is aimed at modeling biodigestion systems as a function of the most influencing parameters to generate two robust algorithms on the basis of the machine learning algorithms, including adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM). The models are assessed utilizing multiple statistical analyses for the actual values and model outcomes. Results from the suggested models indicate their great capability of predicting biogas production from vegetable food, fruits, and wastes for a variety of ranges of input parameters. The values that are calculated for the mean relative error (MRE %) and mean squared error (MSE) were 29.318 and 0.0039 for ANFIS, and 2.951 and 0.0001 for LSSVM which shows that the latter model has a better ability to predict the target data. Finally, in order to have additional certainty, two analyses of outlier identification and sensitivity were performed on the input parameter data that proved the proposed model in this paper has higher reliability in assessing output values compared with the previous model.

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