Balanced‐budget rules: Local indeterminacy and bifurcations

A NOTE ON BALANCED-BUDGET INCOME TAXES AND AGGREGATE (IN)STABILITY IN MULTI-SECTOR ECONOMIES

Macroeconomic Dynamics ◽

10.1017/s1365100519000403 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 1-20

Author(s):

Nicolas Abad ◽

Alain Venditti

Keyword(s):

Oecd Countries ◽

Income Taxes ◽

Labor Income ◽

Investment Good ◽

Tax Rate ◽

Consumption Good ◽

Good Sector ◽

Local Indeterminacy ◽

Balanced Budget ◽

Capital Intensive

We examine the impact of balanced-budget labor income taxes on the existence of expectation-driven business cycles in a two-sector version of the Schmitt-Grohé and Uribe (SGU) [(1997) Journal of Political Economy 105, 976–1000] model with constant government expenditures and counter-cyclical taxes. Our results show that the destabilizing impact of labor income taxes strongly depends on the capital intensity difference across sectors. Local indeterminacy is indeed more likely when the consumption good sector is capital intensive, as the minimal tax rate decreases, and less likely when the investment good sector is capital intensive, as the minimal tax rate increases. The implication of this result can be quantitatively significant. Indeed, when compared to SGU, local indeterminacy can be either completely ruled out for all OECD countries when the investment good is sufficiently capital intensive or drastically improved, delivering indeterminacy for a larger set of OECD countries, if the consumption good is sufficiently capital intensive. Focusing however on recent estimates of the sectoral capital shares corresponding to the empirically plausible case of a capital intensive consumption good, we find that there is a significant increase of the range of economically relevant labor tax rates (from a minimum tax rate of 30% to 24.7% for which local indeterminacy arises with respect to the aggregate formulation of SGU.

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Economic Effects of 2004-2009 Tax Reforms: Retrospective Analysis

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2012-2-108-123 ◽

2012 ◽

pp. 108-123

Author(s):

E. Penukhina ◽

D. Belousov ◽

K. Mikhailenko

Keyword(s):

Retrospective Analysis ◽

Tax Policy ◽

Economic Effects ◽

Tax Policies ◽

Policy Changes ◽

Tax Reforms ◽

Russian Economy ◽

Balanced Budget ◽

Budget System

The article determines, describes and analyzes phases of tax reforms in Russia. We estimate macroeconomic and fiscal effects of various tax policies held during the second and third phases of tax reforms. The necessity of providing a balanced budget system, as well as complex assessment of effects of tax policy changes for the development of the Russian economy is noted.

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