AMLO plans for Central American migrants look naive

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Food Security ◽  
Central America ◽  
Central American ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Regional Migration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
Mexico Border ◽  
President Elect

Subject Regional migration issues. Significance Mexican President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) on October 3 said US President Donald Trump “looks favourably” on his plans to stem northward migration by promoting economic development in Central America. The remarks followed a call between the leaders that Trump described as “great”, with the US president adding that “we will work well together”. Whether such goodwill will last is doubtful, particularly regarding the issue of migration, on which the leaders have thus far taken diametrically opposed stances. Impacts Increased migration from Nicaragua and Venezuela could test stability in Costa Rica and Panama. Global warming will hit Central America hard, with droughts and flooding affecting food security, fuelling migration. Toughened security on the US-Mexico border will make people smuggling highly profitable for crime cartels.

US backsliding will drag on global climate progress

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Paris Agreement ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Federal Support ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Climate Action

Subject The Paris Agreement and US withdrawal. Significance President Donald Trump announced his intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement on climate change on June 1, prompting criticism from around the world. While current pledges are unlikely to change and the agreement will not see flight or withdrawal by other countries, US withdrawal imperils the ability of the agreement’s structure to accelerate climate action to a scale necessary to meet its objective of limiting global warming to below 2 degrees centigrade by 2100. Impacts The US private sector and sub-national polities will increase their climate action, though the loss of federal support will still be felt. A future US administration could re-enter the agreement, but substantial momentum will be lost diplomatically in the intervening years. Calls for greater adaptation -- rather than mitigation -- funds from climate-vulnerable states will grow more strident.

Trump may trigger Central American trade opportunities

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
International Trade ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Central America ◽  
Central American ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
To Come ◽  
Trade Deals ◽  
American Trade

Subject Outlook for Central American trade. Significance The election of Donald Trump as the next US president has created uncertainty over the outlook for trade in Central America. However, the region is open to international trade, and a recent trade deal with South Korea illustrates its attractions as a partner. Impacts The trade accord with South Korea is likely to come into force over the coming year. Increased US protectionism would be felt in Central America. Other Asian countries could show growing interest in negotiating trade deals with Central American countries.

Remittances to grow in Mexico and Central America

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
El Salvador ◽  
Central America ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Central American ◽  
Single Digit ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us

Subject With the dollar strengthening against many local currencies, remittances are on the rise. Significance The strengthening of the dollar has seen remittance figures in Mexico and Central America rise recently. While the weight of remittances varies greatly across Latin America, Mexico is by far the most important recipient in the region. However, the weight of remittance transfers in the Mexican economy only has a significant impact in certain areas, while in several Central American countries, notably El Salvador, they are vital to overall private consumption. Impacts As the US economy gathers strength, remittances should continue to grow, albeit at single-digit rates. While the economic relevance of remittances should decline in Mexico, it will continue increasing in Central America. Governments are faced with the challenge of redirecting the use of remittances from spending to investment.

US policies raise risks for the Caribbean

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central America ◽  
Detrimental Effect ◽  
Policy Environment ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Economic Climate ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Funding Cuts ◽  
Trump Administration

Subject US policies and Caribbean risks. Significance With the US presidency of Donald Trump now entering its third month, the Caribbean is beginning to digest the likely impacts on the region of a fast-changing policy environment in Washington. There are a range of new initiatives being implemented or planned by the Trump administration, many of which could have a detrimental effect on the Caribbean. Impacts US deportations will affect the Caribbean as well as Mexico and Central America. Banks’ de-risking measures could put pressure on US-Caribbean trade. US funding cuts could affect the Caribbean on a range of economic, climate and humanitarian issues.

Mexico and Central America remittances may increase

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Central America ◽  
The United States ◽  
Central American ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Foreign Born ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World ◽  
Remittance Flows

Subject Remittances. Significance Remittances represent a crucial inflow of hard currency for many countries in Latin America. Mexico stands out as the fourth-largest recipient in the world, while in several Central American countries, remittances are even more important with respect to economic variables such as GDP or exports. With the vast majority of the region’s remittance inflows coming from the United States, the election of President Donald Trump in November has raised concerns for many countries whose economies rely heavily on the inflow of expatriate dollars. Impacts Amid low economic growth, remittances will represent an important element to alleviate poverty in Mexico. Any significant disruption to remittance flows would have a severe impact on consumption and GDP growth in Central America. As US unemployment falls, foreign-born workers will see wages go up in sectors with tight labour markets, boosting remittances

Media, place-making, and concept-metaphors: the US-Mexico border during the rise of Donald Trump

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
pp. 880-897 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Jill Fleuriet ◽  
Mari Castellano
Keyword(s):  
News Media ◽  
Border Region ◽  
Central American ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Open Spaces ◽  
Political Actors ◽  
The Us ◽  
Mexico Border ◽  
American Concept ◽  
Us Mexico Border

In this article, we trace shifting representations of a US-Mexico border region in national mainstream news media during the rise of Donald Trump. We argue that the border is an American concept-metaphor that circulates and reshapes in media in response to political actors. We compare articles published in 2015, 2016, and 2017 about the Texas borderlands where the majority of Central American asylum seekers arrived. Crucial to Trump’s success, the narrow, racialized rendering of the border inadvertently provoked a wider array of representations in national news media but remained rooted in how Americans think about Others, sovereignty, and immigration. Our work contributes to scholarship that connects discursive regimes and statecraft with life in borderlands to lay bare underlying social tensions and potential violence. Analysis of concept-metaphors can open spaces for new articulations of key cultural domains and interrogate hidden assumptions about places, crucial during times of surging populism and nationalism.

Trump deportation moves threaten Central America

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Steady Flow ◽  
Central America ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Public Services ◽  
Central American ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us

Significance His trip followed the US government’s announcement, on February 21, of plans for a migrant crackdown that could see the number of Mexican and Central American deportees skyrocket. The region already receives a steady flow of deportees. However, if the US deportation rate increases, the countries of origin could experience far greater challenges in terms of pressure on public services, social dislocation and crime. Impacts Increased deportations may be accompanied by reduced US funding to Central America. Central America and Mexico may seek to build on existing cooperation mechanisms to protect migrants. Large-scale migration will continue in the short term as migrants attempt to reach the US border before the wall is built.

US drives hardening of Central American migrant stance

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
El Salvador ◽  
The United States ◽  
Central American ◽  
Security Strategy ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Northern Mexico ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Us ◽  
Mexico Border ◽  
Mexican Government

Significance The move follows weeks of heightened tension over Central American migrant caravans, which saw Nielsen launch a new border security strategy with the ‘Northern Triangle’ governments of El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, and Trump order an end to US aid to the region, before renewing, then retracting, threats to close the US-Mexico border. Impacts Seemingly soft migration policies could provoke anger with AMLO in northern Mexico, especially if caravans hinder cross-border travel. Trump’s climbdown on the border closure undermines his threats towards Mexico generally and may embolden the Mexican government. Increased deportations from the United States would put even more pressure on Northern Triangle governments, especially that of El Salvador.

Moroccan ‘wins’ over Western Sahara come with risks

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Diplomatic Relations ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Western Sahara ◽  
The Us ◽  
President Elect

Significance President Donald Trump announced on December 10 that Washington would recognise Rabat’s claims over Western Sahara (the UN considers it a non-self-governing territory) in exchange for Moroccan commitments to establish diplomatic relations with Israel. The US move comes at an already tense period in Western Sahara, where a 29-year-old ceasefire between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front broke down last month. Impacts President-elect Joe Biden will struggle to reverse Trump’s actions without alienating Morocco, a key US partner. Rabat will downplay the component of the deal regarding relations with Israel, and will crack down on domestic criticism on this issue. Concurrent US efforts to build deeper security ties with Algeria, the Polisario Front’s main external backer, will be undermined.

US shutdown deal by February 15 is possible

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Federal Government ◽  
Political Capital ◽  
Social Spending ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Content Type ◽  
State Of The Union ◽  
The Us ◽  
Mexico Border ◽  
The Government ◽  
Us Mexico Border

Significance President Donald Trump wants to use DHS money to build a wall on the US-Mexico border to improve security and tackle crime. Yet Democrats say a wall is ineffective and ‘immoral’, partly as they disagree with Trump that there is any border crime or security crisis or emergency. This disagreement caused the longest federal government shutdown in history (35 days), which ended when Trump signed a Continuing Resolution to fund the government to midnight on February 15-16. Impacts Federal workers (but not contractors) will be fully reimbursed, benefitting consumption, and social spending will resume. Recently re-elected House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s leadership acumen will be further boosted among House Democrats. Trump will likely give his State of the Union Address to Congress on February 5, where he can bolster his political capital.

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