More combative US moves raise risk of a ‘trade war’
Significance Sharp rhetoric from President Donald Trump and his officials is raising the prospect of a trade war. Following a year of false alarms and intra-administration conflict, signs point to escalation of the increasingly protectionist US agenda, particularly towards China. Impacts The seventh NAFTA round will begin on February 26 -- services market access and the dispute settlement mechanism are the trickiest topics. Even if there is a NAFTA deal, it could struggle to pass Congress. China is ready to retaliate, both against prospective steel and aluminium tariffs and any punishment for intellectual property theft.