Broadening the Atmospheric Bridge Paradigm: ENSO Teleconnections to the Tropical West Pacific-Indian Oceans Over the Seasonal Cycle and to the North Pacific in Summer

2013 ◽  
pp. 85-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael A. Alexander ◽  
Ngar-Cheung Lau ◽  
James D. Scott
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
West Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
Enso Teleconnections ◽  
The North Pacific

scholarly journals Strengthened Relationship between Tropical West Pacific and Midsummer Precipitation over Northeast China after the Mid-1990s

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (16) ◽  
pp. 6833-6848
Author(s):  
Tingting Han ◽  
Minghua Zhang ◽  
Botao Zhou ◽  
Xin Hao ◽  
Shangfeng Li
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Northeast China ◽  
Aleutian Islands ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
West Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
Circulation Anomalies ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The North Pacific ◽  
Central North Pacific

AbstractThe relationship between the tropical west Pacific (TWP) and East Asian summer monsoon/precipitation has been documented in previous studies. However, the stability for the signals of midsummer precipitation in the TWP sea surface temperature (SST_TWP), which is important for climate variation, has drawn little attention. This study identifies a strengthened relationship between the leading empirical orthogonal function mode (EOF1) of midsummer precipitation over Northeast China (NEC) and the SST_TWP after the mid-1990s. The EOF1 mode shows a significant positive correlation with the SST_TWP for 1996–2016, whereas the relationship is statistically insignificant for 1961–90. Further results indicate that the North Pacific multidecadal oscillation (NPMO) shifts to a positive phase after the 1990s. In the positive NPMO phase, the anomalous circulation over the northeast Pacific expands westward over the central North Pacific–Aleutian Islands region. Concurrently, the SST_TWP-associated wavelike pattern propagates northeastward from the west Pacific to the northwest Pacific and farther to the North Pacific, facilitating the poleward expansion and intensification of the SST_TWP-related circulation anomalies over the North Pacific. Therefore, the SST_TWP has an enhanced influence on NEC precipitation through the modulation of the circulation anomalies over the central North Pacific–Aleutian Islands region after the mid-1990s. Additionally, the tropical anticyclone/cyclone associated with the SST_TWP expands westward to South China, exerting an intensified impact on meridional wind anomalies along eastern China and on moisture transport over NEC. These conditions jointly contribute to the strengthened relationship between the SST_TWP and the EOF1 mode of NEC midsummer precipitation after the mid-1990s.

Key Role of the North Pacific Oscillation–West Pacific Pattern in Generating the Extreme 2013/14 North American Winter

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (20) ◽  
pp. 8109-8117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Baxter ◽  
Sumant Nigam
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
North American ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Eastern North America ◽  
North Pacific Oscillation ◽  
Winter Climate ◽  
West Pacific ◽  
The North ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract The 2013/14 boreal winter (December 2013–February 2014) brought extended periods of anomalously cold weather to central and eastern North America. The authors show that a leading pattern of extratropical variability, whose sea level pressure footprint is the North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and circulation footprint the West Pacific (WP) teleconnection—together, the NPO–WP—exhibited extreme and persistent amplitude in this winter. Reconstruction of the 850-hPa temperature, 200-hPa geopotential height, and precipitation reveals that the NPO–WP was the leading contributor to the winter climate anomaly over large swaths of North America. This analysis, furthermore, indicates that NPO–WP variability explains the most variance of monthly winter temperature over central-eastern North America since, at least, 1979. Analysis of the NPO–WP related thermal advection provides physical insight on the generation of the cold temperature anomalies over North America. Although NPO–WP’s origin and development remain to be elucidated, its concurrent links to tropical SSTs are tenuous. These findings suggest that notable winter climate anomalies in the Pacific–North American sector need not originate, directly, from the tropics. More broadly, the attribution of the severe 2013/14 winter to the flexing of an extratropical variability pattern is cautionary given the propensity to implicate the tropics, following several decades of focus on El Niño–Southern Oscillation and its regional and far-field impacts.

Future changes in ENSO teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America in CMIP6 simulations

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Beverley ◽  
Mat Collins ◽  
Hugo Lambert ◽  
Rob Chadwick
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Positive Temperature ◽  
Temperature Anomalies ◽  
The North ◽  
Enso Teleconnections ◽  
The Future ◽  
The North Pacific

<p>El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has major impacts on the weather and climate across many regions of the world. Understanding how these teleconnections may change in the future is therefore an important area of research. Here, we use simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to investigate future changes in ENSO teleconnections in the North Pacific/North America sector.</p><p>Precipitation over the equatorial Pacific associated with ENSO is projected to shift eastwards under global warming as a result of greater warming in the east Pacific, which reduces the barrier to convection as the warm pool expands eastwards. As a result, there is medium confidence (IPCC AR5 report) that ENSO teleconnections will shift eastwards in the North Pacific/North America sector. In the CMIP6 models, the present day teleconnection is relatively well simulated, with most models showing an anomalously deep Aleutian low and associated positive temperature anomalies over Alaska and northern North America in El Niño years. In the future warming simulations (we use abrupt-4xCO2, in which CO2 concentrations are immediately quadrupled from the global annual mean 1850 value), in agreement with the IPCC AR5 report, the North America teleconnection and associated circulation change is shifted eastwards in most models. However, it is also significantly weaker, with the result that the positive temperature anomalies in El Niño years over North America are much reduced. This weakening is seen both in models with a projected increase and projected decrease in the amplitude of future El Niño events. The mechanisms related to these projected changes, along with potential implications for future long range predictability over North America, will be discussed.</p>

scholarly journals All-Season Climatology and Variability of Atmospheric River Frequencies over the North Pacific

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (13) ◽  
pp. 4885-4903 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bryan D. Mundhenk ◽  
Elizabeth A. Barnes ◽  
Eric D. Maloney
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Detection Algorithm ◽  
Cold Season ◽  
Water Vapor Transport ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
Atmospheric Rivers ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract Recent work on atmospheric rivers (ARs) has led to a characterization of these impactful features as primarily cold-season phenomena. Here, an all-season analysis of AR incidence in the North Pacific basin is performed for the period spanning 1979–2014 using the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) reanalysis dataset. An occurrence-based detection algorithm is developed and employed to identify and characterize ARs in instantaneous fields of anomalous vertically integrated water vapor transport. The all-season climatology and variability of AR frequencies due to the seasonal cycle, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO), and their interactions are presented based on composites of the detected features. The results highlight that ARs exist throughout the year over the North Pacific, although their preferred locations shift substantially throughout the year. This seasonal cycle manifests itself as northward and westward displacement of ARs during the Northern Hemisphere warm seasons, rather than an absolute change in the number of ARs within the domain. It is also shown that changes to the North Pacific mean-state due to ENSO and the MJO may enhance or completely offset the seasonal cycle of AR activity, but that such influences on AR frequencies vary greatly based on location.

scholarly journals Meridional Position Changes of the Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in the North Pacific

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-43
Author(s):  
TAO WANG ◽  
WENSHOU TIAN ◽  
TAO LIAN ◽  
CHENG SUN ◽  
FEI XIE ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The North ◽  
Enso Teleconnections ◽  
Southward Shift ◽  
The North Pacific

AbstractChanges in the meridional position of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies (SSTAs) associated with the interannual component (PC1-I) of the principal component 1 (PC1) of the first leading mode of the North Pacific SST (referred here as PC1-I-related SSTAs) are investigated using reanalysis products and climate model output. It is found that the PC1-I-related SSTAs (or PC1-I anomaly) significantly shift southward at a rate of 1.04°/decade and have moved southward by 4.4 degrees since the 1960s. Our further analysis indicates that the southward shift of the PC1-I-related SSTAs is due to changes in ENSO teleconnections. Compared to the 1950–1975 period (PRE era), the meridional width of the ENSO-induced tropical positive geopotential height (GH) anomaly is narrower during the 1991–2016 period (POST era), inducing a southward shift of the subtropical westerly anomaly over the North Pacific through geostrophic wind relations. This southward shift of the westerly anomaly favors the southward shift of the ENSO-induced negative GH anomaly (cyclonic circulation anomaly) over the North Pacific by positive vorticity forcing of the zonal wind shear. The southward-shifting GH anomaly associated with ENSO further forces the PC1-I anomaly to shift southward. Furthermore, the contraction of the ENSO-induced tropical positive GH anomaly is related to the contraction of the meridional width of ENSO. The modeling results support that the decrease in the ENSO meridional width favors the contraction of the ENSO-induced tropical positive GH anomaly and the southward shift of ENSO teleconnections over the North Pacific, contributing to the southward shift of the PC1-I anomaly.

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