Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?

2017 ◽  
Vol 100 ◽  
pp. 319-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tuhin Subhra Maparu ◽  
Tarak Nath Mazumder
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Transport Infrastructure

Perception and Reality—Economic Inequality as a Driver of Populism?

2019 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 337-358 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Hüther ◽  
Matthias Diermeier
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Income Distribution ◽  
Welfare State ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Economic Inequality ◽  
Public Officials ◽  
Middle Classes ◽  
The Future ◽  
General Criticism ◽  
The Welfare State

Abstract Can the rise of populism be explained by the growing chasm between rich and poor? With regard to Germany, such a causal relationship must be rejected. Income distribution in Germany has been very stable since 2005, and people’s knowledge on actual inequality and economic development is limited: inequality and unemployment are massively overestimated. At the same time, a persistently isolationist and xenophobic group with diverse concerns and preferences has emerged within the middle classes of society that riggers support for populist parties. This mood is based on welfare chauvinism against immigration rather than on a general criticism of distribution. Since the immigration of recent years will inevitably affect the relevant indicators concerning distribution, an open, cautious but less heated approach is needed in the debate on the future of the welfare state. In order to address and take the local concerns of citizens seriously, an increased exchange with public officials on the ground is needed.

scholarly journals Prediction of Urban and Rural Tourism Economic Forecast Based on Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Wusheng Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Local Economic Development ◽  
Tourism Industry ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Economic Forecast ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Tourism Revenue

With the rapid development of tourism, tourism revenue, as one of the important indicators to measure the development of the tourism economy, has high research value. The quasi-prediction of tourism revenue can drive the development of a series of related industries and accelerate the development of the domestic economy. When forecasting tourism income, it is necessary to examine the causal relationship between tourism income and local economic development. The traditional cointegration analysis method is to extract the promotion characteristics of tourism income to the local economy and construct a tourism income prediction model, but it cannot accurately describe the causal relationship between tourism income and local economic development and cannot accurately predict tourism income. We propose an optimized forecasting method of tourism revenue based on time series. This method first conducts a cointegration test on the time series data of the relationship between tourism income and local economic development, constructs a two-variable autoregressive model of tourism income and local economy, and uses the swarm intelligence method to test the causal relationship and the relationship between tourism income and local economic development, calculate the proportion of tourism industry, define the calculation result as the direct influence factor of tourism industry on the local economy, calculate the relevant effect of local tourism development and economic income, and construct tourism income optimization forecast model. The simulation results show that the model used can accurately predict tourism revenue.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Slovakia’s R1 expressway enhancement impacts on local socio-economic development: expert panel approach

Geografie ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 126 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-53
Author(s):  
Richard Filčák ◽  
Alena Rochovská ◽  
Marcel Horňák
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Research ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Expert Panel ◽  
Local Development ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Basic Question ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Statistical Research ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
Motorway Networks

Transport infrastructure development is considered one of the basic structural preconditions of competitiveness, growth and economic development in Slovakia. Transport network upgrading in the country has recently been focused mainly on road and motorway networks. The goal of this paper is to contribute to existing approaches to transport infrastructure impact assessment. The paper presents selected results of qualitative research focused on an analysis of the R1 expressway (as a part of TEN-T network) and its impacts on the economic, social and environmental dimensions of life at the local territorial level. The paper also seeks to answer the basic question, whether and to what extent the new section of the expressway brings any stimuli to regional or local development. Qualitative research realized by field sociological methods has shown new data and information necessary for a complex assessment of transport infrastructure impacts on social and economic development of regions. We assume that these impacts should not be based purely on mathematic and statistical research methods.

scholarly journals Determination and appraisal of transport infrastructure projects on economic development

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Μαρία Σαρτζετάκη
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Fuzzy Topsis ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Infrastructure Projects

Αντικειμενο της διατριβής είναι η διερευνηση της συμβολή στην ανάπτυξη από μεγάλες επενδύσεις στις μεταφορές, όπου κυρίαρχο ερευνητικό ερώτημα είναι η αξιολόγηση των επιπτώσεων από τη διοίκησης και διαχείριση μεγάλων έργων υποδομής με έμφαση στον τομέα των μεταφορών. Κύριος στόχος είναι η ανάλυση των οικονομικών επιπτώσεων από την ανάπτυξη και διαχείριση ενός έργου υποδομής μεταφορών, με έμφαση στην ποσοτική αποτίμησή της διάχυσης τους στους τομείς μιας οικονομίας και η δημιουργία μιας νέας μεθοδολογίας που συνοδεύεται από σχετικό υπολογιστικό πρότυπο για την αποτίμηση της συμβολή τους στη βάση εξέλιξης των επιπτώσεων επί των κοινωνικοοικονομικών μεγεθών. Μέσα από την εμπεριστατωμένη ανάλυση των βασικών παραμέτρων και κατευθύνσεων του προβλήματος και των μεταξύ τους αλληλεπιδράσεων επιτυγχάνεται ο σχεδιασμός ενός σύνθετου δείκτη αξιολόγησης για την υποστήριξη των υπεύθυνων λήψης απόφασης και διαχειριστών των έργων υποδομών μεταφορών. Η μοντελοποίηση του ερευνητικού ζητήματος στοχεύει στην αντιμετώπιση του ερευνητικού προβλήματος και στηρίζεται στη διαμόρφωση και την αξιολόγηση της στρατηγικής ανάλυσης αποφάσεων στο πλαίσιο της ανάπτυξης έργων υποδομής μεταφορών προς την κατεύθυνση της οικονομικής ανάπτυξης. Με τον τρόπο αυτό, η «συστημική» προσέγγιση, στην οποία βασίζεται η έννοια του προτεινόμενου υπολογιστικού μοντέλου, στοχεύει στη διαμόρφωση ενός πλαισίου για τη στήριξη των υπευθύνων λήψης αποφάσεων για τον εντοπισμό όλων των παραμέτρων που βελτιστοποιούν την απόδοση των έργων υποδομής μεταφορών και την ανάλυση των αλληλεπιδράσεων μεταξυ τους. Μετά την εισαγωγή των κατάλληλων δεικτών στο επίπεδο της ανάπτυξης του μεθοδολογικού υπόβαθρου, η διαδικασία ανάλυσης προχωρά με την αξιολόγηση των προτεραιοτήτων των κατευθύνσεων και κριτηρίων για τον προσδιορισμό εκείνων των δεικτών και προοπτικών που επιρεάζουν περισότερο την απόδοση του έργου υποδομής μεταφορών προς την οικονομική ανάπτυξη, μέσω ενός πολυκριτηριακού υπολογιστικό προτύπου, μια τροποποιημένη ασαφής AHP ιεραρχία και ένα τροποποιημένο σε ασαφές περιβάλλον "Fuzzy TOPSIS" μαθηματικό πρότυπο προσαρμοσμένο στο συγκεκριμένο ερευνητικό πρόβλημα.

scholarly journals MODERN DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIA'S ROAD SECTOR: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-11
Author(s):  
Наталья Борисова ◽  
Natal'ya Borisova ◽  
Елена Егорова ◽  
Elena Egorova ◽  
Александр Борисов ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Road Network ◽  
Road Construction ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
The Road ◽  
Modern Development ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Advanced Development

The article considers the most important component of the transport infrastructure - the road infrastructure, which at the same time is one of the most important spheres of economic activity. The socio-economic development of the Russian Federation has been studied, requiring advanced development and modernization of the road network as part of the transport infrastructure of the country and world space, as well as improving the technical level of road construction.

scholarly journals IMPACT OF REGIONAL FACTORS ON SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF UNDERDEVELOPED REGIONS OF SIBERIA

2019 ◽  
pp. 59-64
Author(s):  
S. P. Mongush
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Competitive Advantages ◽  
Regional Economies ◽  
Highly Qualified ◽  
Qualified Personnel ◽  
Socio Economic Development ◽  
Investment Capital ◽  
Business Entities ◽  
Negative Factors

Due to various factors, the regions of Russia have significant differences in the level of socio-economic development. Thus, each region of Russia has certain specific qualities inherent only to it, which must be taken into account when implementing regional policy. By reducing the influence of negative factors and, conversely, activating positive ones, it is possible to significantly increase the competitiveness of regional economies and the country as a whole. One of the features of the economies of the underdeveloped regions of Siberia is a significant share in their structure of low-productivity and low-tech industries, a lack of investment capital, low innovative activity of business entities, poor development of the territory, insufficient transport infrastructure, a shortage of highly qualified personnel and a number of others. The strategic priority of the state's economic policy in recent years in relation to underdeveloped regions is to achieve an acceptable average Russian level. In this regard, it becomes relevant to search for natural competitive advantages that can provide, through the correct and justified selection of "growth points" based on the use of the internal potential of such territories of their more dynamic development in relation to the most successful regions.

scholarly journals Assessing the impact of road transport infrastructure investment on economic development in South Africa

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anathi Hlotywa ◽  
Emeka A. Ndaguba
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Development Theory ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Endogenous Growth Theory ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
The Impact

Background: There has been considerable decline in the investment on road transport infrastructure in recent times, as a result of the dwindling economic investment owing to lowering gross domestic product (GDP) since 2009.Objective: The objective of this study was to examine the relationship between road transport investment (ROTI) and economic development (ED) in South Africa. This article adopts the Harrod–Domar (HD) model of economic growth and development theory, endogenous growth theory and Solow–Swan neoclassical growth model.Method: Data were derived from the South African Reserve Bank, Quantec database and Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) between 1990 and 2014. It used time series, econometric models cointegration and vector error correction model (VECM) to analyse.Result: The results of the estimation demonstrate that the explanatory variables account for approximately 86.7% variation in ED in South Africa. Therefore, there exists a positive relationship between ROTI and ED.Conclusion: This study established a long-run relationship between phenomena and demonstrates the role of road transport investment on economic development in South Africa.

Does transportation infrastructure impact economic growth in India?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sreenu Nenavath
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

Purpose This paper aims to show a long run and causal association between economic growth and transport infrastructure. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the authors use ARDL models through the period 1990 – 2020 to investigate the relationship between transport infrastructure and economic growth in India. Findings The infrastructure has a positive impact on economic growth in India for the long run. Moreover, Granger causality test demonstrates a unidirectional relationship between transport infrastructure to economic development. Stimulatingly, the paper highlights the effect of air infrastructure statistically insignificant on economic growth in the long and short-run period. Originality/value The original outcome from the study delivers an inclusive depiction of determinants of economic growth from transport infrastructure in India, and these findings will help the policymakers to frame policies to improve the transport infrastructure. Hence, it is proposed that the government of Indian should focus more to upsurge the transport infrastructure for higher economic development.

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