Some empirical results on “the rationality” of expectations derived from survey data

1984 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 151-163
Author(s):  
D. A. Peel ◽  
K. Walters
1989 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 435-452 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.S. Oropesa

The ways in which residents can respond to neighborhood problems are well understood. Residents can act politically, move or stay put and remain inactive. Less understood are the temporal and empirical relationships between these different strategies. Social scientists and policy makers currently believe, with little empirical evidence, that the decision to move from the community is a function of one's political experiences and involvement in institutions that resolve conflicts. Using survey data collected in Seattle, Washington during the late 1970s, the empirical results are initially more consistent with this view for residential mobility than thoughts about moving. Subsequent analysis reveals that the results for residential mobility are questionable as well. Mobility is also related to perceptions about specific sets of issues in the community, including neighborhood decline and service delivery.


2009 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lakshmi Pandey ◽  
David L. Sjoquist ◽  
Mary Beth Walker

We add to the small literature on private school supply by exploring exits of K–12 private schools. We find that the closure of private schools is not an infrequent event and use national survey data from the National Center for Education Statistics to study closures of private schools. We assume that the probability of an exit is a function of excess supply of private schools over demand as well as of the school's characteristics, such as age, size, and religious affiliation. Our empirical results generally support the implications of the model.


2017 ◽  
pp. 107-122
Author(s):  
Dut Vo Van ◽  
Huong Tran Thu ◽  
Dang Nguyen Huu

The aim of this study is to examine the drivers of performance of franchisee organizations. Adopting agency theory, we hypothesize that age, size and obligatory assortment decided by central franchisors, distribution of power from franchisors to franchisees and frequency of franchisor’s visits to franchisee are positively associated with the performance of franchisees. The survey data of 186 franchisees in four European countries are used to test the proposed hypotheses. Principal component analysis and a hierarchical linear model are applied in this study. Empirical results reveal that whether the proposed hypotheses are statistically supported depend correspondingly on how franchisees’ performance is measured. The paper provides some implications for franchisee literature.


Author(s):  
Gebhard Flaig

SummaryIn this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is used to decompose the balances of Ifo Business survey data into the cyclical, the seasonal and the irregular components, as well as the working day effect. The empirical results show that the total cycle consists of three subcycles with about 3, 5 and 11 years. Each subcycle of the assessment variable is “similar” to the corresponding subcycle of the expectations variable. The seasonal pattern is changing over time and the working day effect is significant for the assessment of the current business situation and for the Ifo Business Climate, but not for the expectation series.


Author(s):  
Shane P. Singh

Compulsory voting is widely used in the democratic world, and it is well established that it increases electoral participation. This book assesses the effects of compulsory voting beyond turnout. The author first summarizes the normative arguments for and against compulsory voting, provides information on its contemporary use, reviews recent events pertaining to its (proposed) adoption and abolition, and provides an extensive account of extant research on its consequences. The author then advances a theory that compulsory voting polarizes behavior and attitudes, and broadens gaps in political sophistication levels, among those with negative and positive orientations toward democracy. Recognizing the impact of mandatory voting on the electorate, political parties then alter the ways in which they seek votes, with mainstream parties moderating their platforms and smaller parties taking more extreme positions. The author uses survey data from countries with compulsory voting to show that support for the requirement to vote is driven by individuals’ orientations toward democracy. The theory is then comprehensively tested using: cross-national data, cross-cantonal data from Switzerland, and survey data from Argentina. Empirical results are largely indicative of the theorized process whereby compulsory voting has divergent effects on citizens and political parties. The book concludes with a discussion of future directions for academic research, implications for those who craft electoral policy, and alternative ways of boosting turnout.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 233-243 ◽  
Author(s):  
T.Y. Wang ◽  
Su-feng Cheng

AbstractSegregation has long been recognized as a source of ignorance which breeds negative feelings and hostility. This view maintains that interactions between members of different groups can foster social bonds and promote positive group relationship. Employing recently collected survey data, this study examines the effect of cross-Strait contacts on Taiwan citizens’ negative views toward Chinese citizens and the Beijing government. The empirical results show that casual encounters have no effect on the island residents’ general perception of China. Serious interactions in the form of friendship moderate their unfavorable feelings of Chinese citizens but have no effects on the perception of a hostile Beijing. Unless contacts can invoke true social bonds, frequent interactions do not have transformative effects on individuals’ political views. The moderating effect of contacts at the personal level is not transferable to a political entity when the latter is perceived as a suppressing agent.


2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (No. 5) ◽  
pp. 227-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Hengzhou ◽  
C. Tong

Farmer differentiation has important implications for the efficiency of farmland use. Applying the model of DEA and Tobit, using the household survey data, this paper investigates the effects of the farmer stratum differentiation on the efficiency of farmland use. The empirical results showed that the type of farmer differentiation was positive and statistically significant at 5% level. The regression coefficient is 0.295; this result implies that if this variable improves one percentage, the efficiency of farmland use will increase by 29.5%. The farmer horizontal differentiation and farmer vertical differentiation pass the significance test at the 1% and 5% level, respectively. This indicates that they all have a significant positive impact on the farmland use efficiency. We conclude that corresponding measures should be implemented to further facilitate the farmer differentiation. Another implication of our results is that the policies matched with the farmer differentiation and transfer should be gradually perfected, and then they will provide a better environment of the society and economy for free migration of farmers.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Song Liu ◽  
Xiongzhi Wang ◽  
Mengyuan Yang ◽  
Ziling Wang

We study the impact of financial market development on the allocation of agricultural factors in China, using national household-level survey data from 2010 to 2014. Our empirical results show the following: (1) the prices of capital and labor are negatively distorted, whereas the price of land is positively distorted; (2) the east region of China has the lowest efficiency of agricultural factor allocation; (3) the breadth of financial market development improves the agricultural factor allocation in all three regions in China, whereas the depth of financial market development only enhances the agricultural factor allocation in the west region of China. Our study presents the very first microlevel evidence on the extent of agricultural factor misallocation in China. Moreover, our results inform policymakers’ choice of prioritizing whether the breadth or the depth of the financial market alleviates agricultural factor misallocation.


Episteme ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Kristoffer Ahlstrom-Vij

Abstract Survey data suggest that many philosophers are reliabilists, in believing that beliefs are justified iff produced by a reliable process. This is bad news if reliabilism is true. Empirical results suggest that a commitment to reliable belief-formation leads to overconfident second-guessing of reliable heuristics. Hence, a widespread belief in reliabilism is likely to be epistemically detrimental by the reliabilist's own standard. The solution is a form of two-level epistemic consequentialism, where an esoteric commitment to reliabilism will be appropriate for an enlightened few, while a form of epistemic fetishism – on which some heuristics are treated as fundamental epistemic norms – is appropriate for the rest of us.


2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 6-17
Author(s):  
Dut Van Vo

This paper aims to study the relation between cultural distance and export volume of Vietnamese enterprises. Based on Transaction Cost Theory developed by Hennart (1991), the author hypothesizes that the further the cultural distance between Vietnam and its import partner, the lower the export intensity is. The survey data of Viet Nam Statistics Office on 162 export firms are used to test the proposed hypothesis. Empirical results from Tobit non-linear regression indicate that the hypothesis is strongly supported after characteristics of enterprises are controlled. Managerial implications are also suggested in this paper.


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