Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Impervious Surface Expansion in the Qinhuai River Basin, China, 1988–2017

Impervious surfaces are key indicators for urbanization monitoring and watershed degradation assessment over space and time. However, most empirical studies only extracted impervious surface from spatial, temporal or spectral perspectives, paying less attention to integrating multiple dimensions in acquiring continuous changes in impervious surfaces. In this study, we proposed a neighborhood-based spatio-temporal filter (NSTF) to obtain the continuous change information of impervious surfaces from multi-temporal Landsat images in the Qinhuai River Basin (QRB), Jiangsu, China from 1988–2017, based on the results from semi-automatic decision tree classification. Moreover, we used the expansion intensity index (EII) and the landscape extension index (LEI) to further characterize the spatio-temporal characteristics of impervious surfaces on different spatial scales. The preliminary results showed that the overall accuracies of the final classification were about 95%, with the kappa coefficients ranging between 0.9 and 0.96. The QRB underwent rapid urbanization with the percentage of the impervious surfaces increasing from 2.72% in 1988 to 25.6% in 2017. Since 2006, the center of urbanization expansion was shaped from the urban built-up areas of Nanjing and Jiangning to non-urban built-up areas of the Jiangning, Lishui, and Jurong districts. The edge expansion occupied 73% on average among the different landscape expansion types, greatly beyond outlying (12%) and infilling (15%). The window size in the NSTF has a direct impact on the subsequent analysis. Our research could provide decision-making references for future urban planning and development in the similar basins.

Spatiotemporal Analysis of Water Quality Using Multivariate Statistical Techniques and the Water Quality Identification Index for the Qinhuai River Basin, East China

Monitoring water quality is indispensable for the identification of threats to water environment and later management of water resources. Accurate monitoring and assessment of water quality have been long-term challenges. In this study, multivariate statistical techniques (MST) and water quality identification index (WQII) were applied to analyze spatiotemporal variation in water quality and determine the major pollution sources in the Qinhuai River, East China. A rotated principal component analysis (PCA) identified three potential pollution sources during the wet season (mixed pollution, physicochemical, and nonpoint sources of nutrients) and the dry season (nutrient, primary environmental, and organic sources) and they explained 81.14% of the total variances in the wet season and 78.42% of total variances in the dry season. The result of redundancy analysis (RDA) showed that population density, urbanization, and wastewater discharge are the main sources of organic pollution, while agricultural fertilizer consumption and industrial wastewater discharge are the main sources of nutrients such as nitrogen and phosphorus. The water quality of the Qinhuai River basin was determined to be mainly Class III (slightly polluted) and Class IV (moderately polluted) based on WQII. Temporally, the change trend of WQII showed that water quality gradually deteriorated between 1990 and 2005, improved between 2006 and 2010, and then deteriorated again. Spatially, the WQII distribution map showed that areas with more developed urbanization were relatively more polluted. Our results show that MST and WQII are useful tools to help the public and decision makers to evaluate the water quality of aquatic environment.

Detection and attribution of flood responses to precipitation change and urbanization: a case study in Qinhuai River Basin, Southeast China

Both flood magnitude and frequency might change under the changing environment. In this study, a procedure combining statistical methods, flood frequency analysis and attribution analysis was proposed to investigate the response of floods to urbanization and precipitation change in the Qinhuai River Basin, an urbanized basin located in Southeast China, over the period from 1986 to 2013. The Mann–Kendall test was employed to detect the gradual trend of the annual maximum streamflow and the peaks over threshold series. The frequency analysis was applied to estimate the changes in the magnitude and frequency of floods between the baseline period (1986–2001) and urbanization period (2002–2013). An attribution analysis was proposed to separate the effects of precipitation change and urbanization on flood sizes between the two periods. Results showed that: (1) there are significant increasing trends in medium and small flood series according to the Mann–Kendall test; (2) the mean and threshold values of flood series in the urbanization period were larger than those in the baseline period, while the standard deviation, coefficient of variation and coefficient of skewness of flood series were both higher during the baseline period than those during the urbanization period; (3) the flood magnitude was higher during the urbanization period than that during the baseline period at the same return period. The relative changes in magnitude were larger for small floods than for big floods from the baseline period to the urbanization period; (4) the contributions of urbanization on floods appeared to amplify with the decreasing return period, while the effects of precipitation diminish. The procedure presented in this study could be useful to detect the changes of floods in the changing environment and conduct the attribution analysis of flood series. The findings of this study are beneficial to further understanding interactions between flood behavior and the drivers, thereby improving flood management in urbanized basins.

Research on the influence of diversion flow ratio on the water environment in Nanjing

In this paper, we take the Qinhuai River Basin in Nanjing as an example to study the influence of diversion flow ratio on the water environment. The daily precipitation of 20 rainfall stations in the basin was collected from 1962 to 2006, and the rainfall under different assurance rates was calculated by P-III frequency curve to calculate the surface runoff in different typical years. In the meantime, according to the downstream furcated estuary water level in different typical years, the diversion flow ratio under different frequencies was calculated by using a mathematical model of the water environment. The results show that the diversion flow ratio of a branch channel increases with the increase of water level difference, and the growth rate decreases gradually. The other branch channel diversion flow ratio decreases with the increase of water level difference, and the decreasing rate decreases gradually. The pollutant concentrations in the bifurcated rivers are equal, but the concentration decreases exponentially with the increase of the upstream flow. Under different rainfall frequencies, the diversion pollutant ratio and diversion flow ratio are equal in different months of different years.