Resilience in Critical Infrastructures: The Role of Modelling and Simulation

Resilience and risk are fundamental concepts for critical infrastructure protection, but it is complex to assess them. Modelling critical infrastructure interdependency helps in evaluating the resilience and risk metrics. We propose the MHR approach as a road-map to model infrastructures and it is implemented using CISIApro 2.0. MHR suggests considering three different layers in each infrastructure: holistic, service and reductionist agents. In this chapter, this framework has been tested in a scenario made of a modern telecommunication network, a hospital ward and a smart factory. The scenario takes into account cyber attacks and their consequences on the components, services and holistic nodes. The proposed framework is under validation within the EU H2020 RESISTO project with good results and in various test-beds.

Infrastructure Decay Modeling With the Input-Output Inoperability Model

Asset management and infrastructure interdependency concepts are found to be useful in the study of infrastructure decay. As such, infrastructure decay is modeled with the input-output inoperability model (IIM), which is a method of analysis that captures cascading effects of a disturbance in interdependent infrastructure systems. This paper presents an extension to the IIM that simplifies the construction of the interdependency matrix central to the model and integrates the use of component decay curves for each component in the system. The revised model results in the ability of infrastructure asset managers to recognize the effect of decay across an entire infrastructure network or multiple networks.