A Comparison between Moist and Dry Tropical Cyclones: The Low Effectiveness of Surface Sensible Heat Flux in Storm Intensification

Recent numerical modeling studies demonstrate that dry tropical cyclones can be stably sustained via supply of surface sensible heat flux. This raises questions of whether surface sensible heat flux (SHX) and latent heat flux (LHX) have the same effect on the intensity evolution of tropical cyclones. An estimation of equivalent potential temperature budget in the boundary layer shows that LHX leads to larger increase in equivalent potential temperature than SHX even when they possess the same magnitude. By formulating these two kinds of surface heat fluxes with the same mathematical framework, the simulated intensifications of moist and dry tropical cyclones are compared, with the former driven exclusively by LHX and the latter by SHX. Results show significantly larger intensification rates for the tropical cyclone driven by LHX than that by SHX, revealing low effectiveness of SHX in the intensification of tropical cyclones. The diabatic heating in the moist tropical cyclone occurs accompanying the convection, while it is merely pronounced near the surface in the dry tropical cyclone and is decoupled from the dry convection. A new surface pressure tendency equation is proposed, without incorporating implicit pressure tendency term on the right-hand side. The budget analysis indicates that the SHX is less effective than LHX in lowering surface central pressure and therefore in tropical cyclone intensification. A series of sensitivity experiments suggest that the threshold of energy input required for spinning up a tropical cyclone is lower in the form of LHX than that of SHX.

A long-term Climatology of Planetary Boundary Layer Height over the Tibetan Plateau revealed by ERA5

<p>The Planetary Boundary Layer Height (PBLH) is important for the exchange of energy, water, and momentum between the surface and the free atmosphere, making it a significant factor in studies of surface climate and atmospheric circulation. Over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) - a vast elevated heat source exerting significant influence on the Asian monsoon systems - the climate is changing rapidly. Among the many climate variables expected to change as global temperatures rise is the PBLH which, in addition to temperature profile, mechanical turbulence production, vertical velocity, and horizontal advection, is highly dependent on the surface sensible heat  fluxes. Our understanding of PBLH over the TP is very limited, although scattered estimates has indicated that it sometimes reach unusual heights – up to the vicinity of the tropopause. Long-term assessment of PBLH covering the whole TP is hampered by the fact that observations are scarce in time and space. This study takes advantage of a recently available high-resolution reanalysis (ERA5) for 1979-2018 to create a multi-decadal climatology of PBLH over the TP, and assess the seasonality, interannual variation and long-term trend of PBLH in relation to other climate variables such as tropopause height and surface sensible heat flux as well as large-scale atmospheric circulation. </p><p>The results show that the most prominent feature of the PBLH trend is a large region of decline in the central TP during the monsoon season. Notably, this is a region where the temperature increase is smaller than in the rest of the region, and the precipitation shows a statistically significant increasing trend. Increased cloudiness may therefore have decreased the surface heating and thus the sensible heat flux and PBLH. Assessing the spatially averaged trends for the first and second halves of the period separately reveals that the monsoon season PBLH does in fact increase during the first half of the period. In the dry season in contrast, the spatially averaged PBLH decreases by almost 30 meter per decade during the first half of the period and increases slightly in the second. Although none of the spatially averaged PBLH trends are statistically significant at the 95% level, it can be noted that the shift from decreasing to increasing PBLH for the dry season is in accordance with a recent study of spring sensible heat flux over the TP. The aforementioned study found that although the sensible heat flux has been declining because of wind speed decreases, it has recently started to recover in response to an increased difference between the ground surface temperature and the air temperature. Given that the PBLH is highly dependent on the surface sensible heat flux, this decline and recovery may very well have produced the PBLH trends for the dry season. In the monsoon season, with cloudy conditions and less solar radiation reaching the ground, other factors are likely of greater importance for the PBLH.</p>

The influence of Tibetan Plateau surface warming on climate extremes across South-East Asia

<p>With an average height greater than 4500m and an area covering approximately 2.5 million km<sup>2</sup>, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a crucial role in determining the large-scale atmospheric circulation across South-East Asia. Substantial intraseasonal precipitation variability is observed across TP associated with the subtropical jet location and silk road pattern. A northward shift of the subtropical jet is associated with reduced precipitation over TP. Through analysis of weather station data and satellite observations, a diurnally-varying sensitivity of the land surface to intraseasonal precipitation variability is concluded. For example, a prolonged dry spell is associated with warmer ground temperatures and increased surface sensible heat flux. Using reanalyses the influence of anomalous surface conditions across TP, associated with intraseasonal precipitation variability, on the local and remote circulation is investigated.</p><p>During a dry spell increased surface sensible heat flux deepens the planetary boundary-layer and leads to the development of a localised heat low anomaly. In the upper-troposphere surface sensible heating forms an anticyclonic anomaly above TP which induces an upper-level Rossby-wave train. The induced Rossby-wave train is associated with an anomalous cyclonic circulation across central China and a westward extension of the west Pacific subtropical high. These circulation anomalies induced by TP surface warming are associated with climate extremes across South-East Asia including an increased risk of flash drought across central China and higher probabilities of extreme precipitation across southern China. The association between land-atmosphere interactions across TP and climate extremes in South-East Asia highlight the importance of land-atmosphere feedbacks in forecasting climate extremes.</p>

Toward Generalizing the Impact of Surface Heating, Stratification, and Terrain Geometry on the Daytime Heat Export from an Idealized Valley

The convective export of heat from different types of idealized valleys for fair-weather daytime conditions is studied with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. The goal is to test the hypothesis that the total export of heat over the course of the day depends on a so-called breakup parameter B. The breakup parameter is the ratio between the energy required to neutralize the initially stably stratified valley atmosphere and the total energy provided by the surface sensible heat flux. To achieve this goal, simulations with different surface heating, initial stability, and terrain geometry are performed. The fraction of the sensible heat provided at the surface that is exported at crest height over the course of the day depends exponentially on B. The effects of variations of the valley width, crest height, forcing amplitude, and initial stratification on the total export of heat can be described by this function. The complete neutralization of the stratification in the valley is never reached if B exceeds a critical value of about 0.65 for an initially constant stratification. For a valley geometry with linear slopes and sharp crests, up to 60% of the provided heat is exported for the strongest forcing and the weakest stability (i.e., B ≈ 0.1), whereas less than 5% is exported for B > 0.65. The minimum heat export for larger B is higher for rounded crests (10%) and for a deep residual layer that extends to above crest height (17%).