Calcium declines in northeastern Ontario lakes

Thousands of lakes in northeastern Ontario, Canada, have been acidified by sulphur deposition associated with emissions from the Sudbury area metal smelters. However, water quality improvements including increased pH and reduced sulphate concentrations have followed large reductions in Sudbury emissions that were implemented, beginning in the 1970s. Substantial decreases in Ca concentrations accompanied these other changes in lakewater chemistry. Monitoring of 38 lakes 20–128 km from Sudbury showed declines in Ca concentrations, averaging 2.7 µeq·L–1·year–1, over the period 1981–1999. Declines were particularly apparent during the 1990s, averaging 3.8 µeq·L–1·year–1. Paleolimnological reconstructions of the long-term Ca patterns in six lakes suggest that general lakewater Ca declines occurred through much of the 20th century. Comparison of recent measured Ca concentrations in 16 lakes with diatom-inferred pre-industrial Ca concentrations indicates that overall decreases in Ca have been large, averaging 74.6 µeq·L–1 or 46%. Long-term Ca patterns may reflect a combination of factors including climatic changes, forest harvesting activities, and leaching by acid deposition, the effects of which we can not separate. Calcium declines have biological implications that will need to be considered in the development of appropriate targets as these lakes continue to recover from acidification.

Norwegian lakes show widespread recovery from acidification; results from national surveys of lakewater chemistry 1986-1997

Surveys of 485 lakes in Norway conducted in 1986 and again in 1995 reveal widespread chemical recovery from acidification. Sulphate concentrations in lakes have decreased by 40% in acidified areas in southern Norway. This decrease has been compensated about 25% by decreases in concentrations of base cations and of 75% by increased Acid Neutralising Capacity (ANC). The increased ANC in turn reflects lower concentrations of acidic cations Aluminum (ALn+) and Hydrogen (H+). A sub-set of 78 of the 485 lakes sampled yearly between 1986 and 1997 shows that, at first most of the decrease in non-marine sulphate (SO4*) was compensated by a decrease in base cations, such that ANC remained unchanged. Then as SO4* continued to decrease, the concentrations of non- marine calcium and magnesium ((Ca+Mg)*) levelled out. Consequently, ANC increased, and H+ and Aln+ started to decrease. In eastern Norway, this shift occurred in 1989–90, and came slightly later in southern and western Norway. Similar shifts in trends in about 1991–92 can also be seen in the non-acidified areas in central and northern Norway. This shift in trends is not as pronounced in western Norway, perhaps because of the confounding influence of sea-salt episodes on water chemistry. This is the first documented national-scale recovery from acidification due to reduced acid deposition. Future climate warming and potentially increased N-leaching can counteract the positive trends in recovery from acidification.

Modelling regional response of lakewater chemistry to changes in acidic deposition: the MAGIC model applied to lake surveys in southernmost Norway 1974-1986-1995

Two methods for modelling regional responses of lake water quality to changes in acidic deposition in southernmost Norway were examined. Both methods are based upon the MAGIC model but differ in mode of regional application; one uses site-specific while the other uses Monte-Carlo methods for model calibration. The simulations of regional responses from both methods were compared with observed responses based on data from three lake surveys in southernmost Norway conducted in 1974, 1986 and 1995. The regional responses of the two modelling approaches were quite similar and agreed well with the observed regional distributions of lakewater chemistry variables. From 1974 to 1986 the observed data indicated that despite a decline of approximately 10% in sulphate (SO4) deposition, the mean acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) of lakes in southernmost Norway declined by approximately 6 μeq l-1. Both modelling approaches simulated no change or a very small decline in mean ANC for that period. From 1986 to 1995 the observed data indicated that, in response to an approximate 40% decline in SO4 deposition, the mean ANC of lakes in southernmost Norway increased by 11-16 μeq l-1. The modelling approaches simulated increases of 9-10 μeq l-1 in mean ANC for the same period. Both simulations and observations indicate that > 65% of lakes in southernmost Norway were acidic in 1974 and 1995. Both simulation methods predict that >65% of the lakes in southernmost Norway will have positive ANC values within 10 years of reductions of SO4 deposition to 20% of 1974 levels. Of the two regionalization methods the site-specific method appears preferable, because whereas the Monte-Carlo method gives results for a region as a whole, the site-specific method also reveals patterns within the region. The maintenance of a one-to-one correspondence between simulated and observed systems means that simulation results can be mapped for a geographically explicit presentation of model results. The ability to examine geographic patterns of response is becoming increasingly important in regional assessments.

Responses of Diatom and Chrysophyte Assemblages in Lake 227 Sediments to Experimental Eutrophication

We examined the diatom and chrysophyte assemblages preserved in Lake 227 sediments prior to, during, and following the annual additions of phosphorus (P) and nitrogen (N) (from 1969–1989). Premanipulation (1957–1968) diatom and chrysophyte assemblages were dominated by taxa characteristic of acidic, unproductive lake conditions. In 1969, the assemblages immediately shifted in response to increased nutrient availability and/or increased pH values in the epilimnion. Large increases in the relative abundance of Synedra PIRLA 2 and S. rumpens var. familiaris, Mallomonas crassisquama, M. doignonii var. tenuicostis, and cysts 1, 15, 29, 233, and 120 largely replaced the prefertilization assemblages. From 1970–1990, the diatom assemblage was dominated by alkaliphilic or pH-indifferent taxa. A second chrysophyte assemblage shift, which coincided with a lowering of the N:P addition ratio in 1975, was characterized by decreases in M. crassisquama and cysts 1, 15, 29, 233, and 120, and corresponding increases in Synura sphagnicola Korshikov scales and cysts 62 and 33. The stratigraphical analyses and numerical rate-of-change analyses clearly showed that diatom and chrysophyte species composition, particularly chrysophyte cysts, closely tracked short-term changes in lakewater chemistry. The amount of variance in the stratigraphic assemblages explained by lake-water chemical changes was high (68–90%), indicating the close algae–chemistry relationships in Lake 227 from 1969–1989.