Optimally Stopping at a Given Distance from the Ultimate Supremum of a Spectrally Negative Lévy Process

We consider the optimal prediction problem of stopping a spectrally negative Lévy process as close as possible to a given distance $b \geq 0$ from its ultimate supremum, under a squared-error penalty function. Under some mild conditions, the solution is fully and explicitly characterised in terms of scale functions. We find that the solution has an interesting non-trivial structure: if b is larger than a certain threshold then it is optimal to stop as soon as the difference between the running supremum and the position of the process exceeds a certain level (less than b), while if b is smaller than this threshold then it is optimal to stop immediately (independent of the running supremum and position of the process). We also present some examples.

Threshold Estimation for a Spectrally Negative Lévy Process

Consider a spectrally negative Lévy process with unknown diffusion coefficient and Lévy measure and suppose that the high frequency trading data is given. We use the techniques of threshold estimation and regularized Laplace inversion to obtain the estimator of survival probability for a spectrally negative Lévy process. The asymptotic properties are given for the proposed estimator. Simulation studies are also given to show the finite sample performance of our estimator.

Three Essays on Stopping

First, we give a closed-form formula for first passage time of a reflected Brownian motion with drift. This corrects a formula by Perry et al. (2004). Second, we show that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for any drawdown, if and only if the diffusion characteristic μ / σ 2 is constant. This complements the sufficient condition formulated by Lehoczky (1977). Third, we give an alternative proof for the fact that the maximum before a fixed drawdown is exponentially distributed for any spectrally negative Lévy process, a result due to Mijatović and Pistorius (2012). Our proof is similar, but simpler than Lehoczky (1977) or Landriault et al. (2017).

Optimal loss-carry-forward taxation for Lévy risk processes stopped at general draw-down time

Motivated by Avram, Vu and Zhou (2017), Kyprianou and Zhou (2009), Li, Vu and Zhou (2017), Wang and Hu (2012), and Wang and Zhou (2018), we consider in this paper the problem of maximizing the expected accumulated discounted tax payments of an insurance company, whose reserve process (before taxes are deducted) evolves as a spectrally negative Lévy process with the usual exclusion of negative subordinator or deterministic drift. Tax payments are collected according to the very general loss-carry-forward tax system introduced in Kyprianou and Zhou (2009). To achieve a balance between taxation optimization and solvency, we consider an interesting modified objective function by considering the expected accumulated discounted tax payments of the company until the general draw-down time, instead of until the classical ruin time. The optimal tax return function and the optimal tax strategy are derived, and some numerical examples are also provided.

Optimal barrier strategy for spectrally negative Lévy process discounted by a class of exponential Lévy processes

In this paper, we extend the optimality of the barrier strategy for the dividend payment problem to the setting that the underlying surplus process is a spectrally negative Lévy process and the discounting factor is an exponential Lévy process. The proof of the main result uses the fluctuation identities of spectrally negative Lévy processes. This extends recent results of Eisenberg for the case where the accumulated interest rate and surplus process are independent Brownian motions with drift.

Joint distribution of a spectrally negative Lévy process and its occupation time, with step option pricing in view

We study the distribution Ex[exp(-q∫0t1(a,b)(Xs)ds); Xt ∈ dy], where -∞ ≤ a < b < ∞, and where q, t > 0 and x ∈ R for a spectrally negative Lévy process X. More precisely, we identify the Laplace transform with respect to t of this measure in terms of the scale functions of the underlying process. Our results are then used to price step options and the particular case of an exponential spectrally negative Lévy jump-diffusion model is discussed.