Propagation paths and source distributions of resolved gravity waves in ECMWF-IFS analysis fields around the southern polar night jet

In the southern winter polar stratosphere, the distribution of gravity wave momentum flux in many state-of-the-art climate simulations is inconsistent with long-time satellite and superpressure balloon observations around 60∘ S. Recent studies hint that a lateral shift between prominent gravity wave sources in the tropospheric mid-latitudes and the location where gravity wave activity is present in the stratosphere causes at least part of the discrepancy. This lateral shift cannot be represented by the column-based gravity wave drag parameterisations used in most general circulation models. However, recent high-resolution analysis and re-analysis products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecast System (ECMWF-IFS) show good agreement with the observations and allow for a detailed investigation of resolved gravity waves, their sources, and propagation paths. In this paper, we identify resolved gravity waves in the ECMWF-IFS analyses for a case of high gravity wave activity in the lower stratosphere using small-volume sinusoidal fits to characterise these gravity waves. The 3D wave vector together with perturbation amplitudes, wave frequency, and a fully described background atmosphere are then used to initialise the Gravity Wave Regional or Global Ray Tracer (GROGRAT) gravity wave ray tracer and follow the gravity waves backwards from the stratosphere. Finally, we check for the indication of source processes on the path of each ray and, thus, quantitatively attribute gravity waves to sources that are represented within the model. We find that stratospheric gravity waves are indeed subject to far (>1000 km) lateral displacement from their sources, which already take place at low altitudes (<20 km). Various source processes can be linked to waves within stratospheric gravity wave (GW) patterns, such as the orography equatorward of 50∘ S and non-orographic sources above the Southern Ocean. These findings may explain why superpressure balloons observe enhanced gravity wave momentum fluxes in the lower stratosphere over the Southern Ocean despite an apparent lack of sources at this latitude. Our results also support the need to improve gravity wave parameterisations to account for meridional propagation.

Orographically induced spontaneous imbalance within the jet causing a large-scale gravity wave event

To better understand the impact of gravity waves (GWs) on the middle atmosphere in the current and future climate, it is essential to understand their excitation mechanisms and to quantify their basic properties. Here a new process for GW excitation by orography–jet interaction is discussed. In a case study, we identify the source of a GW observed over Greenland on 10 March 2016 during the POLSTRACC (POLar STRAtosphere in a Changing Climate) aircraft campaign. Measurements were taken with the Gimballed Limb Observer for Radiance Imaging of the Atmosphere (GLORIA) instrument deployed on the High Altitude Long Range (HALO) German research aircraft. The measured infrared limb radiances are converted into a 3D observational temperature field through the use of inverse modelling and limited-angle tomography. We observe GWs along a transect through Greenland where the GW packet covers ≈ 1/3 of the Greenland mainland. GLORIA observations indicate GWs between 10 and 13 km of altitude with a horizontal wavelength of 330 km, a vertical wavelength of 2 km and a large temperature amplitude of 4.5 K. Slanted phase fronts indicate intrinsic propagation against the wind, while the ground-based propagation is with the wind. The GWs are arrested below a critical layer above the tropospheric jet. Compared to its intrinsic horizontal group velocity (25–72 m s−1) the GW packet has a slow vertical group velocity of 0.05–0.2 m s−1. This causes the GW packet to propagate long distances while spreading over a large area and remaining constrained to a narrow vertical layer. A plausible source is not only orography, but also out-of-balance winds in a jet exit region and wind shear. To identify the GW source, 3D GLORIA observations are combined with a gravity wave ray tracer, ERA5 reanalysis and high-resolution numerical experiments. In a numerical experiment with a smoothed orography, GW activity is quite weak, indicating that the GWs in the realistic orography experiment are due to orography. However, analysis shows that these GWs are not mountain waves. A favourable area for spontaneous GW emission is identified in the jet by the cross-stream ageostrophic wind, which indicates when the flow is out of geostrophic balance. Backwards ray-tracing experiments trace into the jet and regions where the Coriolis and the pressure gradient forces are out of balance. The difference between the full and a smooth-orography experiment is investigated to reveal the missing connection between orography and the out-of-balance jet. We find that this is flow over a broad area of elevated terrain which causes compression of air above Greenland. The orography modifies the wind flow over large horizontal and vertical scales, resulting in out-of-balance geostrophic components. The out-of-balance jet then excites GWs in order to bring the flow back into balance. This is the first observational evidence of GW generation by such an orography–jet mechanism.

Near-field wind mixing and implications on parameterization from float observations

A part of near-inertial wind energies dissipates locally below the surface mixed layer. Here, their role in the climate system is studied by adopting near-inertial near-field wind-mixing parameterization to a coarse-forward ocean general circulation model. After confirming a problem of the parameterization in the equatorial region, we investigate effects of near-field wind mixing due to storm track activities in the North Pacific. We found that, in the center of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) around 170°W in the mid latitude, near-field wind mixing transfers the PDO signal into deeper layers. Since the results suggest that near-field wind mixing is important in the climate system, we also compared the parameterization with velocity observations by a float in the North Pacific. The float observed abrupt and local propagation of near-inertial internal waves and shear instabilities in the main thermocline along the Kuroshio Extension for 460 km. Vertical diffusivities inferred from the parameterization do not reproduce the enhanced diffusivities in the deeper layer inferred from the float. Wave-ray tracing indicates that wave trapping near the Kuroshio front is responsible for the elevated diffusivities. Therefore, enhanced mixing due to trapping should be included in the parameterization.

Propagation Paths and Source Distributions of Resolved Gravity Waves in ECMWF-IFS analysis fields around the Southern Polar Night Jet

In the southern winter polar stratosphere the distribution of gravity wave momentum flux in many state-of-the-art climate simulations is inconsistent with long-time satellite and superpressure balloon observations around 60° S. Recent studies hint that a lateral shift between prominent gravity wave sources in the tropospheric mid-latitudes and the location where gravity wave activity is present in the stratosphere causes at least parts of the discrepancy. This lateral shift cannot be represented by the column-based gravity wave drag parametrisations used in most general circulation models. However, recent high-resolution analysis and re-analysis products of the ECMWF-IFS show good agreement to observations and allow for a detailed investigation of resolved gravity waves, their sources and propagation paths. In this paper, we identify resolved gravity waves in the ECMWF-IFS analyses for a case of high gravity wave activity in the lower stratosphere using small-volume sinusoidal fits to characterise these gravity waves. The 3D wave vector together with perturbation amplitudes, wave frequency and a fully described background atmosphere are then used to initialise the GROGRAT gravity wave ray-tracer and follow the gravity waves backwards from the stratosphere. Finally, we check for indication of source processes on the path of each ray and thus quantitatively attribute gravity waves to sources that are represented within the model. We find that stratospheric gravity waves are indeed subject to far (> 1000 km) lateral displacement from their sources, taking place already at low altitudes (

Impact of Sea Ice Reduction in the Barents and Kara Seas on the Variation of the East Asian Trough in Late Winter

Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) dataset and the Specified Chemistry Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM-SC), the impacts of sea ice reduction in the Barents–Kara Seas (BKS) on the East Asian trough (EAT) in late winter are investigated. Results from both reanalysis data and simulations show that the BKS sea ice reduction leads to a deepened EAT in late winter, especially in February, while the EAT axis tilt is not sensitive to the BKS sea ice reduction. Further analysis shows that the BKS sea ice reduction influences the EAT through the tropospheric and stratospheric pathways. For the tropospheric pathway, the results from a linearized barotropic model and Rossby wave ray tracing model reveal that long Rossby wave trains stimulated by the BKS sea ice loss propagate downstream to the North Pacific, strengthening the EAT. For the stratospheric pathway, the upward planetary waves enhanced by the BKS sea ice reduction shift the subpolar westerlies near the tropopause southward. With the critical lines displaced equatorward, the poleward transient eddies break at lower latitudes, shifting the eddy momentum deposit throughout the troposphere equatorward. Tropospheric westerlies maintained by eddy momentum deposit are also shifted southward, inducing the cyclonic anomalies over the North Pacific and deepening the EAT in late winter. Nudging experiments show that the tropospheric pathway only contributes to around 29.7% of the deepening of the EAT in February induced by the BKS sea ice loss, while the remaining 70.3% is caused by stratosphere–troposphere coupling.

Superposition of gravity waves with different propagation characteristics observed by airborne and space-borne infrared sounders

Many gravity wave analyses, based on either observations or model simulations, assume the presence of only a single dominant wave. This paper shows that there are much more complex cases with gravity waves from multiple sources crossing each others' paths. A complex gravity wave structure consisting of a superposition of multiple wave packets was observed above southern Scandinavia on 28 January 2016 with the Gimballed Limb Observer for Radiance Imaging of the Atmosphere (GLORIA). The tomographic measurement capability of GLORIA enabled a detailed 3-D reconstruction of the gravity wave field and the identification of multiple wave packets with different horizontal and vertical scales. The larger-scale gravity waves with horizontal wavelengths of around 400 km could be characterised using a 3-D wave-decomposition method. The smaller-scale wave components with horizontal wavelengths below 200 km were discussed by visual inspection. For the larger-scale gravity wave components, a combination of gravity-wave ray-tracing calculations and ERA5 reanalysis fields identified orography as well as a jet-exit region and a low-pressure system as possible sources. All gravity waves are found to propagate upward into the middle stratosphere, but only the orographic waves stay directly above their source. The comparison with ERA5 also shows that ray tracing provides reasonable results even for such complex cases with multiple overlapping wave packets. Despite their coarser vertical resolution compared to GLORIA measurements, co-located AIRS measurements in the middle stratosphere are in good agreement with the ray tracing and ERA5 results, proving once more the validity of simple ray-tracing models. Thus, this paper demonstrates that the high-resolution GLORIA observations in combination with simple ray-tracing calculations can provide an important source of information for enhancing our understanding of gravity wave propagation.

RAY-BINNING ANGLE STACK DOMAIN IN ENHANCING THE ROBUSTNESS OF CONVERTED-WAVE SEISMIC JOINT INVERSION

Converted-Wave Seismic has been proven as imaging alternative in aiding conventional seismic data when passing through gas cloud accumulation. However, asymmetrical approximation effect during Converted-Wave Seismic binning still remains in offset domain. PS-Reflection events in offset-domain are mapped using common-ray re-sorting technique by implementing the basic Snells Law of Mode Conversion. This produces an Angle Profile correspondent with the PP incident angle. Re-sorting the angle of converted-wave ray path to the PP-Wave propagation within the common imaging point, the Converted-Wave seismic would share similar angle range. Thus, improving the match in PP to PS event as data input preparation for Joint Inversion. Grouping the angle based on AVA Analysis, followed by stacking the Angle Profile into Common-Ray Partial Angle Stack, had proven to eliminate the fault shadow sagging zone and gas absorption illumination area in Converted-Wave Seismic. The final result of PP-Seismic imaging is more coherent with the Converted-Wave Seismic, in term of event alignment and amplitude character. This result lead to more robust PP-PS Joint Inversion, as the coherency between input data is an important key in simultaneous process. The comparison on derived Vp/Vs shows better improvements of subsurface imaging, especially in the near-surface gas masking area of conventional seismic.

The Consistency of MJO Teleconnection Patterns on Interannual Time Scales

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) excites strong variations in extratropical geopotential heights that modulate extratropical weather, making the MJO an important predictability source on subseasonal to seasonal time scales (S2S). Previous research demonstrates a strong similarity of teleconnection patterns across MJO events for certain MJO phases (i.e., pattern consistency) and increased model ensemble agreement during these phases that is beneficial for extended numerical weather forecasts. However, the MJO’s ability to modulate extratropical weather varies greatly on interannual time scales, which brings extra uncertainty in leveraging the MJO for S2S prediction. Few studies have investigated the mechanisms responsible for variations in the consistency of MJO tropical–extratropical teleconnections on interannual time scales. This study uses reanalysis data, ensemble simulations of a linear baroclinic model, and a Rossby wave ray tracing algorithm to demonstrate that two mechanisms largely determine the interannual variability of MJO teleconnection consistency. First, the meridional shift of stationary Rossby wave ray paths indicates increases (decreases) in the MJO’s extratropical modulation during La Niña (El Niño) years. Second, a previous study proposed that the constructive interference of Rossby wave signals caused by a dipole Rossby wave source pattern across the subtropical jet during certain MJO phases produces a consistent MJO teleconnection. However, this dipole feature is less clear in both El Niño and La Niña years due to the extension and contraction of MJO convection, respectively, which would decrease the MJO’s influence in the extratropics. Hence, considering the joint influence of the basic state and MJO forcing, this study suggests a diminished potential to leverage the MJO for S2S prediction in El Niño years.