Interval fuzzy probability method for power transformer multiple fault diagnosis

Accurately diagnosing power transformer faults is critical to improving the operational reliability of power systems. Although some researchers have made great efforts to improve the accuracy of transformer fault diagnosis, accurate diagnosis of multiple faults is still a difficult problem. In order to improve the accuracy of transformer multiple faults diagnosis, a multiple fault diagnosis method based on interval fuzzy probability is proposed. Different from the previous methods which provide single-value probability, this method use probability interval to represent the occurrence degree of various possible faults, which can objectively predict the potential faults that occurring in a transformer and provide a more reasonable explanation for the diagnosis results. In the proposed method, the interval fuzzy set is used to describe the evaluation of state variables and the interval fuzzy probability model based on interval weighted average is applied to integrate the fault information. The representative matrix of fault types based on fuzzy preference relationship is established to estimate the relative importance of each gas in the dissolved gases. The proposed method can provide the probability of probable faults in transformer, help engineers quickly determine the type and location of faults, and improve the accuracy of diagnosis and maintenance efficiency of transformer. The effectiveness of the method is verified with case studies.

Health Condition Estimation of Bearings with Multiple Faults by a Composite Learning-Based Approach

Bearings are critical components found in most rotating machinery; their health condition is of immense importance to many industries. The varied conditions and environments in which bearings operate make them prone to single and multiple faults. Widespread interest in the improvements of single fault diagnosis meant limited attention was spent on multiple fault diagnosis. However, multiple fault diagnosis poses extra challenges due to the submergence of the weak fault by the strong fault, presence of non-Gaussian noise, coupling of the frequency components, etc. A number of existing convolutional neural network models operate on a distinct feature that is not enough to assure reliable results in the presence of these challenges. In this paper, extended feature sets in three homogenous deep learning models are used for multiple fault diagnosis. This ensures a measure of diversity is introduced to the health management dataset to obtain complementary solutions from the models. The outputs of the models are fused through blending ensemble learning. Experiments using vibration datasets based on bearing multiple faults show an accuracy of 98.54%, with an improvement of 2.74% in the overall effectiveness over the single models. Compared with other technologies, the results show that this approach provides an improved generalized diagnostic capability.

An Inference-based Prognostic Framework for Health Management of Automotive Systems

This paper presents a unified data-driven prognostic framework that combines failure time data, static parameter data and dynamic time-series data. The framework employs proportional hazards model and a soft dynamic multiple fault diagnosis algorithm for inferring the degraded state trajectories of components and to estimate their remaining useful life times. The framework takes into account the cross-subsystem fault propagation, a case prevalent in any networked and embedded system. The key idea is to use Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the survival functions of error codes and symptoms (probabilistic test outcomes/prognostic indicators) from failure time data and static parameter data, and use them to infer the survival functions of components via soft dynamic multiple fault diagnosis algorithm. The average remaining useful life and its higher-order central moments (e.g., variance, skewness, kurtosis) can be estimated from these component survival functions. The framework is demonstrated on datasets derived from two automotive systems, namely hybrid electric vehicle regenerative braking system, and an electronic throttle control subsystem simulator. Although the proposed framework is validated on automotive systems, it has the potential to be applicable to a wide variety of systems, ranging from aerospace systems to buildings to power grids.

An Improved Lagrange Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm and Its Application in Multiple Fault Diagnosis

The fault rate in equipment increases significantly along with the service life of the equipment, especially for multiple fault. Typically, the Bayesian theory is used to construct the model of faults, and intelligent algorithm is used to solve the model. Lagrangian relaxation algorithm can be adopted to solve multiple fault diagnosis models. But the mathematical derivation process may be complex, while the updating method for Lagrangian multiplier is limited and it may fall into a local optimal solution. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is a global search algorithm. In this paper, an improved Lagrange-particle swarm optimization algorithm is proposed. The updating of the Lagrangian multipliers is with the PSO algorithm for global searching. The difference between the upper and lower bounds is proposed to construct the fitness function of PSO. The multiple fault diagnosis model can be solved by the improved Lagrange-particle swarm optimization algorithm. Experiment on a case study of sensor data-based multiple fault diagnosis verifies the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method.