target difference
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Trials ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
William Sones ◽  
Steven A. Julious ◽  
Joanne C. Rothwell ◽  
Craig Robert Ramsay ◽  
Lisa V. Hampson ◽  
...  

Following publication of the original article [1], we have been notified of a few mistakes:


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (60) ◽  
pp. 1-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A Cook ◽  
Steven A Julious ◽  
William Sones ◽  
Lisa V Hampson ◽  
Catherine Hewitt ◽  
...  

Background The randomised controlled trial is widely considered to be the gold standard study for comparing the effectiveness of health interventions. Central to its design is a calculation of the number of participants needed (the sample size) for the trial. The sample size is typically calculated by specifying the magnitude of the difference in the primary outcome between the intervention effects for the population of interest. This difference is called the ‘target difference’ and should be appropriate for the principal estimand of interest and determined by the primary aim of the study. The target difference between treatments should be considered realistic and/or important by one or more key stakeholder groups. Objective The objective of the report is to provide practical help on the choice of target difference used in the sample size calculation for a randomised controlled trial for researchers and funder representatives. Methods The Difference ELicitation in TriAls2 (DELTA2) recommendations and advice were developed through a five-stage process, which included two literature reviews of existing funder guidance and recent methodological literature; a Delphi process to engage with a wider group of stakeholders; a 2-day workshop; and finalising the core document. Results Advice is provided for definitive trials (Phase III/IV studies). Methods for choosing the target difference are reviewed. To aid those new to the topic, and to encourage better practice, 10 recommendations are made regarding choosing the target difference and undertaking a sample size calculation. Recommended reporting items for trial proposal, protocols and results papers under the conventional approach are also provided. Case studies reflecting different trial designs and covering different conditions are provided. Alternative trial designs and methods for choosing the sample size are also briefly considered. Conclusions Choosing an appropriate sample size is crucial if a study is to inform clinical practice. The number of patients recruited into the trial needs to be sufficient to answer the objectives; however, the number should not be higher than necessary to avoid unnecessary burden on patients and wasting precious resources. The choice of the target difference is a key part of this process under the conventional approach to sample size calculations. This document provides advice and recommendations to improve practice and reporting regarding this aspect of trial design. Future work could extend the work to address other less common approaches to the sample size calculations, particularly in terms of appropriate reporting items. Funding Funded by the Medical Research Council (MRC) UK and the National Institute for Health Research as part of the MRC–National Institute for Health Research Methodology Research programme.


Trials ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Cook ◽  
Steven A. Julious ◽  
William Sones ◽  
Lisa V. Hampson ◽  
Catherine Hewitt ◽  
...  

BMJ ◽  
2018 ◽  
pp. k3750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A Cook ◽  
Steven A Julious ◽  
William Sones ◽  
Lisa V Hampson ◽  
Catherine Hewitt ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Cook ◽  
Steven A. Julious ◽  
William Sones ◽  
Lisa V. Hampson ◽  
Catherine Hewitt ◽  
...  

The aim of this document is to provide practical guidance on the choice of target difference used in the sample size calculation of a randomised controlled trial (RCT). Guidance is provided with a definitive trial, one that seeks to provide a useful answer, in mind and not those of a more exploratory nature. The term “target difference” is taken throughout to refer to the difference that is used in the sample size calculation (the one that the study formally “targets”). Please see the glossary for definitions and clarification with regards other relevant concepts. In order to address the specification of the target difference, it is appropriate, and to some degree necessary, to touch on related statistical aspects of conducting a sample size calculation. Generally the discussion of other aspects and more technical details is kept to a minimum, with more technical aspects covered in the appendices and referencing of relevant sources provided for further reading.The main body of this guidance assumes a standard RCT design is used; formally, this can be described as a two-arm parallel-group superiority trial. Most RCTs test for superiority of the interventions, that is, whether or not one of the interventions is superior to the other (See Box 1 for a formal definition of superiority, and of the two most common alternative approaches). Some common alternative trial designs are considered in Appendix 3. Additionally, it is assumed in the main body of the text that the conventional (Neyman-Pearson) approach to the sample size calculation of an RCT is being used. Other approaches (Bayesian, precision and value of information) are briefly considered in Appendix 2 with reference to the specification of the target difference.


Trials ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Cook ◽  
Steven A. Julious ◽  
William Sones ◽  
Joanne C. Rothwell ◽  
Craig R. Ramsay ◽  
...  

Trials ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A Cook ◽  
◽  
Jenni Hislop ◽  
Douglas G Altman ◽  
Peter Fayers ◽  
...  

PLoS Medicine ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. e1001645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenni Hislop ◽  
Temitope E. Adewuyi ◽  
Luke D. Vale ◽  
Kirsten Harrild ◽  
Cynthia Fraser ◽  
...  

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