Seasoned Equity Offerings and Stock Price Crash Risk

Using a large sample of U.S. firms during 1987–2011, we find robust evidence that the issuance of seasoned equity is associated with abnormally high future stock price crash risk. The association between seasoned equity offerings and crash risk is stronger among offerings that involve the sale of secondary shares (existing shares sold by insiders or large blockholders). We also find that recent seasoned equity issuers are far less likely to experience sudden positive price jumps relative to firms that have not recently issued equity. Our findings of elevated crash risk and diminished jump risk, when taken together, are consistent with a heightened propensity for firms to hoard bad news but not good news when issuing equity.

THE FACTORS OF INITIAL RETURN RELATED TO IPO COMPANIES ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE

Companies that conduct IPOs will increase company’s value with an optimal capital structure. Initial return is a profit that investors can obtain from the initial share price is lower than the opening price of the secondary shares on the first day. Underpricing conditions occurs because the initial stock price is lower than the secondary stock price on the first day. This study aimed to analyze factors that impact initial returns on companies that conduct IPOs on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, analyze the effects of financial factors (ROE, DER, and BI Rate) and non-financial factors (professional auditors and underwriters) on initial returns to companies conducting IPOs in IDX, and how the behavior of investors towards those analysis. The linear regression data processing using SPSS 16 produced result that only the BI Rate variable which affected the initial return on the seven days, 30 days, and one year after the IPO observation period. The statistical results show the best r-square value is 17.6 percent, which means that the independent variables can be used to explain the effect to the initial return on 17.6 percent.

Conflicting interests: Going public in deteriorating market conditions

The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether the conflicting interest between issuing firms and CEOs (venture capitalists) affect the going-public decision. Going public in deteriorating market conditions is costly for issuing firms in terms of low offering price and high probability of withdrawal. If agency costs exist, agents pursuing their own interests may bring firms public even in poor market conditions, which has been largely ignored in the previous literature. To examine our hypotheses, we collect 1246 Japanese firms going public from 2001 to 2016 and conduct logit regressions, propensity score matching (PSM) as well as a probit model with sample selection. Consistent with our conjecture, we find a positive relation between the going-public decision and secondary shares offered by CEOs. Additionally, we also find an inverse U-shaped relationship between CEOs’ retained ownership and the going-public decision, indicating that in addition to liquidity needs, private benefits of control is another potential source of conflicting interests. Furthermore, secondary shares offered by VCs are also positively associated with the going-public decision, suggesting that when VCs attempt to exit as rapidly as possible, they are more likely to bring firms public even in deteriorating markets. These findings suggest that conflicting interests among parties affect the timing and costs of IPOs.

Earnings management and the floatation structure: empirical evidence from Polish IPOs

Research background: Firms use discretionary accounting choices to manage earnings disclosures around the time of certain types of corporate events. The initial public offering particularly provides an opportunity to earnings management because of the significant information asymmetry between investors and issuers at the time of the offering. Purpose of the article: The main aim of the study is to empirically investigate the links between the earnings management and the portions of primary and secondary shares sold in IPO. Methods: In order to investigate whether the earnings management influences the issue of new shares and the sale of secondary shares I use Tobit and logit regressions, where discre-tionary accruals are the proxy for earnings management. Findings & Value added: Using a sample of 221 firms from Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2005 and 2015 I do not find evidence that the increase of pre-IPO discretionary accruals positively affects the sale of primary shares in the IPO, but the analysis has revealed that the deliberate conservative reporting limits the probability of the new shares issuance. In turn, the sale of secondary shares by the original shareholders in IPO is more likely in companies using a conservative earnings management. Furthermore, negative discretionary accruals increase the portion of secondary shares sold in the IPO.

Motives and effects of the initial public offerings on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

This paper empirically investigates the links between the motives for going public and changes in the market value and efficiency of new stock companies. Using a sample of 200 firms from Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2005 and 2012 I find that the principal purpose of initial public offering is raising additional capital by the company but divestment grounds of initial shareholders are also important. I find evidence that the sale of secondary shares in the initial public offering may be seen as a negative signal at aftermarket performance of the firm. The data reveal that the most adverse long-term changes in the market value and business efficiency are observed for those companies, where in the initial public offering both primary and secondary shares were sold.

Information signaling and ownership transition – value effects of share issue privatizations

Privatizations are commonly associated with an increase in efficiency due to a stronger focus on profit maximization and less agency conflicts because the management does not have to serve political objectives anymore. This paper discusses whether SIPs generate positive announcement returns because of increased efficiency after the ownership transition. We apply a market model event-study methodology based on a sample of 134 SIPs in the 1979-2003 period. We identify significantly negative CAARs between -0.125% and -1.766% and find that firm and offering size, the proportion of secondary shares issued within the SIP as well as the market environment have a negative impact on announcement returns. In contrast, the negative CAARs are less distinctive for enterprises that had prior SIPs