A structure theorem for stochastic processes indexed by the discrete hypercube

Let A be a finite set with , let n be a positive integer, and let $A^n$ denote the discrete $n\text {-dimensional}$ hypercube (that is, $A^n$ is the Cartesian product of n many copies of A). Given a family $\langle D_t:t\in A^n\rangle $ of measurable events in a probability space (a stochastic process), what structural information can be obtained assuming that the events $\langle D_t:t\in A^n\rangle $ are not behaving as if they were independent? We obtain an answer to this problem (in a strong quantitative sense) subject to a mild ‘stationarity’ condition. Our result has a number of combinatorial consequences, including a new (and the most informative so far) proof of the density Hales-Jewett theorem.

ON MARKOV-SWITCHING ARMA PROCESSES—STATIONARITY, EXISTENCE OF MOMENTS, AND GEOMETRIC ERGODICITY

The probabilistic properties of ℝd-valued Markov-switching autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes with a general state space parameter chain are analyzed. Stationarity and ergodicity conditions are given, and an easy-to-check general sufficient stationarity condition based on a tailor-made norm is introduced. Moreover, it is shown that causality of all individual regimes is neither a necessary nor a sufficient criterion for strict negativity of the associated Lyapunov exponent.Finiteness of moments is also considered and geometric ergodicity and strong mixing are proven. The easily verifiable sufficient stationarity condition is extended to ensure these properties.

Moment bounds for non-stationary dependent sequences

We provide a unified approach for establishing even-moment bounds for partial sums for a class of weakly dependent random variables satisfying a stationarity condition. As applications, we discuss moment bounds for various types of mixing sequences. To obtain even-moment bounds, we use a ‘combinatorial argument' developed by Cox and Kim (1990).

Moment bounds for non-stationary dependent sequences

We provide a unified approach for establishing even-moment bounds for partial sums for a class of weakly dependent random variables satisfying a stationarity condition. As applications, we discuss moment bounds for various types of mixing sequences. To obtain even-moment bounds, we use a ‘combinatorial argument' developed by Cox and Kim (1990).