Iowa Experience on Local Calibration of AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design (PMED) for Jointed Plain Concrete Pavements

The AASHTO Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) pavement performance models and the associated AASHTOWare pavement ME design (PMED) software are nationally calibrated using design inputs and distress data largely obtained from National Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) to predict Jointed Plain Concrete Pavement (JPCP) performance measures. To improve the accuracy of nationally-calibrated JPCP performance models for various local conditions, further calibration and validation studies in accordance with the local conditions are highly recommended, and multiple updates have been made to the PMED since its initial release in 2011, with the latest version (i.e., Ver. 2.5.X) becoming available in 2019. Validation of JPCP performance models after such software updates is necessary as part of PMED implementation, and such local calibration and validation activities have been identified as the most difficult or challenging parts of PMED implementation. As one of the states at the forefront of implementing the MEPDG and PMED, Iowa has conducted local calibration of JPCP performance models extending from MEPDG to updated versions of PMED. The required MEPDG and PMED inputs and the historical performance data for the selected JPCP sections were extracted from a variety of sources and the accuracy of the nationally-calibrated MEPDG and PMED performance prediction models for Iowa conditions was evaluated. To improve the accuracy of model predictions, local calibration factors of MEPDG and PMED performance prediction models were identified and gained local calibration experiences of MEPDG and PMED in Iowa are presented and discussed here to provide insight of local calibration for other State Highway Agencies (SHAs).

Developing an Automated Technique to Calibrate the AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design Software

Many state highway agencies are in the process of implementing the AASHTOWare Pavement ME Design (PMED) software for routine pavement design. However, a recurring implementation challenge has been the need to locally calibrate the software to reflect an agency’s design and construction practices, materials, and climate. This study introduced a framework to automate the calibration processes of the PMED performance models. This automated technique can search PMED output files and identify relevant damages/distresses for a project on a particular date. After obtaining this damage/distress information, the technique conducts model verification with the global calibration factors. Transfer function coefficients are then automatically derived following an optimization technique and numerical measures of goodness-of-fit. An equivalence statistical testing approach is conducted to ensure predicted performance results are in agreement with the measured data. The automated technique allows users to select one of three sampling approaches: split sampling, jackknifing, or bootstrapping. Based on the sampling approach chosen, the automated technique provides the calibration coefficients or suitable ranges for the coefficients and shows the results graphically. Model bias, standard error, sum squared error, and p-value from the paired t-test are also reported to assess efficacy of the calibration process.