Applying Fuzzy Logic to Modeling Economic Emergence

Modeling of financial, socioeconomic and integration indicators of fishing enterprises in conditions of uncertainty and constant transformation requires the development of an economic and mathematical model for studying the emergent state, which would be based on a set of main factors of influence of qualitative and quantitative characteristics of the dynamics of functioning. To create an expert modeling system for multi factorial analysis of the processes of functioning and management decisions of industrial enterprises, a mathematical apparatus based on the theory of fuzzy logic and a linguistic variable was used. This economic and mathematical method is a computer of mathematical algorithms, models and formalized methods and is based on the stagnation of expert linguistic information for predicting indicators of development or decline in order to form the basic mechanism for detecting latent properties of an emergent state. To develop an economic and mathematical model expert assessments and the results of analytical and experimental scientific studies of a qualitative and quantitative nature are used. Fuzzy logic modeling allows you to combine quantitative and qualitative factors and allows you to identify latent signals of emergent properties and determine the level of emergent state of industrial enterprises

Software system «Network-centric managerial structures synthesizer»

For practical applications and problem-solving of regional security management information support on the basis of combined simulation-expert modeling a special-purpose software system «Network-centric managerial structures synthesizer» has been developed. Software system provides agent-based model automated synthesis and analysis of the networked virtual managerial structures for security support under crisis situations in socio-economic sphere of regional development. System simulation and software toolkit allows alternative modeling scenario spectrum formation, analysis and extension of regional crisis situations. That provides managerial decision-making information probability and validity in the field of regional security support.

Strategic Management: A Textbook for Universities

In the textbook the fundamentals of strategic management, the methods of diagnostic analysis and strategic planning, the development of competition strategies and the management of strategy implementation at enterprises and organizations in a concise, concentrated form are examined. Development of competition strategies and management of strategy implementation at enterprises and organizations. The novelty of the textbook is the use of methods of diagnostic analysis and forecasting of the organization's activities, expert modeling of problems and competition strategies, rationalization of the management system and management of changes in the organization in a crisis and post-crisis in Russia.