scholarly journals THE IMPORTANCE OF THE RETAIL CREDIT PORTFOLIO FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH OF MACEDONIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Evica Delova Jolevska ◽  
Andovski Ilija

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the influence of trends in retail loan portfolio on the consumption and economic growth of Macedonia. The consumption of population is one of the components of GDP, and one of its drivers is the retail credit activity. On macroeconomic level, there is wide consensus among researchers that credit activity and quality of portfolio is driven by GDP movements, unemployment ratio and indebtedness of population. Also, vice verse the activities in retail segment influence on consumption and indirectly on GDP. So these two linkages enhance between and can result in negative spiral. Negative movements in GDP influence on the quality of portfolio and higher NPL ratio. And higher NPL ratio results in further decrease in credit activity and has additional negative impact on GDP. Because of that is important to determine the causes of credit activity in this segment. The retail portfolio in the last 4 years in Macedonian banking sector is growing continuously, opposite of other Balkan countries. That is why is important to analyze the past growth of retail portfolio and to determine possible weaknesses because of its future impact on GDP. One of the most important drivers that determine the future credit growth is the quality of retail credit portfolio in the moment. Another important aspect for the portfolio trend will be the interest rate environment. There is clear empirical evidence that low interest environment triggers greater credit activity and vice versa. Another important aspect of the credit qrowth, is the maturity of the retail credit portfolio as a way to decrease the monthly installments and to accumulate greater risk on longer term. Special focus of this paper will be the trend in retail loan portfolio after 2008, when the banking system of Macedonia felt the impact from financial crisis. The activities that were taken by the banking sector then can be some guidelines for future crisis. The retail credit growth will be analyzed by products in order better to understand bank strategies and reasons that contributed for such a growth. Also, the analyze of NPL ratio by product will give answer whether the quality of portfolio by products was one of the key drivers for credit activity.

2020 ◽  
pp. 6-19
Author(s):  
Davit Aslanishvili

This research focuses on the problem of large scale disproportion of success in the development of the banking sector and mostly unsuccessful development of the real sector of the economy. It should be noted that this disproportion is a subject of consideration in contemporary economic literature and our research is an attempt to broaden the issue and share ideas inside the international scientific circles. The main problem in the research is the impact of the banking sector's credit portfolio and the functioning of credit markets on the economic growth of the country. In this regard, it is very important to identify, study the macroeconomic stabilization and accelerated economic growth of the country and analyse the impact mechanisms of the credit market factors on economic growth. The conclusion that combines many of the research and opinions given in the survey can be as follows: From the economic point of view, the main function of banks is to increase the financing/lending of funds as the core point to increase investments in the economy. Thus, the development of the country in economic terms depends on the increase of investments. At present, it is in the hands of the banking sector whether to lead us to economic immobility or to accelerate the country's economic development through efficient allocation of resources.


2020 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
pp. 5-19
Author(s):  
Peter Nderitu Githaiga ◽  
◽  
◽  

Aim/purpose – This paper aims at examining the impact of revenue diversification on the quality of loan portfolio. The interest has been stimulated by the growing appetite for nontraditional activities among banks due to the declining interest income and rising nonperforming loans. Design/methodology/approach – The study considers a sample of 67 countries and quarterly banking sector financial reports over the period 2016Q1-2018Q4.The data are extracted from the International Monetary Fund Financial Soundness Indicators (FSI) database and are analysed through fixed effect regression as supported by the Hausman test.Findings – The study finds that revenue diversification impairs the quality of the loan portfolio. The findings are attributable to loss of focus, lack of expertise in managing non-lending activities, and possible agency problems. Moreover, the study controls for several banking sector-specific factors that affect the quality of loan portfolio. The re-sults show that credit growth and banking sector performance improve the quality of loan portfolio quality. However, the banking sector capitalisation and cost efficiency lower the loan portfolio rate, but the banking sector size has no significant effect.Research implications/limitations – Based on the findings, the study recommends that practitioners and regulators focus on innovative loans appraisal and monitoring practices instead of diversifying into non-interest generating activities.Originality/value/contribution – Unlike previous studies that focused on the relation-ship between income diversification and bank performance, this study contributes to the literature by examining the relationship between revenue diversification and quality of loan portfolio, thus bringing in a new insight into the bank revenue diversification debate.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ljube Jolevski

The paper investigates the relationship between non-performing loans and the basic indicators for banks’performance. The analysis was conducted among the banking sector in the Republic of Macedonia for the period 2007-2015. The share of non-performing loans in total loans is one of the basic indicators for the quality of the credit portfolio in banks. The analysis of the movement and the level of non-performing loans is of great importance for identifying possible problems in bank risk management as a whole. With the application of correlation and regression method, we confirmed the findings of the consequences of non-performing loans on the performance of banks. The results indicate that a large share of non-performing loans to total loans leads to deterioration in the financial and liquidity position. There is a weak negative correlation between the rate of capital adequacy and non-performing loans ratio and that requires further research.


2014 ◽  
pp. 54-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Orlova

The article considers the impact of international sanctions on the landscape of the Russian banking sector as well as on the economic policy framework. The author concludes that the effect of sanctions on bank lending and funding markets has been asymmetric: in particular, the increase of deposit interest rates has been considerably more moderate, resulting from substantial weakening in the retail funding base since 2013 as well as from the support provided by the Bank of Russia. The key consequence is the strengthening of state banks, which could generate risks for the quality of economic growth.


Author(s):  
Svetlana Apenko ◽  
◽  
Olga Kiriliuk ◽  
Elena Legchilina ◽  
Tatiana Tsalko ◽  
...  

The article presents the results of a study of the impact of pension reform in Russia on economic growth and quality of life in a digital economy, taking into account the experience of raising the retirement age in Europe. The aim of the study was to identify and analyze the impact of raising the retirement age on economic growth in the context of the development of digitalization in Russia and a comparative analysis with European countries. Results: the studies conducted allowed us to develop a system of indicators characterizing the impact of raising the retirement age on economic growth and the quality of life of the population in the context of digitalization. The authors found that raising the retirement age leads to a change in labor relations in Russia and Europe. The application of the proposed indicators can be used in the formation of a balanced state socio-economic policy in the field of institutional changes in the field of labor relations and raising the retirement age. The study was carried out under a grant from the RFBR № 19-010-00362 А.


Author(s):  
Osumanu Alhassan ◽  
Oscar Opoku Agyemang Opoku

Despite the major role played by rural and community banks in economic development and in the financial climate, their performance over a decade now have not been up to expectations. They continue to experience huge challenges due to innovations in technology as well as globalization which create opportunities for growth. The study was to examine the impact of liquidity on rural and community banks in the Eastern Region of Ghana selected from eleven (11) banks for the period of ten years from 2007 – 2016. The study used panel data and secondary data to collate the ratios from all the selected rural and community banks. A regression model was developed with Return on Asset as the dependent variable accompanied with other six explanatory variables. It was revealed that quality of loan portfolio ratio; capital ratio and loan to total assets had significant and positive relationship with profitability. It was also revealed that shocks in all the liquidity variables had one or other implications on profitability. Finally, based on finding seven, which states that cost to income has negative and significant effect on profitability, the study recommended that management must adopt information and communication technology to reduce cost and easy access to banks’ product in the form of Automated Teller Machine.  


Author(s):  
Nazim Hajiyev, Sardar Shabanov, Yadulla Hasanli

The article is dedicated to study of the impact of the quality of education on the economic growth in Azerbaijan. The quality index of education has been selected for two levels: a) up to higher education; b) higher school and post higher school. The indicator of average score (if available) that an applicant obtained in the current year on the country in student admission to the higher schools as a quality index of education in the country at the pre-higher education is offered as an alternative to the number of upper grades (10-12) in the secondary education. In the higher and post-higher education level, the number of articles printed on basic science and engineering per million people in Azerbaijan, and indexed on the Web of Science is taken as a quality index of education. Semi-linear type regression equations were made to assess the dependence of the indicators characterizing economic development.


Author(s):  
Revathi R. ◽  
Madhushree ◽  
P. S. Aithal

The banking sector is one of the biggest and revenue generating sector in our economy. Indiais a country with impressively splendid banks with sufficient capital and well-regulated rulesand regulations. One of the biggest transformations that the sector faced during this period isGST i.e., Goods and Service Tax, a new tax regime introduced in the midnight of 1 July2017. Now the new tax regime has become one year old and there are so many changeswhich happened in the banking sector during this one-year periods. Introduction of GST tothe banking sector was one the highly risky and challenging role for the government. GST isa replacement to the Value Added Tax (VAT) which was implied on goods and services. Themain purpose of studying the impact of implementation of GST is to avoid double taxationon goods and services. It is a self-regulated tax system with a simplifies tax regime whichreduces the multiplicity of tax. The purpose of this study is to know the challenges faced bythe Banking sector and its effects on the customers after the implementation of the GST.New tax regime made an incredible step by the abolish of centralized registration of thebanks. Now all the bank branches have to register under GST in each state for the smoothfunctioning. The tax rate has created an impression in the banking sector that the sector iscontributing much toward the economic growth of the country. Tax slabs is anotherimportant and critical thing discussed in this paper which has substantially increasedcompared to the old tax regime. Data for the study have been collected from secondary datasources such as journals, internet, and news articles. Using the ABCD qualitative analysistechnique, advantages, benefits, constraints, and disadvantages for both banks and thecustomers for payment of GST are identified.


Author(s):  
Anil Vashisht

<div><p><em>This paper studies the impact of IT in the service quality of banking sector. The purpose of the intended research involves determining bank adoption pattern of electronic media, factors constituting drivers and inhibitors for bank adoption, dimensionality of e-banking services quality as affected by IT, and customer adoption of such services. The study has also highlighted the determinants of service quality are directly influenced by IT and to explore what are the enabling and retarding factors for effective implementation and upsurge of IT system in banks.</em></p></div>


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-260
Author(s):  
Burca Valentin ◽  
Mates Dorel ◽  
Bogdan Oana

Abstract Under increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, governments base their economic policies on high-precision GDP estimates. The models considered based on building-up government budgets incorporate main drivers of economic growth, identified along a large range of empirical studies, mostly focused on economic productivity, factor accumulation, human capital, innovation and transfer of technology, structural changes, or institutional framework. However, there is little evidence related to the impact of accounting and assurance regulation on economic growth. Our study attempts to assess the significance of causal relation between forecasting error on GDP growth and quality of accounting standards, respectively quality of financial statements. The study analyzes the causal relation between country level measures of quality of financial reporting, synthetized by Isidro et. al. (2019), and the measure of GDP growth estimate mean error. Our results confirm a significant impact of quality of the output of financial reporting practice, related to disclosure quality and asymmetric timeliness. The results remain similar, even after controlling for accounting convergence influence. Checking for robustness of the model, we observe the main drivers of one year ahead GDP forecast error are related to institutional framework to issue high quality standards and enforce them properly. The results emphasize once again the role of economic development and corresponding complexity of economic activities and political framework impact on accounting regulation and subsequently on macroeconomic measures.


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