scholarly journals Financial Distress Prediction Using GA-BP Neural Network Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Lei Ruan ◽  
Heng Liu

Financial distress prediction, the crucial link of enterprise risk management, is also the core of enterprise financial distress theory. With currently global economic recession and the gradual perfection of artificial intelligence technology, the study in this paper begins by optimizing the back-propagation (BP) neural network model using the genetic algorithm (GA). In doing so, it can overcome the deficiency that the BP neural network model is slow in convergence and easily trapped into local optimal solution. The study then conducts training and tests on the optimized GA-BP neural network model, using financial distress data from Chinese listed enterprises. As can be seen from the experimental results, the optimized GA-BP neural network model is significantly improved in terms of the accuracy and stability in financial distress prediction. The study in this paper not only provides an effective test model for the automatic recognition and early warning of enterprise financial distress, but also contributes to new thoughts and approaches for the application of artificial intelligence in the field of financial accounting.

2014 ◽  
Vol 933 ◽  
pp. 921-925
Author(s):  
Xin Yun Liu ◽  
Heng Jun Liu

Enterprise financial distress prediction based on neural network has some disadvantages, such as complex structure, slow convergence rate and easily falling into local minimum points. The paper presents the genetic neural network based enterprise financial distress prediction. Firstly, the structural parameters of neural network model are encoded and connected into gene sequence to obtain an individual. A certain number of individuals make up a population. Secondly, after the reproduction, crossover and mutation operations upon the population, the best individual, that is the optimal structure parameters of neural network model, is obtained. Finally, the neural network model with the optimal structure parameters is trained by the training samples and the trained neural network model can realize enterprise financial distress prediction. The testing results show that the method achieves higher training speed and lower error rate.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
Xicun ZHU ◽  
Zhuoyuan WANG ◽  
Lulu GAO ◽  
Gengxing ZHAO ◽  
Ling WANG

The objective of the paper is to explore the best phenophase for estimating the nitrogen contents of apple leaves, to establish the best estimation model of the hyperspectral data at different phenophases. It is to improve the apple trees precise fertilization and production management. The experiments were done in 20 orchards in the field, measured hyperspectral data and nitrogen contents of apple leaves at three phenophases in two years, which were shoot growth phenophase, spring shoots pause growth phenophase, autumn shoots pause growth phenophase. The study analyzed the nitrogen contents of apple leaves with its original spectral and first derivative, screened sensitive wavelengths of each phenophase. The hyperspectral parameters were built with the sensitive wavelengths. Multiple stepwise regressions, partial least squares and BP neural network model were adopted in the study. The results showed that 551 nm, 716 nm, 530 nm, 703 nm; 543 nm, 705 nm, 699 nm, 756 nm and 545 nm, 702 nm, 695 nm, 746 nm were sensitive wavelengths of three phenophases. R551+R716, R551*R716, FDR530+FDR703, FDR530*FDR703; R543+R705, R543*R705, FDR699+FDR756, FDR699*FDR756and R545+R702, R545*R702, FDR695+FDR746, FDR695*FDR746 were the best hyperspectral parameters of each phenophase. Of all the estimation models, the estimated effect of shoot growth phenophase was better than other two phenophases, so shoot growth phenophase was the best phenophase to estimate the nitrogen contents of apple leaves based on hyperspectral models. In the three models, the 4-3-1 BP neural network model of shoot growth phenophase was the best estimation model. The R2 of estimated value and measured value was 0.6307, RE% was 23.37, RMSE was 0.6274.


Author(s):  
Lijuan Huang ◽  
Guojie Xie ◽  
Wende Zhao ◽  
Yan Gu ◽  
Yi Huang

AbstractWith the rapid development of e-commerce, the backlog of distribution orders, insufficient logistics capacity and other issues are becoming more and more serious. It is very significant for e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises to clarify the demand of logistics. To meet this need, a forecasting indicator system of Guangdong logistics demand was constructed from the perspective of e-commerce. The GM (1, 1) model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model were used to simulate and forecast the logistics demand of Guangdong province from 2000 to 2019. The results show that the Guangdong logistics demand forecasting indicator system has good applicability. Compared with the GM (1, 1) model, the BP neural network model has smaller prediction error and more stable prediction results. Based on the results of the study, it is the recommendation of the authors that e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises should pay attention to the prediction of regional logistics demand, choose scientific forecasting methods, and encourage the implementation of new distribution modes.


2010 ◽  
Vol 34-35 ◽  
pp. 301-305
Author(s):  
Zhao Qian Zhu ◽  
Jue Yang ◽  
Xiao Ming Zhang ◽  
Xiao Lei Li

This paper studied misfire diagnosis of diesel engine based on short-time vibration characters. Misfire of diesel engine was simulated by the vibration monitoring test. Cylinder vibration signal and top center signal were collected under different states. The short-time vibration signal of each cylinder was intercepted according to the diesel combustion sequence, effective value was calculated, and BP Neural Network model built with this character was used to diagnose diesel misfire. The result shows that this method can locate the misfire cylinder effectively, and it is meaningful for guiding the detection and repair of vehicles.


2021 ◽  
Vol 336 ◽  
pp. 06011
Author(s):  
Haonan Dong ◽  
Ruili Jiao ◽  
Minsong Huang

In order to solve the problem that the shape of cloud particle images measured by airborne cloud imaging probe (CIP) cannot be automatically recognized, this paper proposes an automatic recognition method of cloud and precipitation particle shape based on BP neural network. This method mainly uses a set of geometric parameters which can better describe the shape characteristics of cloud precipitation particles. Based on the cloud precipitation particle images measured by CIP in the precipitation stratiform clouds in northern China, a particle shape data training set and a testing set were constructed to train and verify the effect of the selected BP neural network model. The selected BP neural network model can classify the cloud particle image into tiny, column, needle, dendrite, aggregate, graupel, sphere, hexagonal and irregular. Utilizing the field campaign data measured by CIP, the habit identified results by the improved Holroyd method and by the selected BP neural network model were compared, which shows that the accuracy of BP neural network method is better than that of improved Holroyd method.


2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 878-893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianming Chen ◽  
Tieliu Wang ◽  
Mingming Ding ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Jianqing Chen ◽  
...  

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