Turkiye'de Parasal Aktarim Mekanizmasi: Yapisal VAR Yaklasimindan Bulgular The Channels of Monetary Policy Transmission in Turkey: Evidence from Structural VAR Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Mustafa Yıldırım
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-196
Author(s):  
Rizal Rahman H. Teapon ◽  
Rachman Dano Mustafa

Abstract: Shock of Monetary Policy Transmission and Macroeconomic Variable in Indonesia: A Structural VAR Approach. The purpose of this paper is to find out how much the shock of monetary policy transmission affects macroeconomic variables in Indonesia and vice versa by using Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model. The results showed that the transmission of monetary policy in Indonesia only gives a weak influence toward inflation, but it greatly stimulates economic growth. However, the shock of macroeconomic variables influences the transmission of monetary policy in Indonesia significantly. Keywords: Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR), monetary policy, macroeconomic policy.Abstrak: Kejutan Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter dan Variabel Makro Ekonomi di Indonesia: Suatu Pendekatan Structural Vector Autoregression. Tujuan dari tulisan ini adalah untuk mengetahui berapa besar guncangan transmisi kebijakan moneter mempengaruhi variabel makro ekonomi di Indonesia dan sebaliknya, dengan menggunakan model Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa transmisi kebijakan moneter di Indonesia masih lemah dalam mempengaruhi inflasi tetapi sangat kuat dalam merangsang pertumbuhan ekonomi. Sebaliknya, guncangan variabel makro ekonomi sangat signifikan dalam mempengaruhi transmisi kebijakan moneter di Indonesia. Kata kunci: Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR), kebijakan moneter, kebijakan makro ekonomi


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suriani Suriani ◽  
M. Shabri Abd. Majid ◽  
Raja Masbar ◽  
Nazaruddin A. Wahid ◽  
Abdul Ghafar Ismail

Purpose The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price and exchange rate channels in the Indonesian economy. Design/methodology/approach Using the monthly data from January 2003 to November 2017, this study uses a multivariate vector error correction model causality framework. To examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price channel, this study uses the variables of consumption, inflation, interest rates, economic growth and the composite stock price index. Meanwhile, to examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the exchange rate channel, this study used variables of inflation, interest rates, economic growth, foreign investment and exchange rate. Findings This study documented that sukuk has no causal relationship with inflation through asset price and exchange rate channels. Nevertheless, sukuk has a bidirectional causal relationship with economic growth through asset price and exchange rate channels. Sukuk is also documented to have a causal relationship with monetary policy variables of interest rate and stock prices through asset price and exchange rate channels. Finally, a unidirectional causality is recorded running from the exchange rate to sukuk in the exchange rate channel. Research limitations/implications The finding of independence of the sukuk market from interest rates provides evidence that the trading of the sukuk in Indonesia has been in harmony with the Islamic tenets. Practical implications The relevant Indonesian authorities need to enhance both domestic and global sukuk markets as part of efforts to promote the sustainability of Islamic capital market development in Indonesia. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is among the first attempts to empirically investigate the role of sukuk in monetary policy transmission through asset price and exchange rate channels in the context of the Indonesian economy.


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