scholarly journals DEMAND AND SUPPLY PROJECTION OF CEREALS: CONSEQUENCE TO FOOD SECURITY IN INDIA AND NIGERIA

Author(s):  
Sanusi SADIQ
Author(s):  
Mohammad Chhiddikur Rahman ◽  
Md. Abdur Rouf Sarkar ◽  
Md. Abdus Salam ◽  
Jahangir Alam ◽  
Md. Mosharraf Uddin Molla ◽  
...  

Rice availability and affordability are the key determinants of food security in Bangladesh. Therefore, it becomes the most important crop for the social and political economy of the country. Although a tremendous technological advancement contributed to the increasing trend of rice production, its affordability threatened due to the increasing price at the consumers’ level. The recent natural calamities and COVID-19 have worsened the food security status across the world. This research has estimated the demand and supply of rice in the pandemic era and figured out the drivers of recent price hike both in the producers’ and consumers’ levels using empirical and cognitive approaches. Based on the findings, some actionable policy options have been suggested to address the price level of rice in Bangladesh towards sustaining food security.


Author(s):  
Volodymyrivna Derii Zhanna ◽  
Vasylovych Koval Viktor ◽  
Oleksandrivna Sedikova Iryna

The importance of food security in the world countries is explored. The food security of the country is characterized by the stability, efficiency and stability of the agro-industrial complex and its ability to respond promptly to changes in demand and supply in the food market; level of transitional grain stocks; solvency of the population, in order to ensure equal access to food for all segments of the population; reduction of import dependence


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sudhanshu Joshi ◽  
Manu Sharma

Purpose This study aims to explore the critical factors for digital technologies (DT) adoption to develop a sustainable agri-food supply chain (AFSC). As the developing countries are struggling to survive during COVID-19, DT adoption in AFSC can bring resilience and minimizes the food security concerns. Design/methodology/approach The study has used Fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) methods for identifying the critical success factors (CSFs) for DT adoption and inter-relationship among them to explore the crucial factors for food security across AFSC. Findings The research reveals that “Digital Technologies, Logistics and infrastructure” is the most crucial CSF for managing food security in developing economy during the COVID-19 situation. This factor supports the decision-makers to manage data for demand and supply management and helps to survive and sustain in the disruptive environment. The findings of the study will help farmers and supply chain partners to manage the smooth flow of food items from source to end-users during a disruptive environment. The sourcing, manufacturing and delivery methods are needed to be changed with DT inclusion and may support to redesign their internal systems for improvisation. This shorter AFSC will enhance the resilience in AFSCs. Research limitations/implications The emergency situation raised by the COVID-19 pandemic has brought global food security concerns. Adoption of DT across AFSCs can strategically reduce food waste and optimize the demand and supply balance. Originality/value The study aims to build a comprehensive framework by identifying the CSFs to develop resilient and sustainable AFSC amidst COVID-19.


2021 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 12001
Author(s):  
Alexander Manilov ◽  
Oleg Chekmarev ◽  
Irina Shorenko

Research background: The problem of food security in the country is one of the most pressing problems of our time. At the moment, due to the pandemic, agflation has a very tangible increase in many countries of the world. The authors propose to apply a system analysis to study the mechanism of the influence of various factors on agflation and their interrelationships. Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to formulate the task of systemic modeling of agflation processes and its impact on the sustainability of food security. Methods: The authors propose to draw up systems of econometric equations, which are modules combined into one system. Equations in these systems are constructed using regression analysis, and the dependent variables in one equation can be independent in another, and can also be used in different modules. Thus, there is a connection between various equations of one system and the modules of a single system. The whole system is built on the classical model of supply and demand, which reaches equilibrium when the values of the supply and demand variables are equal. But if these variables are equal, a rational level of food consumption by the population must be maintained for the sustainability of food security. Findings & Value added: The result is the formulation of the task of modeling the influence of factors on agflation. Due to the flexibility of the model, it is possible to trace the impact of each of the factors on the regulation of supply and demand, or how demand and supply are modified when several factors change.


Significance Chinese governments have long placed a high premium on achieving food security by relying on the country’s own resources. However, demand and supply side pressures from rising incomes, urbanisation, resource shortages and environmental constraints present formidable challenges. Impacts Food security concerns and tightening corn supplies will likely encroach on China’s bio-ethanol production, at least in the short term. Growing affluence will make livestock and meat the fastest-growing branches of agriculture. Recovery from the African swine fever epidemic will not return pork production to its previous peak level until around 2025. In the interim, consumers will seek alternative meat sources, such as sheep meat, beef and, most importantly, poultry. China will continue to rely heavily on imports of sugar, beef, sheep meat and milk products.


2021 ◽  
Vol 883 (1) ◽  
pp. 012068
Author(s):  
R P Destiarni ◽  
A S Jamil ◽  
F Septya

Abstract Indonesian meat consumption has 40 percent deficit which was covered by importing. Meat price in international market tend to fluctuate. The gap between domestic demand and supply meat also the imported price fluctuation causes instability of domestic price. This research is conducted to analyze the volatility of meat price which implicated to food security in Indonesia. ARCH-GARCH model is used to estimate meat price volatility in Indonesia. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller and cointegration test have been used for testing the presence of unit root and cointegration in the series. Langrange multiplier has been utilized to detect the presence of autoregressive conditional effect. Daily meat prices used are national average price which obtained from the Indonesia Ministry of Trade. This study reveals that meat price in Indonesia has high volatility with increasing price over the research period. The empirical model also shows asymetry effect. The results recommend that Indonesia should apply comprehensive managed import such as not only import on fresh meat and ready to cut bovine but also on breeding bovine. By the fulfilling production and stock, meat price can be more stable. By the price stabilization, food security concept will be reached so that every layer society can consume meat.


1995 ◽  
Vol 34 (4II) ◽  
pp. 723-731 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ather Maqsood Ahmed ◽  
Rehana Siddiqui

Wide fluctuations in world prices of food-grains, especially rice and wheat, in the seventies and the early eighties forced many developing countries to strive for self-sufficiency in food-grain production. Pakistan is among the countries where near self-sufficiency was achieved in wheat in the early eighties. It also maintained its status as a leading rice-exporting country. However, a continuously high rate of population growth, a changing pattern of income distribution, and a greater level of urbanisation have greatly influenced the demand for food-grains. At the same time, additional factors like a sharp rise in the cost of irrigation, a dramatic decline in the world price of rice, a heavy debt burden, the lack of technology and human capital development, and mismanagement in the distribution system have contributed towards a slower growth of grain production as compared with the levels achieved in the sixties and the eighties. This change in the demand and supply situation with respect to food has necessitated the need to re-evaluate the existing agricultural policies. Within demand and supply constraints, the question is whether or not Pakistan can attain selfsufficiency in wheat while at the same time maintaining its status as a significant exporter of rice. In the immediate future, the situation appears desperate, but in the long-run, when available resources are adequately utilised and consistent policies are adopted, there is hope and optimism. This study not only reviews the current food situation in Pakistan but also develops alternative policy scenarios which are consistent with the target of food security in Pakistan.


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