Atmospheric forcing of sea ice anomalies in the Ross Sea Polynya region
Abstract. Despite warming trends in global temperatures, sea ice extent in the Southern Hemisphere has shown an increasing trend over recent decades. Wind-driven sea ice export from coastal polynyas is an important source of sea ice production. Areas of major polynyas in the Ross Sea, the region with largest increase in sea ice extent, have been suggested to produce a vast amount of the sea ice in the region. We investigate the impacts of strong wind events on the Ross Sea Polynyas and its sea ice concentration and possible consequences on sea ice production. We utilise Bootstrap sea ice concentration (SIC) measurements derived from satellite based, Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) brightness temperatures. We compared these with surface winds and temperatures from automatic weather stations (AWS) of the University of Wisconsin-Madison Antarctic Meteorology Program. Our analysis focusses on the austral winter period defined as 1st April to 1st November in this study. Daily data were used to classified into characteristic regimes based on the percentiles of wind speed. For each regime, a composite of SIC anomaly was formed for the Ross Sea region. We found that persistent weak winds near the edge of the Ross Ice Shelf are generally associated with positive SIC anomalies in the Ross Sea Polynya (RSP). Conversely we found negative SIC anomalies in this area during persistent strong winds. By analysing sea ice motion vectors derived from SSM/I and SSMIS brightness temperatures, we find significant sea ice motion anomalies throughout the Ross Sea during strong wind events. These anomalies persist for several days after the strong wind event. Strong, negative correlations are found between SIC and AWS wind speed within the RSP indicating that strong winds cause significant advection of sea ice in the region. We were able to recreate these correlations using co-located ERA-Interim wind speeds. However when only days of a certain percentile based wind speed classification were used, the cross correlation functions produced by ERA-Interim wind speeds differed significantly from those produced using AWS wind speeds. The rapid decrease in SIC during a strong wind event is followed by a more gradual recovery in SIC. This increase occurs on a more gradual time scale than the average persistence of a strong wind event and the resulting sea ice motion anomalies, highlighting the production of new sea ice through thermodynamic processes. In the vicinity of Ross Island, ERA-Interim underestimates wind speeds by a factor of 1.7, which results in a significant misrepresentation of the impact of winds on polynya processes.