scholarly journals Seismic hazard assessment for Adria

1999 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Slejko ◽  
R. Camassi ◽  
I. Cecic ◽  
D. Herak ◽  
M. Herak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Adriatic Sea ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Hazard Map ◽  
Southern Apennines ◽  
Strong Earthquakes ◽  
Hazardous Area ◽  
Hazard Response ◽  
Lower Hazard

The Adriatic region was chosen as one of the test areas in the GSHAP program and, consequently, its seismic hazard was computed. The standard hazard map chosen by GSHAP represents PGA with a 475-year return period. Some other parameters, as the spectral acceleration and the uniform hazard response spectra for the main Adriatic towns, have been computed for a better representation of the regional hazard. The most hazardous area remains identified in the Cephalonia zone, where strong earthquakes frequently occur. The Southern Apennines are characterised by a slightly lower hazard, while the Adriatic Sea itself, the Poplain and the Apulian peninsula are almost aseismic.

scholarly journals Comparing the best-estimate uniform hazard response spectra to the observed data from the Mw 7.3 earthquake on November 12, 2017 in the Kermanshah areas of western Iran

2019 ◽  
pp. 19-34
Author(s):  
Nadereh Amerian ◽  
Elham Shabani ◽  
Ramin Nikrouz
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction Equations ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Hazard Zoning ◽  
Hazard Response

In this study, synthetic catalogs based on the Monte Carlo simulations have been produced for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA), in the Kermanshah region, West of Iran. Resultant seismic hazard zoning maps, hazard curves and three-dimensional deaggregation of seismic hazard are provided. In order to validate the estimated peak ground accelerations (PGAs), the deduced uniform hazard response spectra (UHRS) are compared with the recorded PGAs in some stations near to the large Mw 7.3 earthquake occurred in the western part of Iran near to Iraq border on 12 November 2017. Different ground motion prediction equations are tested and the results are compared.

scholarly journals Determination of Local Site-Specific Spectra Using Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for Bitlis Province, Turkey

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ercan Işık ◽  
Mustafa Kutanis
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Source ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Source Characterization ◽  
Site Specific ◽  
Attenuation Relationships

<p>In this study, site-specific earthquake spectra for Bitlis province in Lake Van Basin has been obtained. It is noteworthy that, in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, as a first stage data from geological studies and records from the instrumental period were compiled to make a seismic source characterization for the study region.The probabilistic seismic hazard curves for Bitlis were developed based on selected appropriate attenuation relationships, at rock sites, with a probability of exceedance 2%, 10% and 50% in 50 year periods. The obtained results were compared with the spectral responses proposed for seismic evaluation and retrofit of the building structure in Turkish Earthquake Code, Section 2. At the end of this study, it is apprehended that the Code proposed earthquake response spectra are not sufficient for the performance evaluation of the existing structures and the current estimations show that the potential seismic hazard research of the Turkey is underestimated in the code.Therefore, site- specific design spectra for the region should be developed, which reflect the characteristics of local sites.</p><p> </p><p><strong>Determinación de espectros de sitio específico locales a través del análisis probabilístico de amenazas sísmicaspara la provincia de Bitlis, Turquía</strong></p><p> </p><p><strong>Resumen</strong></p>En este estudio se obtuvieron espectros de terremoto de sitio específico para la cuenca del Lago de Van, en la provincia de Bitlis, al este de Turquía. La primera fase del trabajo consistió en una evaluación probabilística de riesgo sísmico donde se compilaron los estudios geológicos y registros del período instrumental para hacer una caracterización de fuente sísmica en la región de estudio. Las curvas de amenaza sísmica para la provincia de Bitlis se desarrollaron con base en las relaciones de atenuación apropiada seleccionadas en los sitios rocosos, con una probabilidad de exceso de 2 %, 10 % y 50 % durante 50 años. Los resultados obtenidos se compararon con las respuestas de espectro propuestas para la evaluación sísmica y modernización de estructuras contempladas en el Código de Terremoto de Turquía, en la sección 2. En la parte final de este trabajo se comprende que las respuestas de espectros de terremoto propuestos en el código no son suficientes para la evaluación de desempeño de las estructuras existentes y que las estimaciones actuales muestran que la investigación de amenazas potenciales sísmicas en Turquía está subestimada en el código. Por lo tanto, el diseño de espectros de sitio específico para la región se debe desarrollar, ya que permitiría conocer las singularidades locales.</p>

A Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Northeast India

2006 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandip Das ◽  
Ishwer D. Gupta ◽  
Vinay K. Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Northeast India ◽  
Entire Area ◽  
The Past ◽  
Hazard Response ◽  
Hazard Level ◽  
Spectral Velocity ◽  
Pseudo Spectral

Seismic hazard maps have been prepared for Northeast India based on the uniform hazard response spectra for absolute acceleration at stiff sites. An approach that is free from regionalizing the seismotectonic sources has been proposed for performing the hazard analysis. Also, a new attenuation model for pseudo-spectral velocity scaling has been developed by using 261 recorded accelerograms in Northeast India. In the present study, the entire area of Northeast India has been divided into 0.1° grid size, and the hazard level has been assessed for each node of this grid by considering the seismicity within a 300-km radius around the node. Using the past earthquake data, the seismicity for the area around each node has been evaluated by defining a and b values of the Gutenberg-Richter recurrence relationship, while accounting for the incompleteness of the earthquake catalogue. To consider the spatial distribution of seismicity around each node, a spatially smoothed probability distribution function of the observed epicentral distances has been used. Uniform hazard contours for pseudo-spectral acceleration as the hazard parameter have been obtained for an exposure time of 100 years and for 50% confidence level at different natural periods for both horizontal and vertical components of ground motion. The trends reflected by these contours are broadly consistent with the major seismotectonic features in the region.

Seismic Hazard Analysis for an NPP Site

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. K. Ghosh ◽  
H. S. Kushwaha
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Structural Response ◽  
Response Spectra ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Material Strength ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Hazard Response

The various uncertainties and randomness associated with the occurrence of earthquakes and the consequences of their effects on the NPP components and structures call for a probabilistic seismic risk assessment (PSRA). However, traditionally, the seismic design basis ground motion has been specified by normalised response spectral shapes and peak ground acceleration (PGA). The mean recurrence interval (MRI) used to be computed for PGA only. The present work develops uniform hazard response spectra i.e. spectra having the same MRI at all frequencies for Kakrapar Atomic Power Station site. Sensitivity of the results to the changes in various parameters has also been presented. These results determine the seismic hazard at the given site and the associated uncertainties. The paper also presents some results of the seismic fragility for an existing containment structure. The various parameters that could affect the seismic structural response include material strength of concrete, structural damping available within the structure and the normalized ground motion response spectral shape. Based on this limited case study the seismic fragility of the structure is developed. The results are presented as families of conditional probability curves plotted against the peak ground acceleration (PGA). The procedure adopted incorporates the various randomness and uncertainty associated with the parameters under consideration.

scholarly journals The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map

1999 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Giardini ◽  
G. Grünthal ◽  
K. M. Shedlock ◽  
P. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Map ◽  
Disaster Reduction ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Assessment Program ◽  
Global Standards ◽  
Seismic Hazard Map ◽  
International Decade

The Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP), a demonstration project of the UN/International Decade of Natural Disaster Reduction, was conducted in the 1992-1998 period with the goal of improving global standards in seismic hazard assessment. The GSHAP Global Seismic Hazard Map has been compiled by joining the regional maps produced for different GSHAP regions and test areas; it depicts the global seismic hazard as Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) with a 10% chance of exceedance in 50 years, corresponding to a return period of 475 years.

scholarly journals Probabilistic seismic hazard map for Bulgaria as a basis for a new building code

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 881-887 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. D. Simeonova ◽  
D. E. Solakov ◽  
G. Leydecker ◽  
H. Busche ◽  
T. Schmitt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Attenuation Factor ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Building Code ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Eurocode 8 ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Map ◽  
Intermediate Depth ◽  
Seismic Hazard Map

Abstract. A seismic hazard map proposed as part of a new building code for Bulgaria is presented here on basis of the recommendations in EUROCODE 8. Seismic source zones within an area of about 200 km around Bulgaria were constructed considering seismicity, neotectonic and geological development. The most time consuming work was to establish a homogeneous earthquake catalogue out of different catalogues. The probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in terms of intensities is performed following Cornell (1968) with the program EQRISK (see McGuire, 1976), modified by us for use of intensities. To cope with the irregular isoseismals of the Vrancea intermediate depth earthquakes a special attenuation factor is introduced (Ardeleanu et al., 2005), using detailed macroseismic maps of three major earthquakes. The final seismic hazard is the combination of both contributions, of zones with crustal earthquakes and of the Vrancea intermediate depth earthquakes zone. Calculations are done for recurrence periods of 95, 475 and 10 000 years.

scholarly journals Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program - GSHAP legacy

2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurentiu Danciu ◽  
Domenico Giardini
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Hazard Models ◽  
Hazard Map ◽  
Assessment Program ◽  
Earthquake Model ◽  
Common Framework ◽  
Seismic Hazard Map

<p>Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program - or simply GSHAP, when launched, almost two decades ago, aimed at establishing a common framework to evaluate the seismic hazard over geographical large-scales, i.e. countries, regions, continents and finally the globe. Its main product, the global seismic hazard map was a milestone, unique at that time and for a decade have served as the main reference worldwide. Today, for most of the Earth’s seismically active regions such Europe, Northern and Southern America, Central and South-East Asia, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, the GSHAP seismic hazard map is outdated. The rapid increase of the new data, advance on the earthquake process knowledge, technological progress, both hardware and software, contributed all in updates of the seismic hazard models. We present herein, a short retrospective overview of the achievements as well as the pitfalls of the GSHAP. Further, we describe the next generation of seismic hazard models, as elaborated within the Global Earthquake Model, regional programs: the 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model, the 2014 Earthquake Model for Middle East, and the 2015 Earthquake Model of Central Asia. Later, the main characteristics of these regional models are summarized and the new datasets fully harmonized across national borders are illustrated for the first time after the GSHAP completion.</p>

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