scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF OPTION PRICE VOLATILITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Viktorija Sodaunykaitė ◽  
Raimonda Martinkutė-Kaulienė
Keyword(s):  
Asset Price ◽  
Option Price ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
Price Sensitivity ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Currency Option ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Option Pricing Model ◽  
Market Factors

Financial derivatives are becoming increasingly popular on a daily basis. As markets become more unpredictable, companies and individual investors are increasingly using these tools to manage risk, leverage, and increase investment returns. The most important aspect of any contract is the contract price, as the financial result of the contract depends on the price. Also for an options. In each case, the option price depends on many factors that are difficult to define and predict in advance. The price sensitivity of the option allows you to determine where and on what the option price depends. Knowing this, the investor can manage the risk of the options. The purpose of the article is to assess the sensitivity of different options to market factors based on scientific literature and real market data. The study uses the Black-Scholes option pricing model, calculating and analyzing the value of Greek letters for the determination and valuation of transaction price sensitivity. The study showed that the most sensitive to changes in the underlying asset price, volatility and risk-free interest rate is the price of the currency option, and the price of the gold option is most sensitive over time (although in theory, gold retains its value in the long run). Knowing which components a particular option is sensitive to and capable of predicting changes in those components, you can predict changes in the option price and avoid additional risk.

Fifty years of UK asset price volatility

2000 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 63-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicola Anderson ◽  
Francis Breedon
Keyword(s):  
Asset Price ◽  
Price Volatility

scholarly journals Cross-section instability in financial markets: impatience, extrapolation, and switching

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Dieci ◽  
Xue-Zhong He
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Asset Market ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Equilibrium Market ◽  
High Degree ◽  
Fundamental Price

AbstractThis paper presents a stylized model of interaction among boundedly rational heterogeneous agents in a multi-asset financial market to examine how agents’ impatience, extrapolation, and switching behaviors can affect cross-section market stability. Besides extrapolation and performance based switching between fundamental and extrapolative trading documented in single asset market, we show that a high degree of ‘impatience’ of agents who are ready to switch to more profitable trading strategy in the short run provides a further cross-section destabilizing mechanism. Though the ‘fundamental’ steady-state values, which reflect the standard present-value of the dividends, represent an unbiased equilibrium market outcome in the long run (to a certain extent), the price deviation from the fundamental price in one asset can spill-over to other assets, resulting in cross-section instability. Based on a (Neimark–Sacker) bifurcation analysis, we provide explicit conditions on how agents’ impatience, extrapolation, and switching can destabilize the market and result in a variety of short and long-run patterns for the cross-section asset price dynamics.

scholarly journals Disposition Effect and Return Predictability in the Tunisian Stock Market

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Cheïma Hmida ◽  
Ramzi Boussaidi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Return Predictability ◽  
Capital Gains ◽  
Disposition Effect ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Return Reversal

The behavioral finance literature has documented that individual investors tend to sell winning stocks more quickly than losing stocks, a phenomenon known as the disposition effect, and that such a behavior has an impact on stock prices. We examined this effect in the Tunisian stock market using the unrealized capital gains/losses of Grinblatt & Han (2005) to measure the disposition effect. We find that the Tunisian investors exhibit a disposition effect in the long-run horizon but not in the short and the intermediate horizons. Moreover, the disposition effect predicts a stock price continuation (momentum) for the whole sample. However this impact varies from an industry to another. It predicts a momentum for “manufacturing” but a return reversal for “financial” and “services”.

scholarly journals News Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akito Matsumoto ◽  
Pietro Cova ◽  
Massimiliano Pisani ◽  
Alessandro Rebucci
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
News Shocks

Asset price volatility and trading volume with rational beliefs

2004 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 795-829 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ho-Mou Wu ◽  
Wen-Chung Guo
Keyword(s):  
Trading Volume ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Rational Beliefs

scholarly journals Series representation of the pricing formula for the European option driven by space-time fractional diffusion

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 981-1004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Philippe Aguilar ◽  
Cyril Coste ◽  
Jan Korbel
Keyword(s):  
Asset Price ◽  
Series Representation ◽  
Option Price ◽  
Double Series ◽  
Fractional Diffusion ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Esscher Transform ◽  
European Option ◽  
Underlying Asset ◽  
European Call Option

Abstract In this paper, we show that the price of an European call option, whose underlying asset price is driven by the space-time fractional diffusion, can be expressed in terms of rapidly convergent double-series. This series formula is obtained from the Mellin-Barnes representation of the option price with help of residue summation in ℂ2. We also derive the series representation for the associated risk-neutral factors, obtained by Esscher transform of the space-time fractional Green functions.

scholarly journals Modeling and Forecasting Gold Prices

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richmond Sam-Quarm ◽  
Mohamed Osman Elamin Busharads
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Future Market ◽  
Open Interest ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Japanese Yen

The aim of this paper is to explore the reasons of gold price volatility. It analyses the information function of the gold future market by open interest contracts as speculation effect, and further fundamental factors including inflation, Chinese yuan per dollar, Japanese yen per dollar, dollar per euro, interest rate, oil price, and stock price, in the short-run. The study proceeds to build a Dynamic OLS model for long-run equilibrium to produce reliable gold price forecasts using the following variables: gold demand, gold supply, inflation, USD/SDR exchange rate, speculation, interest rate, oil price, and stock prices. Findings prove that in the short-run, changes in gold price does granger cause changes in open interest, and changes in Japanese yen per dollar does granger cause changes in gold price. However, in the long-run, the results prove that gold demand, gold supply, USD/SDR exchange rate, inflation, speculation, interest rate, and oil price are associated in a long-run relationship.References

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE WORLD FOOD PRICE INDEX ON SOME EAST-EUROPEAN ECONOMIES

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 268-287
Author(s):  
Corina Saman ◽  
Cecilia Alexandri
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Agricultural Trade ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Food Price ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Positive Shock ◽  
Macroeconomic Implications ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Global Food

This paper deals with the dynamic response of exchange rates, inflation and agricultural foreign trade in Bulgaria, Poland and Romania to global food prices. We employ time-varying VARs with stochastic volatility to estimate the behaviour of these macroeconomic variables over the 2001M1–2015M12 period. The original contribution of this paper is that it captures the time variation and nonlinearities of the relationship between variables taking into account food price volatility and its macroeconomic implications. The main findings of the paper are: (i) high global food prices were transmitted to domestic economies causing pressure on inflation in the long run; (ii) in the short run the impact of a positive shock in international food price increases domestic inflation, depreci-ates the currency and reduces the agricultural trade; (iii) the vulnerabilities to global food prices are more pregnant for Romania and Bulgaria; (iv) the difference in the transmission of world prices is related to the different status of the countries as regards food and agricultural trade. The findings of the research would be significant for the governments to promote policies to help farmers respond to the rising of food prices by growing more and responding to export opportunities that may arise.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document