scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE RENMINBI INTERNATIONALIZATION ON THE GLOBAL MONETARY ORDER

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 13-30
Author(s):  
Katarzyna Twarowska

Background and the purpose: The Chinese economy is the fastest growing and changing economy in the modern world. The importance of the renminbi as an international currency is not relevant to China's economic potential and role in the global economy, however, many scientific studies indicate that the position of that currency in the functions of international money will become stronger in the future. This encouraged the author to assess the consequences of the renminbi internationalisation, in particular the impact on the stability of the international monetary system. An additional aim of the paper is to present the possible scenarios for reform of the international monetary system and assess whether the Chinese currency has a chance to become a global currency. Methods: The assessment of the renminbi’s role in global foreign exchange relations was carried out by analysing the use of Chinese currency in the main functions of international money in official sector (reserve currency, intervention currency, anchor currency) and private sector (investment currency, vehicle currency in international trade and on the foreign exchange market, invoicing and quotation currency) using the Cohen matrix. The author also assessed the benefits for the stability of the international monetary system, resulting from the transition from a system based on the dominance of the US dollar to a multi-currency system, including the renminbi. The study included theoretical research (analysis of the literature and research reports) and empirical research (analysis of statistical data). Results and conclusions: The author confirmed the research hypothesis: An increase in the use of renminbi in the functions of international currency will increase the stability of the international monetary system by reducing the dependence of this system on the single currency, which is the US dollar.

Author(s):  
Izabela Zawiślińska

The international position of a currency is directly determined by the scale and manner of fulfilment of classic currency functions in the international context. Creation of the Economic and Monetary Union and the introduction of a new currency (euro) – even though the decision was strictly political – was well-received by entities of contemporary international economy, including its main participants and the players on the international currency market. The reason for such a reception was the potential of the economies in the euro area, and also structural conditions and expectations for creation of an international currency that was to be a real alternative to the US dollar. The possibility of diversification in the investment and reserve spheres as well as in reference, intervention, transfer and invoicing spheres was considered as a step in the right direction to limiting the domination of the US dollar on the market. Notwithstanding the increasing problems in euro area in the fiscal sphere and the real economy, particularly with the job market, one may agree that the latest economic crisis did not change the bipolar character of the international monetary system still based on the US dollar and the euro. However, it needs to be stressed that the euro remains rather a regional than a global currency.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-107
Author(s):  
Haiping Qiu ◽  
Min Zhao

Purpose The world currency is endowed with two inherent contradictions, namely, the general contradiction of all currencies and the special contradiction between the quality and quantity of the world currency. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach In the wake of the Second World War, the USA, with its strong economic and military strength, established an international monetary system centered on the US dollar (USD). This gave USD the status of “world currency” and bounded it to the US imperialist hegemony with mutual integration and interaction, making it possible for USD capital to conduct international exploitation and wealth plundering extensively around the world. Findings The contradiction between the capital logic and the power logic, which is inherent in capital accumulation models of the new imperialism, also indicates the inevitable decline of USD. Originality/value This constitutes an important feature of the new imperialism. However, as a sovereign currency, USD has inextricable and inherent contradictions while exercising its function as the world currency.


2020 ◽  
Vol 183 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 4-16
Author(s):  
Alicja Sielska ◽  

In the 1940s, the US dollar was established as an international currency. Since then, its position has been practically unchallenged. However, in light of the financial crisis of 2008, the strengthening of the Chinese and European economies, and the COVID-19 pandemic, it is necessary to reflect on the future balance of power in the international monetary system. To this end, this article poses the following research question: is the US dollar facing a threat to its leading position in the global arena? First, I describe the historical currency system and the position of the dollar after the 2008 crisis; next I analyze the pandemic up through the end of June 2020. Then, I consider three possible scenarios for the dollar. First, it is possible to create a new global currency which would consist of a basket of the five most important world currencies. The second option is to replace the dollar with another currency, especially the euro or the renminbi. The third and most probable scenario is the compresence of several competing national currencies in international trade. Abandoning the dollar is possible, but it would require significant financial and institutional changes. This means that in the absence of any easy solutions for dethroning the US currency, it will remain the world’s leading currency.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Fantacci ◽  
Lucio Gobbi

Abstract Stablecoins are second generation cryptocurrencies, aimed at maintaining their value stable with respect to official currencies. The most famous example is perhaps represented by libra, the cryptocurrency announced by Facebook in 2019 and yet to be issued; the most widespread is tether, with a market capitalization of almost 10 billion dollars and a daily transaction volume of almost 50 billion dollars, which makes it the most used cryptocurrency. The diffusion of stablecoins is hardly surprising. By minimizing volatility – the main flaw of first generation cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin –, stablecoins are expected to play an even more important role on a global scale within a few years. Our contribution deals not with the economic, but specifically with the geopolitical factors that could foster the use of stablecoins for strategic and military purposes. In particular, we focus on how such payment instruments, together with other alternative electronic payment systems, could be used as a means to circumvent economic sanctions and ultimately as a challenge to the hegemony of the US dollar in the international monetary system.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 0-0
Author(s):  
Zbigniew Klimiuk

The subject of the article is an analysis of the role of the US dollar in the development of international trade and the world economy during the period of the Bretton Woods monetary system (1944–1971). The international monetary system existing at that time was, in principle, a gold exchange standard based mainly on the national currency of the United States. However, a relatively small role was also played by other currencies including, in particular, the pound sterling. It should be noted that the Bretton Woods rules did not match the conditions in the world economy which emerged after World War II. The main areas of criticism concerned such assumptions as the maintenance of an official fixed price for gold, or a too narrowly interpreter postulate for the stability of the exchange rate. On the other hand, it should be noted that the introduction of the stability of exchange rates and the abolition of restrictions on payments were fundamentally sound decisions. They led in fact to the minimisation of a risk inherent in international trade and its rapid growth. One should also emphasise the fact that from the very beginning, in the international gold based monetary system there was an internal contradiction (paradox), which eventually led to its collapse. This was namely the fact that the growth in world trade created a growing demand for international liquidity. This was tantamount to a necessity to maintain a permanent balance of payments deficit in respect of the country whose currency was considered the key currency. At the same time, the growing volume of the US currency resulted in an increasing crisis of confidence in the dollar.


2015 ◽  
Vol 01 (03) ◽  
pp. 347-372
Author(s):  
Il Houng Lee

The dominance of the US Dollar (USD) as the main global reserve currency will continue for the foreseeable future. Yet various events, including the most recent financial crisis, have pointed to the need for an alternative system that will strengthen market discipline rather than a system relying excessively on policy coordination. The rise of Asian economies led by China provides a unique opportunity for a regionalization of selected Asian currencies, namely, the settling of current account transactions among Asian economies using selected local currencies. To do so, relevant governments should be more proactive in setting up a market framework by following similar steps taken by China for RMB internationalization. This will provide an opportunity for the market to determine how fast it wants to shape an alternative international monetary system. Most likely, a tri-polar and two-tier system will emerge. As the medium of exchange and unit of account, the first tier, the USD, the Euro, and the RMB will dominate, forming a tri-polar system along each of which various local currencies will be used specific to the locality. As the store of value, the second tier, the USD will retain its hegemony for a few more decades. Gradually, these two tiers will merge.


2008 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 116-136
Author(s):  
Zaklina Stepanovic-Petrac

The author explores the evolution, functioning, similarities and differences between the original Bretton Woods international monetary system that operated from 1945 to 1973 and the present modified institution, which is symbolically called Bretton Woods 2 System. The existing international financial architecture keeps on being based on the hegemony of the US dollar, as a dominant reserve currency. However, in spite of the fact that in most cases the present international monetary system implies the regime of flexible foreign exchanges rates, a characteristic of this system is that many countries in different degrees refuse to accept the appreciation of their national currencies to the US dollar. At the same time, the domination of the USA, the most indebted country in the world, is becoming a very serious threat to its sustainability. However, as the author concludes, the creators of the international monetary system, being aware how serious could be the consequences of its cessation, endeavor to extend its operation accepting less expensive consequences of keeping it alive.


Equilibrium ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 9-19
Author(s):  
Agata Osińska ◽  
Grzegorz Tchorek

Having an international currency brings some benefits but also important obstacles. Undoubtedly it is positive to have international money but the process of achieving the status of global money may lead to some costs connected with appreciation of the euro. The main goal of this article is to show that one of the probable scenarios of the post –crisis adjustment in the international monetary system is the risk of the euro overvaluation. It can be a result of diminishing role of the U.S. economy and growing role of the euro as an international currency. Paradoxically, thanks to its success, the euro can be exposed to the overvaluation with important implication for the euro area countries as well as candidates countries.


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