scholarly journals The Impact of Permafrost Degradation on Lake Changes in the Endorheic Basin on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1287
Author(s):  
Wenhui Liu ◽  
Changwei Xie ◽  
Wu Wang ◽  
Guiqian Yang ◽  
Yuxin Zhang ◽  
...  

Lakes on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP) have experienced significant changes, especially the prevailing lake expansion since 2000 in the endorheic basin. The influence of permafrost thawing on lake expansion is significant but rarely considered in previous studies. In this study, based on Landsat images and permafrost field data, the spatial-temporal area changes of lakes of more than 5 km2 in the endorheic basin on the QTP during 2000–2017 is examined and the impact of permafrost degradation on lake expansion is discussed. The main results are that permafrost characteristics and its degradation trend have close relationships with lake changes. Lake expansion in the endorheic basin showed a southwest–northeast transition from shrinking to stable to rapidly expanding, which corresponded well with the permafrost distribution from island-discontinuous to seasonally frozen ground to continuous permafrost. A dramatic lake expansion in continuous permafrost showed significant spatial differences; lakes expanded significantly in northern and eastern continuous permafrost with a higher ground ice content but slightly in southern continuous permafrost with a lower ground ice content. This spatial pattern was mainly attributed to the melting of ground ice in shallow permafrost associated with accelerating permafrost degradation. Whereas, some lakes in the southern zones of island-discontinuous permafrost were shrinking, which was mainly because the extended taliks arising from the intensified permafrost degradation have facilitated surface water and suprapermafrost groundwater discharge to subpermafrost groundwater and thereby drained the lakes. Based on observation and simulated data, the melting of ground ice at shallow depths below the permafrost table accounted for 21.2% of the increase in lake volume from 2000 to 2016.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingxiao Wang ◽  
Lin Zhao ◽  
Huayun Zhou ◽  
Shibo Liu ◽  
Xiaodong Huang ◽  
...  

<p>Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has the largest high-altitude permafrost zone in the middle and low latitudes. Substantial hydrologic changes have been observed in the Yangtze River source region and adjacent areas in the early 21st century. Permafrost on the QTP has undergone degradation under global warming. The ground leveling observation site near Tangula (33°04′N, 91°56′E) located in the degraded alpine meadow indicates that the ground has subsided 50mm since 2011. The contribution of permafrost degradation and loss of ground ice to the hydrologic changes is however still lacking. This study monitors the permafrost changes by applying the Small BAseline Subset InSAR (SBAS-InSAR) technique using C-band Sentinel-1 datasets during 2014-2019. The ground deformation over permafrost terrain is derived in spatial and temporal scale, which reflects the seasonal freeze-thaw cycle in the active layer and long-term thawing of ground ice beneath the active layer. Results show the seasonal thaw displacement exhibits a strong correlation with surficial geology contacts. The ground leveling data is used to validate the ground deformation monitoring results. Then, the ground deformation characteristics are analyzed against the landscape units. Last, the long-term inter-annual displacement value is used to estimate the water equivalent of ground ice melting.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamara Mathys ◽  
Christin Hilbich ◽  
Cassandra E.M. Koenig ◽  
Lukas Arenson ◽  
Christian Hauck

<p>With climate change and the associated continuing recession of glaciers, water security, especially in regions depending on the water supply from glaciers, is threatened. In this context, the understanding of permafrost distribution and its degradation is of increasing importance as it is currently debated whether ground ice can be considered as a significant water reservoir and as an alternative resource of fresh water that could potentially moderate water scarcity during dry seasons in the future. Thus, there is a pressing need to better understand how much water is stored as ground ice in areas with extensive permafrost occurrence and how meltwater from permafrost degradation may contribute to the hydrological cycle in the region.</p><p>Although permafrost and permafrost landforms in the Central Andes are considered to be abundant and well developed, the data is scarce and understanding of the Andean cryosphere lacking, especially in areas devoid of glaciers and rock glaciers.</p><p>In the absence of boreholes and test pits, geophysical investigations are a feasible and cost-effective technique to detect ground ice occurrences within a variety of landforms and substrates. In addition to the geophysical surveys themselves, upscaling techniques are needed to estimate ground ice content, and thereby future water resources, on larger spatial scales. To contribute to reducing the data scarcity regarding ground ice content in the Central Andes, this study focuses on the permafrost distribution and the ground ice content (and its water equivalent) of two catchments in the semi-arid Andes of Chile and Argentina. Geophysical methods (Electrical Resistivity Tomography, ERT and Refraction Seismic Tomography, RST) were used to detect and quantify ground ice in the study regions in the framework of environmental impact assessments in mining areas. Where available, ERT and RST measurements were quantitatively combined to estimate the volumetric ground ice content using the Four Phase Model (Hauck et al., 2011). Furthermore, we developed one of the first methodologies for the upscaling of these geophysical-based ground ice quantifications to an entire catchment in order to estimate the total ground ice volume in the study areas.</p><p>In this contribution we will present the geophysical data, the upscaling methodology used to estimate total ground ice content (and water equivalent) of permafrost areas, and some first estimates of total ground ice content in rock glacier and rock glacier free areas and compare them to conventional estimates using remotely sensed data.</p><p> </p><p>Hauck, C., Böttcher, M., and Maurer, H. (2011). A new model for estimating subsurface ice content based on combined electrical and seismic datasets, The Cryosphere, 5: 453-468.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 2475-2491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lihui Luo ◽  
Zhongqiong Zhang ◽  
Wei Ma ◽  
Shuhua Yi ◽  
Yanli Zhuang

Abstract. An R package was developed for computing permafrost indices (PIC v1.3) that integrates meteorological observations, gridded meteorological datasets, soil databases, and field measurements to compute the factors or indices of permafrost and seasonal frozen soil. At present, 16 temperature- and depth-related indices are integrated into the PIC v1.3 R package to estimate the possible trends of frozen soil in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). These indices include the mean annual air temperature (MAAT), mean annual ground surface temperature (MAGST), mean annual ground temperature (MAGT), seasonal thawing–freezing n factor (nt∕nf), thawing–freezing degree-days for air and the ground surface (DDTa∕DDTs∕DDFa∕DDFs), temperature at the top of the permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freeze depth. PIC v1.3 supports two computational modes, namely the stations and regional calculations that enable statistical analysis and intuitive visualization of the time series and spatial simulations. Datasets of 52 weather stations and a central region of the QTP were prepared and simulated to evaluate the temporal–spatial trends of permafrost with the climate. More than 10 statistical methods and a sequential Mann–Kendall trend test were adopted to evaluate these indices in stations, and spatial methods were adopted to assess the spatial trends. Multiple visual methods were used to display the temporal and spatial variability of the stations and region. Simulation results show extensive permafrost degradation in the QTP, and the temporal–spatial trends of the permafrost conditions in the QTP are close to those of previous studies. The transparency and repeatability of the PIC v1.3 package and its data can be used and extended to assess the impact of climate change on permafrost.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamara Mathys ◽  
Christin Hilbich ◽  
Lukas U. Arenson ◽  
Pablo A. Wainstein ◽  
Christian Hauck

Abstract. With ongoing climate change, there is a pressing need to better understand how much water is stored as ground ice in areas with extensive permafrost occurrence and how the regional water balance may alter in response to the potential generation of melt water from permafrost degradation. However, field-based data on permafrost in remote and mountainous areas such as the South-American Andes is scarce and most current ground ice estimates are based on broadly generalised assumptions such as volume-area scaling and mean ground ice content estimates of rock glaciers. In addition, ground ice contents in permafrost areas outside of rock glaciers are usually not considered, resulting in a significant uncertainty regarding the volume of ground ice in the Andes, and its hydrological role. In part I of this contribution, Hilbich et al. (submitted) present an extensive geophysical data set based on Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) and Refraction Seismic Tomography (RST) surveys to detect and quantify ground ice of different landforms and surface types in several study regions in the semi-arid Andes of Chile and Argentina with the aim to contribute to the reduction of this data scarcity. In part II we focus on the development of a methodology for the upscaling of geophysical-based ground ice quantification to an entire catchment to estimate the total ground ice volume (and its estimated water equivalent) in the study areas. In addition to the geophysical data, the upscaling approach is based on a permafrost distribution model and classifications of surface and landform types. Where available, ERT and RST measurements were quantitatively combined to estimate the volumetric ground ice content using petrophysical relationships within the Four Phase Model (Hauck et al., 2011). In addition to introducing our upscaling methodology, we demonstrate that the estimation of large-scale ground ice volumes can be improved by including (i) non-rock glacier permafrost occurrences, and (ii) field evidence through a large number of geophysical surveys and ground truthing information. The results of our study indicate, that (i) conventional ground ice estimates for rock-glacier dominated catchments without in-situ data may significantly overestimate ground ice contents, and (ii) substantial volumes of ground ice may also be present in catchments where rock glaciers are lacking.


1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 345 ◽  
Author(s):  
B.I. Vtyurin

Criteria for the determination of geocryological zones are: (1) distribution of permafrost, (2) the mean annual temperature of permafrost, (3) thickness of the active layer, (4) types of ground ice and ice content of permafrost, (5) regularities of cryogenic structure, (6) cryogenic phenomena, and (7) types of cryogenic relief. Interpretation of the available data allows us to delineate the following geocryological zones in the Antarctic: (1) sub-Antarctic islands, (2) coastalcontinental, and (3) intercontinental. The brief general geocryological characteristic of these zones is given in the paper. The sub-Antarctic island zone features discontinuous and continuous permafrost. The mean annual temperature of the permafrost is near 0°C and the maximum thickness is several tens of metres. The seasonal thawed zone has a thickness of 0.4 to 1.2 m. There are visible ice inclusions and very small ice forms in the permafrost and seasonal frost. Frost action causes frost sorting, hill - slope forms, and thermokarst. Ice-wedges are not found in the sub-Antarctic zone. The coastal-continental zone has continuous permafrost. The mean annual temperature of the permafrost therejs -1°C in the Antarctic Peninsula and up to -5 to -7°C in East Antarctica. Maximum thickness of the permafrost is over 100 m and the active layer is 0.3 to 1 m. The ground ice is mainly pore ice but in some places there is buried glacier ice in moraine. Frost action, frost sorting, creep, nivation, and pre-glacial slope forms are developed in the coastalcontinental zone. The intercontinental zone consists of continuous permafrost only. The mean annual temperature of the permafrost there is -10°C or lower. Thickness of this permafrost is several hundreds of metres and of the active layer is 0.1 to 0.5 m. The ice content is low with only small ice forms. The cryogenic structure of the permafrost is the same as the coastal-continental zone. Because alternate freezing and thawing is infrequent in the intercontinental zone all cryogenic processes are less rapid than in the other zones. Thermokarst is not found there and 1n general the intercontinental zone is not as well studied as the two other zones.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 1974
Author(s):  
Guoan Yin ◽  
Jing Luo ◽  
Fujun Niu ◽  
Fujun Zhou ◽  
Xianglian Meng ◽  
...  

Thermokarst lakes (TLs) caused by the thaw of massive ground ice in ice-rich permafrost landscapes are increasing and have strong impacts on the hydro–ecological environment and human infrastructure on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), however, its spatial distribution characteristics and environmental controls have not been underrepresented at the local scale. Here, we analyzed the spatial distribution of small TLs along the Qinghai–Tibet Engineering Corridor (QTEC) based on high-resolution (up to 2.0 m) satellite images. The TLs gathered in the plains and upland plateau and covered 8.3% of the QTEC land. We deployed a random-frost method to investigate the suitable environmental conditions for TLs. Climate including summer rainfall and the air temperature was the most important factor controlling the TL distribution, followed by topography and soil characteristics that affected the ground ice content. TL susceptibility was mapped based on the combinations of climate, soil, and topography grid data. On average, around 20% of the QTEC area was in a high to very-high-susceptibility zone that is likely to develop TLs in response to climate change. This study improved the understanding of controlling factors for TL development but also provided insights into the conditions of massive ground ice and was helpful to assess the impacts of climate change on ecosystem processes and engineering design.


2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Hilbich

Abstract. The ice content of the subsurface is a major factor controlling the natural hazard potential of permafrost degradation in alpine terrain. Monitoring of changes in ground ice content is therefore similarly important as temperature monitoring in mountain permafrost. Although electrical resistivity tomography monitoring (ERTM) has proved to be a valuable tool for the observation of ground ice degradation, results are often ambiguous or contaminated by inversion artefacts. In theory, the P-wave velocity of seismic waves is similarly sensitive to phase changes between unfrozen water and ice. Provided that the general conditions (lithology, stratigraphy, state of weathering, pore space) remain unchanged over the observation period, temporal changes in the observed travel times of repeated seismic measurements should indicate changes in the ice and water content within the pores and fractures of the subsurface material. In this paper, the applicability of refraction seismic tomography monitoring (RSTM) as an independent and complementary method to ERTM is analysed for two test sites in the Swiss Alps. The development and validation of an appropriate RSTM approach involves a) the comparison of time-lapse seismograms and analysis of reproducibility of the seismic signal, b) the analysis of time-lapse travel time curves with respect to shifts in travel times and changes in P-wave velocities, and c) the comparison of inverted tomograms including the quantification of velocity changes. Results show a high potential of the RSTM approach concerning the detection of altered subsurface conditions caused by freezing and thawing processes. For velocity changes on the order of 3000 m/s even an unambiguous identification of significant ground ice loss is possible.


Landslides ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Costanza Morino ◽  
Susan J. Conway ◽  
Matthew R. Balme ◽  
Jón Kristinn Helgason ◽  
Þorsteinn Sæmundsson ◽  
...  

AbstractAs consequence of ongoing climate change, permafrost degradation is thought to be increasingly affecting slope stability in periglacial environments. This is of growing concern in Iceland, where in the last decade, permafrost degradation has been identified among the triggering factors of landslides. The role of ground ice in conditioning the morphology and dynamics of landslides involving loose deposits is poorly understood. We show the geomorphological impact of the Móafellshyrna and Árnesfjall landslides that recently occurred in ice-cemented talus deposits in northern Iceland. Using field and aerial remote-sensing measurements of the morphological and morphometric characteristics of the landslides, we assess the influence of thawing ground ice on their propagation style and dynamics. The two mass movements are complex and are similar to rock- and debris-ice avalanches, changing trajectory and exhibiting evidence of transitioning their style of motion from a dry granular mass to a debris flow-like movement via multiple pulses. We infer that the thawing of ground ice together with the entrainment of saturated material provided the extra fluid causing this change in dynamics. The hazardous consequences of permafrost degradation will increasingly affect mountain regions in the future, and ground-ice thaw in steep terrain is a particularly hazardous phenomenon, as it may induce unexpected long-runout failures and can cause slope instability to continue even after the landslide event. Our study expands our knowledge of how landslides develop in unstable ice-cemented deposits and will aid assessment and mitigation of the hazard that they pose in Iceland and other mountainous periglacial areas.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Luo ◽  
Guoan Yin ◽  
Fujun Niu ◽  
Zhanju Lin ◽  
Minghao Liu

Permafrost is degrading on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) due to climate change. Permafrost degradation can result in ecosystem changes and damage to infrastructure. However, we lack baseline data related to permafrost thermal dynamics at a local scale. Here, we model climate change impacts on permafrost from 1986 to 2075 at a high resolution using a numerical model for the Beiluhe basin, which includes representative permafrost environments of the QTP. Ground surface temperatures are derived from air temperature using an n-factor vs Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) relationship. Soil properties are defined by field measurements and ecosystem types. The climate projections are based on long-term observations. The modelled ground temperature (MAGT) and active-layer thickness (ALT) are close to in situ observations. The results show a discontinuous permafrost distribution (61.4%) in the Beiluhe basin at present. For the past 30 years, the permafrost area has decreased rapidly, by a total of 26%. The mean ALT has increased by 0.46 m. For the next 60 years, 8.5–35% of the permafrost area is likely to degrade under different trends of climate warming. The ALT will probably increase by 0.38–0.86 m. The results of this study are useful for developing a deeper understanding of ecosystem change, permafrost development, and infrastructure development on the QTP.


2003 ◽  
Vol 40 (10) ◽  
pp. 1393-1404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nancy Beaulieu ◽  
Michel Allard

A comparative analysis of air photos and a field survey show that permafrost-affected sectors of the coastline along Manitounuk Strait receded at an increasing rate between 1950 and 1995. These sectors are in bays where post-glacial Tyrrell Sea clays outcrop. During the same period, sand beaches at the mouths of streams and rock and till shorelines on headlands prograded at the pace of isostatic uplift. Permafrost that had aggraded and formed lithalsas and plateaus during the 19th century (i.e., during the Little Ice Age) had expanded over the tidal marsh and had locally provoked accelerated coastal emergence as frost heaving added to post-glacial isostatic uplift. Climate warming during the 20th century, particularly during the summer months, generated a chain of impacts involving forest growth, snow cover, ground warming, and permafrost degradation. Waves and tidal currents are mainly responsible for the evacuation and transport of thermokarst-produced silts and clays from the shore into the marine basin.


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