scholarly journals The GEOframe-NewAge Modelling System Applied in a Data Scarce Environment

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Marialaura Bancheri ◽  
Riccardo Rigon ◽  
Salvatore Manfreda
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Control Points ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Entire Region ◽  
Web Based ◽  
Basilicata Region ◽  
Distributed Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Reliable Parameter ◽  
Good Agreement

In this work, the semi-distributed hydrological modeling system GEOframe-NewAge was integrated with a web-based decision support system implemented for the Civil Protection Agency of the Basilicata region, Italy. The aim of this research was to forecast in near real-time the most important hydrological variables at 160 control points distributed over the entire region. The major challenge was to make the system operational in a data-scarce region characterized by a high hydraulic complexity, with several dams and infrastructures. In fact, only six streamflow gauges were available for the calibration of the model parameters. Reliable parameter sets were obtained by simulating the hydrological budget and then calibrating the rainfall-runoff parameters. After the extraction of the flow-rating curves, six sets of parameters were obtained considering the different streamflow components (i.e., the baseflow and surface runoff) and using a multi-site calibration approach. The results show a good agreement between the measured and modeled discharges, with a better agreement in the sections located upstream of the dams. Moreover, the results were validated using the inflows measured at the most important dams (Pertusillo, San Giuliano and Monte Cotugno). For rivers without monitoring points, parameters were assigned using a principle of hydrological similarity in terms of their geology, lithology, and climate.

Hydrological modeling in alpine catchments: sensing the critical parameters towards an efficient model calibration

2009 ◽  
Vol 60 (6) ◽  
pp. 1507-1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Achleitner ◽  
M. Rinderer ◽  
R. Kirnbauer
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Calibration Procedure ◽  
Critical Parameters ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Ice Melt ◽  
Alpine Catchments ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Two Parameters

For the Tyrolean part of the river Inn, a hybrid model for flood forecast has been set up and is currently in its test phase. The system is a hybrid system which comprises of a hydraulic 1D model for the river Inn, and the hydrological models HQsim (Rainfall-runoff-discharge model) and the snow and ice melt model SES for modeling the rainfall runoff form non-glaciated and glaciated tributary catchment respectively. Within this paper the focus is put on the hydrological modeling of the totally 49 connected non-glaciated catchments realized with the software HQsim. In the course of model calibration, the identification of the most sensitive parameters is important aiming at an efficient calibration procedure. The indicators used for explaining the parameter sensitivities were chosen specifically for the purpose of flood forecasting. Finally five model parameters could be identified as being sensitive for model calibration when aiming for a well calibrated model for flood conditions. In addition two parameters were identified which are sensitive in situations where the snow line plays an important role.

Investigating the vibrational behaviour of a rotating two-blade propeller by using a self-tracking method

2018 ◽  
Vol 233 (3) ◽  
pp. 835-847 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad-Reza Ashory ◽  
Farhad Talebi ◽  
Heydar R Ghadikolaei ◽  
Morad Karimpour
Keyword(s):  
Natural Frequency ◽  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Mode Shapes ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Modal Assurance Criterion ◽  
Tracking Method ◽  
Strong Resemblance ◽  
Test Scenarios ◽  
Good Agreement

This study investigated the vibrational behaviour of a rotating two-blade propeller at different rotational speeds by using self-tracking laser Doppler vibrometry. Given that a self-tracking method necessitates the accurate adjustment of test setups to reduce measurement errors, a test table with sufficient rigidity was designed and built to enable the adjustment and repair of test components. The results of the self-tracking test on the rotating propeller indicated an increase in natural frequency and a decrease in the amplitude of normalized mode shapes as rotational speed increases. To assess the test results, a numerical model created in ABAQUS was used. The model parameters were tuned in such a way that the natural frequency and associated mode shapes were in good agreement with those derived using a hammer test on a stationary propeller. The mode shapes obtained from the hammer test and the numerical (ABAQUS) modelling were compared using the modal assurance criterion. The examination indicated a strong resemblance between the hammer test results and the numerical findings. Hence, the model can be employed to determine the other mechanical properties of two-blade propellers in test scenarios.

scholarly journals Inflationary cosmology in unimodular F(T) gravity

2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
pp. 1750114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuharu Bamba ◽  
Sergei D. Odintsov ◽  
Emmanuel N. Saridakis
Keyword(s):  
Spectral Index ◽  
Teleparallel Gravity ◽  
Specific Model ◽  
Inflationary Cosmology ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
De Sitter ◽  
Reconstruction Procedure ◽  
Additional Advantage ◽  
Slow Roll ◽  
Good Agreement

We investigate the inflationary realization in the context of unimodular F(T) gravity, which is based on the F(T) modification of teleparallel gravity, in which one imposes the unimodular condition through the use of Lagrange multipliers. We develop the general reconstruction procedure of the F(T) form that can give rise to a given scale-factor evolution, and then we apply it in the inflationary regime. We extract the Hubble slow-roll parameters that allow us to calculate various inflation-related observables, such as the scalar spectral index and its running, the tensor-to-scalar ratio, and the tensor spectral index. Then, we examine the particular cases of de Sitter and power-law inflation, of Starobinsky inflation, as well as inflation in a specific model of unimodular F(T) gravity. As we show, in all cases the predictions of our scenarios are in a very good agreement with Planck observational data. Finally, inflation in unimodular F(T) gravity has the additional advantage that it always allows for a graceful exit for specific regions of the model parameters.

scholarly journals Incremental model breakdown to assess the multi-hypotheses problem

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 4565-4581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian U. Jehn ◽  
Lutz Breuer ◽  
Tobias Houska ◽  
Konrad Bestian ◽  
Philipp Kraft
Keyword(s):  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Complex Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Objective Functions ◽  
Final Model ◽  
Incremental Model ◽  
Model Efficiency ◽  
Improved Model ◽  
Model Structures

Abstract. The ambiguous representation of hydrological processes has led to the formulation of the multiple hypotheses approach in hydrological modeling, which requires new ways of model construction. However, most recent studies focus only on the comparison of predefined model structures or building a model step by step. This study tackles the problem the other way around: we start with one complex model structure, which includes all processes deemed to be important for the catchment. Next, we create 13 additional simplified models, where some of the processes from the starting structure are disabled. The performance of those models is evaluated using three objective functions (logarithmic Nash–Sutcliffe; percentage bias, PBIAS; and the ratio between the root mean square error and the standard deviation of the measured data). Through this incremental breakdown, we identify the most important processes and detect the restraining ones. This procedure allows constructing a more streamlined, subsequent 15th model with improved model performance, less uncertainty and higher model efficiency. We benchmark the original Model 1 and the final Model 15 with HBV Light. The final model is not able to outperform HBV Light, but we find that the incremental model breakdown leads to a structure with good model performance, fewer but more relevant processes and fewer model parameters.

scholarly journals Thermal conductivity of unsaturated clay-rocks

2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Jougnot ◽  
A. Revil
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Conductivity ◽  
Porous Material ◽  
Solid Phase ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Electrical Parameters ◽  
New Model ◽  
Unsaturated Clay ◽  
Unsaturated Porous Material ◽  
Clay Rocks ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract. The parameters used to describe the electrical conductivity of a porous material can be used to describe also its thermal conductivity. A new relationship is developed to connect the thermal conductivity of an unsaturated porous material to the thermal conductivity of the different phases of the composite, and two electrical parameters called the first and second Archie's exponents. A good agreement is obtained between the new model and thermal conductivity measurements performed using packs of glass beads and core samples of the Callovo-Oxfordian clay-rocks at different saturations of the water phase. We showed that the three model parameters optimised to fit the new model against experimental data (namely the thermal conductivity of the solid phase and the two Archie's exponents) are consistent with independent estimates. We also observed that the anisotropy of the effective thermal conductivity of the Callovo-Oxfordian clay-rock was mainly due to the anisotropy of the thermal conductivity of the solid phase.

scholarly journals The Impact of Error Accounting in a Bayesian Approach to Calibrating Modeled Turbulent Fluxes in an Open-Canopy Forest

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 2029-2042
Author(s):  
Tony E. Wong ◽  
William Kleiber ◽  
David C. Noone
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Soil Layer ◽  
Turbulent Fluxes ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Top Soil ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Calibration Approach

Abstract Land surface models are notorious for containing many parameters that control the exchange of heat and moisture between land and atmosphere. Properly modeling the partitioning of total evapotranspiration (ET) between transpiration and evaporation is critical for accurate hydrological modeling, but depends heavily on the treatment of turbulence within and above canopies. Previous work has constrained estimates of evapotranspiration and its partitioning using statistical approaches that calibrate land surface model parameters by assimilating in situ measurements. These studies, however, are silent on the impacts of the accounting of uncertainty within the statistical calibration framework. The present study calibrates the aerodynamic, leaf boundary layer, and stomatal resistance parameters, which partially control canopy turbulent exchange and thus the evapotranspiration flux partitioning. Using an adaptive Metropolis–Hastings algorithm to construct a Markov chain of draws from the joint posterior distribution of these resistance parameters, an ensemble of model realizations is generated, in which latent and sensible heat fluxes and top soil layer temperature are optimized. A set of five calibration experiments demonstrate that model performance is sensitive to the accounting of various sources of uncertainty in the field observations and model output and that it is critical to account for model structural uncertainty. After calibration, the modeled fluxes and top soil layer temperature are largely free from bias, and this calibration approach successfully informs and characterizes uncertainty in these parameters, which is essential for model improvement and development. The key points of this paper are 1) a Markov chain Monte Carlo calibration approach successfully improves modeled turbulent fluxes; 2) ET partitioning estimates hinge on the representation of uncertainties in the model and data; and 3) despite these inherent uncertainties, constrained posterior estimates of ET partitioning emerge.

scholarly journals Regionalizing rainfall–runoff model parameters to predict the daily streamflow of ungauged catchments in the dry tropics

2009 ◽  
Vol 40 (5) ◽  
pp. 433-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Post
Keyword(s):  
Input Data ◽  
Water Yield ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Total Length ◽  
Dry Tropics ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

A methodology has been derived which allows an estimate to be made of the daily streamflow at any point within the Burdekin catchment in the dry tropics of Australia. The input data requirements are daily rainfall (to drive the rainfall–runoff model) and mean average wet season rainfall, total length of streams, percent cropping and percent forest in the catchment (to regionalize the parameters of the rainfall–runoff model). The method is based on the use of a simple, lumped parameter rainfall–runoff model, IHACRES (Identification of unit Hydrographs And Component flows from Rainfall, Evaporation and Streamflow data). Of the five parameters in the model, three have been set to constants to reflect regional conditions while the other two have been related to physio-climatic attributes of the catchment under consideration. The parameter defining total catchment water yield (c) has been estimated based on the mean average wet season rainfall, while the streamflow recession time constant (τ) has been estimated based on the total length of streams, percent cropping and percent forest in the catchment. These relationships have been shown to be applicable over a range of scales from 68–130,146 km2. However, three separate relationships were required to define c in the three major physiographic regions of the Burdekin: the upper Burdekin, Bowen and Suttor/lower Burdekin. The invariance of the relationships with scale indicates that the dominant processes may be similar across a range of scales. The fact that different relationships were required for each of the three major regions indicates the geographic limitations of this regionalization approach. For most of the 24 gauged catchments within the Burdekin the regionalized rainfall–runoff models were nearly as good as or better than the rainfall–runoff models calibrated to the observed streamflow. In addition, models often performed better over the simulation period than the calibration period. This indicates that future improvements in regionalization should focus on improving the quality of input data and rainfall–runoff model conceptualization rather than on the regionalization procedure per se.

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