scholarly journals Estimation and Prediction for Nadarajah-Haghighi Distribution under Progressive Type-II Censoring

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 999
Author(s):  
Mingjie Wu ◽  
Wenhao Gui

The paper discusses the estimation and prediction problems for the Nadarajah-Haghighi distribution using progressive type-II censored samples. For the unknown parameters, we first calculate the maximum likelihood estimates through the Expectation–Maximization algorithm. In order to choose the best Bayesian estimator, a loss function must be specified. When the loss is essentially symmetric, it is reasonable to use the square error loss function. However, for some estimation problems, the actual loss is often asymmetric. Therefore, we also need to choose an asymmetric loss function. Under the balanced squared error and symmetric squared error loss functions, the Tierney and Kadane method is used for calculating different kinds of approximate Bayesian estimates. The Metropolis-Hasting algorithm is also provided here. In addition, we construct a variety of interval estimations of the unknown parameters including asymptotic intervals, bootstrap intervals, and highest posterior density intervals using the sample derived from the Metropolis-Hasting algorithm. Furthermore, we compute the point predictions and predictive intervals for a future sample when facing the one-sample and two-sample situations. At last, we compare and appraise the performance of the provided techniques by carrying out a simulation study and analyzing a real rainfall data set.

Author(s):  
M. A. Hegazy ◽  
R. E. Abd El-Kader ◽  
A. A. El-Helbawy ◽  
G. R. Al-Dayian

In this paper, Bayesian inference is used to estimate the parameters, survival, hazard and alternative hazard rate functions of discrete Gompertz distribution. The Bayes estimators are derived under squared error loss function as a symmetric loss function and linear exponential loss function as an asymmetric loss function. Credible intervals for the parameters, survival, hazard and alternative hazard rate functions are obtained. Bayesian prediction (point and interval) for future observations of discrete Gompertz distribution based on two-sample prediction are investigated. A numerical illustration is carried out to investigate the precision of the theoretical results of the Bayesian estimation and prediction on the basis of simulated and real data. Regarding the results of simulation seems to perform better when the sample size increases and the level of censoring decreases. Also, in most cases the results under the linear exponential loss function is better than the corresponding results under squared error loss function. Two real lifetime data sets are used to insure the simulated results.


Author(s):  
Rui Hua ◽  
Wenhao Gui

In survival analysis, more than one factor typically contributes to individual failure. In addition, censoring is inevitable in lifespan tests or reliability studies due to external causes or experimental purposes. In this article, the competing risks model is considered and investigated under progressively Type-II censoring where data is from Lomax distributions. Assumptions are further made that these competitive factors are independently distributed, and the latent lifetimes of these factors follow Lomax distributions where both scale parameters and shape parameters are different. For all unknown parameters, maximum likelihood estimates have been attained by Newton-Raphson (NR) method as well as expectation maximization (EM) method, and then the approximate confidence intervals are acquired, in addition to bootstrap confidence intervals. Furthermore, under square error and LINEX loss functions, Bayes estimates and corresponding highest posterior density credible intervals are successively constructed. Finally, simulation experiments are implemented to access performance of several proposed methods in this article, and laboratory dataset is presented and analyzed for illustrative purposes.


Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Siqi Chen ◽  
Wenhao Gui

In reality, estimations for the unknown parameters of truncated distribution with censored data have wide utilization. Truncated normal distribution is more suitable to fit lifetime data compared with normal distribution. This article makes statistical inferences on estimating parameters under truncated normal distribution using adaptive progressive type II censored data. First, the estimates are calculated through exploiting maximum likelihood method. The observed and expected Fisher information matrices are derived to establish the asymptotic confidence intervals. Second, Bayesian estimations under three loss functions are also studied. The point estimates are calculated by Lindley approximation. Importance sampling technique is applied to discuss the Bayes estimates and build the associated highest posterior density credible intervals. Bootstrap confidence intervals are constructed for the purpose of comparison. Monte Carlo simulations and data analysis are employed to present the performances of various methods. Finally, we obtain optimal censoring schemes under different criteria.


2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-163
Author(s):  
RAKHI MOHAN ◽  
MANOJ CHACKO

In this paper, estimation of parameters of Kumaraswamy-exponential distribution with shape parameters α and β is considered based on a progressively type-II censored sample with binomial removals. Together with the unknown parameters, the removal probability p is also estimated. Bayes estimators are obtained using different loss functions such as squared error, LINEX loss function and entropy loss function. All Bayesian estimates are compared with the corresponding maximum likelihood estimates numerically in terms of their bias and mean square error values and found that Bayes estimators perform better than MLE’s for β and p and MLEs perform better than Bayes estimators for α. A real data set is also used for illustration.


Author(s):  
Hiba Zeyada Muhammed ◽  
Essam Abd Elsalam Muhammed

In this paper, Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of the inverted Topp-Leone distribution shape parameter are studied when the sample is complete and random censored. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator of the unknown parameter are proposed. The Bayes estimates (BEs) have been computed based on the squared error loss (SEL) function and using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. The asymptotic, bootstrap (p,t), and highest posterior density intervals are computed. The Metropolis Hasting algorithm is proposed for Bayes estimates. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods and one real data set has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 38-51
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kazemi ◽  
Mina Azizpoor

The hybrid censoring is a mixture of type-I and type-II censoring schemes. This paper presents the statistical inferences of the inverse Weibull distribution parameters when the data are type-I hybrid censored. First, we consider the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters. It is observed that the maximum likelihood estimates can not be obtained in closed form. We further obtain the Bayes estimates and the corresponding highest posterior density credible intervals of the unknown parameters under the assumption of independent gamma priors using the importance sampling procedure. We also compute the approximate Bayes estimates using Lindley's approximation technique. The performance of the Bayes estimates have been compared with maximum likelihood estimates through the Monte Carlo Markov chain techniques. Finally, a real data set have been analysed for illustration purpose.


2016 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Umesh Singh ◽  
Anil Kumar

This paper provides the estimation of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution under multiply type-II censoring. Using generalized non-informative prior and natural conjugate prior, Bayes estimator and approximate Bayes estimators of the scale parameter have been obtained under square error loss function. The proposed Bayes estimators and approximate Bayes estimators are compared with the estimators proposed by Singh et al. (2005) and Balasubramanian and Balakrishnan (1992) on the basis of theirsimulated risks under square error loss function of 1000 randomly generated Monte Carlo samples.


2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-94
Author(s):  
Pradeep Kumar Vishwakarma ◽  
Arun Kaushik ◽  
Aakriti Pandey ◽  
Umesh Singh ◽  
Sanjay Kumar Singh

This paper deals with the estimation procedure for inverse Weibull distribution under progressive type-II censored samples when removals follow Beta-binomial probability law. To estimate the unknown parameters, the maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators are obtained under progressive censoring scheme mentioned above. Bayes estimates are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique considering square error loss function and compared with the corresponding MLE's. Further, the expected total time on test is obtained under considered censoring scheme.  Finally, a real data set has been analysed to check the validity of the study.


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