scholarly journals New Computational Artificial Intelligence Models for Generating Synthetic Formation Bulk Density Logs While Drilling

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Gowida ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Saad Al-Afnan ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Bulk Density ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Drilling Process ◽  
Predictive Tool ◽  
Robust Solution ◽  
Drilling Parameters ◽  
Unseen Data ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models

Synthetic well log generation using artificial intelligence tools is a robust solution for situations in which logging data are not available or are partially lost. Formation bulk density (RHOB) logging data greatly assist in identifying downhole formations. These data are measured in the field while drilling by using a density log tool in the form of either a logging while drilling (LWD) technique or (more often) by wireline logging after the formations are drilled. This is due to operational limitations during the drilling process. Therefore, the objective of this study was to develop a predictive tool for estimating RHOB while drilling using an adaptive network-based fuzzy interference system (ANFIS), functional network (FN), and support vector machine (SVM). The proposed model uses the mechanical drilling constraints as feeding input parameters, and the conventional RHOB log data as an output parameter. These mechanical drilling parameters are usually measured while drilling, and their responses vary with different formations. A dataset of 2400 actual datapoints, obtained from a horizontal well in the Middle East, were used to build the proposed models. The obtained dataset was divided into a 70/30 ratio for model training and testing, respectively. The optimized ANFIS-based model outperformed the FN- and SVM-based models with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.93, and average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 0.81% between the predicted and measured RHOB values. These results demonstrate the reliability of the developed ANFIS model for predicting RHOB while drilling, based on the mechanical drilling parameters. Subsequently, the ANFIS-based model was validated using unseen data from another well within the same field. The validation process yielded an AAPE of 0.97% between the predicted and actual RHOB values, which confirmed the robustness of the developed model as an effective predictive tool for RHOB.

Fracture Pressure Prediction Using Surface Drilling Parameters by Artificial Intelligence Techniques

2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulmalek Ahmed ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Abdulwahab Ali
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Optimal Model ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Fracture Pressure ◽  
Drilling Parameters ◽  
Drilling Operations

Abstract Several correlations are available to determine the fracture pressure, a vital property of a well, which is essential in the design of the drilling operations and preventing problems. Some of these correlations are based on the rock and formation characteristics, and others are based on log data. In this study, five artificial intelligence (AI) techniques predicting fracture pressure were developed and compared with the existing empirical correlations to select the optimal model. Real-time data of surface drilling parameters from one well were obtained using real-time drilling sensors. The five employed methods of AI are functional networks (FN), artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), radial basis function (RBF), and fuzzy logic (FL). More than 3990 datasets were used to build the five AI models by dividing the data into training and testing sets. A comparison between the results of the five AI techniques and the empirical fracture correlations, such as the Eaton model, Matthews and Kelly model, and Pennebaker model, was also performed. The results reveal that AI techniques outperform the three fracture pressure correlations based on their high accuracy, represented by the low average absolute percentage error (AAPE) and a high coefficient of determination (R2). Compared with empirical models, the AI techniques have the advantage of requiring less data, only surface drilling parameters, which can be conveniently obtained from any well. Additionally, a new fracture pressure correlation was developed based on ANN, which predicts the fracture pressure with high precision (R2 = 0.99 and AAPE = 0.094%).

Generation of a Complete Profile for Porosity Log While Drilling Complex Lithology by Employing the Artificial Intelligence

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Al-Sabaa ◽  
Hany Gamal ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Storage Capacity ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Drilling Parameters ◽  
Unseen Data ◽  
Rock Porosity ◽  
Data Points ◽  
Logging Tool

Abstract The formation porosity of drilled rock is an important parameter that determines the formation storage capacity. The common industrial technique for rock porosity acquisition is through the downhole logging tool. Usually logging while drilling, or wireline porosity logging provides a complete porosity log for the section of interest, however, the operational constraints for the logging tool might preclude the logging job, in addition to the job cost. The objective of this study is to provide an intelligent prediction model to predict the porosity from the drilling parameters. Artificial neural network (ANN) is a tool of artificial intelligence (AI) and it was employed in this study to build the porosity prediction model based on the drilling parameters as the weight on bit (WOB), drill string rotating-speed (RS), drilling torque (T), stand-pipe pressure (SPP), mud pumping rate (Q). The novel contribution of this study is to provide a rock porosity model for complex lithology formations using drilling parameters in real-time. The model was built using 2,700 data points from well (A) with 74:26 training to testing ratio. Many sensitivity analyses were performed to optimize the ANN model. The model was validated using unseen data set (1,000 data points) of Well (B), which is located in the same field and drilled across the same complex lithology. The results showed the high performance for the model either for training and testing or validation processes. The overall accuracy for the model was determined in terms of correlation coefficient (R) and average absolute percentage error (AAPE). Overall, R was higher than 0.91 and AAPE was less than 6.1 % for the model building and validation. Predicting the rock porosity while drilling in real-time will save the logging cost, and besides, will provide a guide for the formation storage capacity and interpretation analysis.

scholarly journals Hybrid Harmony Search–Artificial Intelligence Models in Credit Scoring

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 989
Author(s):  
Rui Ying Goh ◽  
Lai Soon Lee ◽  
Hsin-Vonn Seow ◽  
Kathiresan Gopal
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Feature Selection ◽  
Credit Scoring ◽  
Harmony Search ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Hybrid Models ◽  
Performance Model ◽  
Computational Time ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models

Credit scoring is an important tool used by financial institutions to correctly identify defaulters and non-defaulters. Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Random Forest (RF) are the Artificial Intelligence techniques that have been attracting interest due to their flexibility to account for various data patterns. Both are black-box models which are sensitive to hyperparameter settings. Feature selection can be performed on SVM to enable explanation with the reduced features, whereas feature importance computed by RF can be used for model explanation. The benefits of accuracy and interpretation allow for significant improvement in the area of credit risk and credit scoring. This paper proposes the use of Harmony Search (HS), to form a hybrid HS-SVM to perform feature selection and hyperparameter tuning simultaneously, and a hybrid HS-RF to tune the hyperparameters. A Modified HS (MHS) is also proposed with the main objective to achieve comparable results as the standard HS with a shorter computational time. MHS consists of four main modifications in the standard HS: (i) Elitism selection during memory consideration instead of random selection, (ii) dynamic exploration and exploitation operators in place of the original static operators, (iii) a self-adjusted bandwidth operator, and (iv) inclusion of additional termination criteria to reach faster convergence. Along with parallel computing, MHS effectively reduces the computational time of the proposed hybrid models. The proposed hybrid models are compared with standard statistical models across three different datasets commonly used in credit scoring studies. The computational results show that MHS-RF is most robust in terms of model performance, model explainability and computational time.

scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence (AI) to the Rescue: Deploying Machine Learning to Bridge the Biorelevance Gap in Antioxidant Assays

2020 ◽  
pp. 247263032096271
Author(s):  
Sunday Olakunle Idowu ◽  
Amos Akintayo Fatokun
Keyword(s):  
Oxidative Stress ◽  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Antioxidant Capacity ◽  
Unmet Need ◽  
Hydrogen Atom Transfer ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Antioxidant Action ◽  
Predictive Tool

Oxidative stress induced by excessive levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS) underlies several diseases. Therapeutic strategies to combat oxidative damage are, therefore, a subject of intense scientific investigation to prevent and treat such diseases, with the use of phytochemical antioxidants, especially polyphenols, being a major part. Polyphenols, however, exhibit structural diversity that determines different mechanisms of antioxidant action, such as hydrogen atom transfer (HAT) and single-electron transfer (SET). They also suffer from inadequate in vivo bioavailability, with their antioxidant bioactivity governed by permeability, gut-wall and first-pass metabolism, and HAT-based ROS trapping. Unfortunately, no current antioxidant assay captures these multiple dimensions to be sufficiently “biorelevant,” because the assays tend to be unidimensional, whereas biorelevance requires integration of several inputs. Finding a method to reliably evaluate the antioxidant capacity of these phytochemicals, therefore, remains an unmet need. To address this deficiency, we propose using artificial intelligence (AI)-based machine learning (ML) to relate a polyphenol’s antioxidant action as the output variable to molecular descriptors (factors governing in vivo antioxidant activity) as input variables, in the context of a biomarker selectively produced by lipid peroxidation (a consequence of oxidative stress), for example F2-isoprostanes. Support vector machines, artificial neural networks, and Bayesian probabilistic learning are some key algorithms that could be deployed. Such a model will represent a robust predictive tool in assessing biorelevant antioxidant capacity of polyphenols, and thus facilitate the identification or design of antioxidant molecules. The approach will also help to fulfill the principles of the 3Rs (replacement, reduction, and refinement) in using animals in biomedical research.

Predict Geomechanical Parameters with Machine Learning Combining Drilling Data and Gamma Ray

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mattia Martinelli ◽  
Ivo Colombo ◽  
Eliana Rosa Russo
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Bulk Density ◽  
Young’S Modulus ◽  
Gamma Ray ◽  
Young's Modulus ◽  
Geomechanical Parameters ◽  
Drilling Parameters ◽  
Unseen Data ◽  
Drilling Data ◽  
Sonic Logs

Abstract The aim of this work is the development of a fast and reliable method for geomechanical parameters evaluation while drilling using surface logging data. Geomechanical parameters are usually evaluated from cores or sonic logs, which are typically expensive and sometimes difficult to obtain. A novel approach is here proposed, where machine learning algorithms are used to calculate the Young's Modulus from drilling parameters and the gamma ray log. The proposed method combines typical mud logging drilling data (ROP, RPM, Torque, Flow measurements, WOB and SPP), XRF data and well log data (Sonic logs, Bulk Density, Gamma Ray) with several machine learning techniques. The models were trained and tested on data coming from three wells drilled in the same basin in Kuwait, in the same geological units but in different reservoirs. Sonic logs and bulk density are used to evaluate the geomechanical parameters (e.g. Young's Modulus) and to train the model. The training phase and the hyperparameter tuning were performed using data coming from a single well. The model was then tested against previously unseen data coming from the other two wells. The trained model is able to predict the Young's modulus in the test wells with a root mean squared error around 12 GPa. The example here provided demonstrates that a model trained with drilling parameters and gamma ray coming from one well is able to predict the Young Modulus of different wells in the same basin. These outcomes highlight the potentiality of this procedure and point out several implications for the reservoir characterization. Indeed, once the model has been trained, it is possible to predict the Young's Modulus in different wells of the same basin using only surface logging data.

A Robust Rate of Penetration Model for Carbonate Formation

2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Al-AbdulJabbar ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Khaled Abdelgawad ◽  
Abdulaziz Al-Majed
Keyword(s):  
Compressive Strength ◽  
Drilling Fluid ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Drilling Process ◽  
Rate Of Penetration ◽  
New Model ◽  
Carbonate Formation ◽  
Drilling Parameters ◽  
Fluid Properties

During the drilling operations, optimizing the rate of penetration (ROP) is very crucial, because it can significantly reduce the overall cost of the drilling process. ROP is defined as the speed at which the drill bit breaks the rock to deepen the hole, and it is measured in units of feet per hour or meters per hour. ROP prediction is very challenging before drilling, because it depends on many parameters that should be optimized. Several models have been developed in the literature to predict ROP. Most of the developed models used drilling parameters such as weight on bit (WOB), pumping rate (Q), and string revolutions per minute (RPM). Few researchers considered the effect of mud properties on ROP by including a small number of actual field measurements. This paper introduces a new robust model to predict the ROP using both drilling parameters (WOB, Q, ROP, torque (T), standpipe pressure (SPP), uniaxial compressive strength (UCS), and mud properties (density and viscosity) using 7000 real-time data measurements. In addition, the relative importance of drilling fluid properties, rock strength, and drilling parameters to ROP is determined. The obtained results showed that the ROP is highly affected by WOB, RPM, T, and horsepower (HP), where the coefficient of determination (T2) was 0.71, 0.87, 0.70, and 0.92 for WOB, RPM, T, and HP, respectively. ROP also showed a strong function of mud fluid properties, where R2 was 0.70 and 0.70 for plastic viscosity (PV) and mud density, respectively. No clear relationship was observed between ROP and yield point (YP) for more than 500 field data points. The new model predicts the ROP with average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 5% and correlation coefficient (R) of 0.93. In addition, the new model outperformed three existing ROP models. The novelty in this paper is the application of the clustering technique in which the formations are clustered based on their compressive strength range to predict the ROP. Clustering yielded accurate ROP prediction compared to the field ROP.

7 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning as a Predictive Tool for Acute Kidney Injury in Trauma and Severely Burned Patients

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S7-S8
Author(s):  
Stephanie M Falwell ◽  
Nam K Tran ◽  
Soman Sen ◽  
Tina L Palmieri ◽  
David G Greenhalgh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Acute Kidney Injury ◽  
Kidney Injury ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Trauma Patients ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Predictive Tool ◽  
Adult Age ◽  
Generalization Accuracy

Abstract Introduction Kidney injury doubles burn mortality—thus, early prediction of acute kidney injury (AKI) in the burn population could benefit from artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). Our objective in this study was to build and assess the theoretical performances of such AI/ML algorithms and to develop generalizable models that could augment AKI recognition. Methods Two databases containing patients that received neutrophil gelatinase associated lipocalin (NGAL), creatinine, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and urine output (UOP) measurements at admission were used to train, test, and generalize the AI/ML models. Models were first optimized in Cohort A for predicting AKI in Cohort B. Cohort A (n = 50) was based on a retrospective dataset of adult (age³18 years) burn patients, while Cohort B (n = 51) consisted of prospectively enrolled adult burned or non-burned trauma patients at risk for AKI. We employed a grid search and cross validation approach in building 68,100 unique ML models from five distinct ML approaches: logistic regression (LR), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and deep neural networks (DNN) which enabled us to find the most accurate ML models. Results The best generalization accuracy (86%), sensitivity (91%), and specificity (85%) with NGAL alone was noted with LR, SVM and RF models. Generalizability prediction accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were respectively highest with the optimized DNN model (92%, 100%, and 90%) and the k-NN model (92%, 91%, and 93%) when tested with Cohort B using all four biomarkers. k-NN provided best generalization accuracy (84%) without NGAL using only NT-proBNP and creatinine, followed by DNN using creatinine only with an accuracy of 82%. AI/ML algorithms using results obtained at admission accelerated the average (SD) time to AKI prediction by 61.8 (32.5) hours. Conclusions NGAL is analytically superior to traditional AKI biomarkers such as creatinine and UOP. With machine learning, the AKI predictive capability of NGAL can be further enhanced and accelerated when combined with NT-proBNP, UOP, and creatinine. Applicability of Research to Practice Without NGAL, machine learning models continue to provide robust means in accelerating the prediction of AKI using both common and biomarkers of cardiorenal dysfunction.

scholarly journals Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM

Complexity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Peško ◽  
Vladimir Mučenski ◽  
Miloš Šešlija ◽  
Nebojša Radović ◽  
Aleksandra Vujkov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Support Vector Machines ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Building Process ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Specific Part

Offer preparation has always been a specific part of a building process which has significant impact on company business. Due to the fact that income greatly depends on offer’s precision and the balance between planned costs, both direct and overheads, and wished profit, it is necessary to prepare a precise offer within required time and available resources which are always insufficient. The paper presents a research of precision that can be achieved while using artificial intelligence for estimation of cost and duration in construction projects. Both artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVM) are analysed and compared. The best SVM has shown higher precision, when estimating costs, with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 7.06% compared to the most precise ANNs which has achieved precision of 25.38%. Estimation of works duration has proved to be more difficult. The best MAPEs were 22.77% and 26.26% for SVM and ANN, respectively.

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