scholarly journals A New Approach Using AHP to Generate Landslide Susceptibility Maps in the Chen-Yu-Lan Watershed, Taiwan

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thi Nguyen ◽  
Cheng-Chien Liu

This paper proposes a new approach of using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), in which the AHP was combined with bivariate analysis and correlation statistics to evaluate the importance of the pairwise comparison. Instead of summarizing expert experience statistics to establish a scale, we then analyze the correlation between the properties of the related factors with the actual landslide data in the study area. In addition, correlation and dependence statistics are also used to analyze correlation coefficients of preparatory factors. The product of this research is a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) generated by five factors (slope, aspect, drainage density, lithology, and land-use) and pre-event landslides (Typhoon Kalmaegi events), and then validated by post-event landslides and new landslides occurring in during the events (Typhoon Kalmaegi and Typhoon Morakot). Validating the results by the binary classification method showed that the model has reasonable accuracy, such as 81.22% accurate interpretation for post-event landslides (Typhoon Kalmaegi), and 70.71% exact predictions for new landslides occurring during Typhoon Kalmaegi.

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 683-691
Author(s):  
G. Kavitha ◽  
S. Anbazhagan ◽  
S. Mani

Landslides are among the most prevalent and harmful hazards. Assessment of landslide susceptibility zonation is an important task in reducing the losses of lifeand properties. The present study aims to demarcate the landslide prone areas along the Vathalmalai Ghat road section (VGR) using remote sensing and GIS techniques. In the first step, the landslide causative factors such as geology, geomorphology, slope, slope aspect, land use / land cover, drainage density, lineament density, road buffer and relative relief were assessed. All the factors were assigned to rank and weight based on the slope stability of the landslide susceptibility zones. Then the thematic maps were integrated using ArcGIS tool and landslide susceptibility zonation was obtained and classified into five categories ; very low, low, moderate, high and very high. The landslide susceptibility map is validated with R-index and landslide inventory data collected from the field using GPS measurement. The distribution of susceptibility zones is ; 16.5% located in very low, 28.70% in low, 24.70% in moderate, 19.90% in high and 10.20% in very high zones. The R-index indicated that about 64% landslide occurences correlated with high to very high landslide susceptiblity zones. The model validation indicated that the method adopted in this study is suitable for landslide disaster mapping and planning.


2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nader Saadatkhah ◽  
Azman Kassim ◽  
Lee Min Lee ◽  
Gambo Haruna Yunusa

Hulu Kelang is a region in Malaysia which is very susceptible to landslides. From 1990 to 2011, a total of 28 major landslide events had been reported in this area. This paper evaluates and compares the probability-frequency ratio (FR), statistical index (Wi), and weighting factor (Wf), used for assessing landslide susceptibility in the study area. Eleven landslide influencing factors were considered in the analyses. These factors included lithology, land cover, curvature, slope inclination, slope aspect, drainage density, elevation, distance to lake and stream, distance to road and trenches and two indices (the stream power index (SPI) and the topographic wetness index (TWI)) found in the area. The accuracy of the maps produced from the three models was verified using a receiver operating characteristics (ROC). The verification results indicated that the probability-frequency ratio (FR) model which was developed quantitatively based on probabilistic analysis of spatial distribution of historical landslide events was capable of producing a more reliable landslide susceptibility map in this study area compared to its other counterparts. About 89% of the landslide locations have been predicted accurately by using the FR map. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed El-Fengour ◽  
Hanifa El Motaki ◽  
Aissa El Bouzidi

This study aimed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Sahla watershed in northern Morocco. Landslides hazard is the most frequent phenomenon in this part of the state due to its mountainous precarious environment. The abundance of rainfall makes this area suffer mass movements led to a notable adverse impact on the nearby settlements and infrastructures. There were 93 identified landslide scars. Landslide inventories were collected from Google Earth image interpretations. They were prepared out of landslide events in the past, and future landslide occurrence was predicted by correlating landslide predisposing factors. In this paper, landslide inventories are divided into two groups, one for landslide training and the other for validation. The Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) is prepared by Logistic Regression (LR) Statistical Method. Lithology, stream density, land use, slope curvature, elevation, topographic wetness index, slope aspect, and slope angle were used as conditioning factors. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was employed to examine the performance of the model. In the analysis, the LR model results in 96% accuracy in the AUC. The LSM consists of the predicted landslide area. Hence it can be used to reduce the potential hazard linked with the landslides in the Sahla watershed area in Rif Mountains in northern Morocco.


2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halil Akıncı ◽  
Ayşe Yavuz Özalp ◽  
Mehmet Özalp ◽  
Sebahat Temuçin Kılıçer ◽  
Cem Kılıçoğlu ◽  
...  

Artvin is one of the provinces in Turkey where landslides occur most frequently. There have been numerous landslides characterized as natural disaster recorded across the province. The areas sensitive to landslides across the province should be identified in order to ensure people's safety, to take the necessary measures for reducing any devastating effects of landslides and to make the right decisions in respect to land use planning. In this study, the landslide susceptibility map of the Central district of Artvin was produced by using Bayesian probability model. Parameters including lithology, altitude, slope, aspect, plan and profile curvatures, soil depth, topographic wetness index, land cover, and proximity to the road and stream were used in landslide susceptibility analysis. The landslide susceptibility map produced in this study was validated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) based on area under curve (AUC) analysis. In addition, control landslide locations were used to validate the results of the landslide susceptibility map and the validation analysis resulted in 94.30% accuracy, a reliable outcome for this map that can be useful for general land use planning in Artvin.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.


Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2609 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunhung Wu

Landslide susceptibility assessment is crucial for mitigating and preventing landslide disasters. Most landslide susceptibility studies have focused on creating landslide susceptibility models for specific rainfall or earthquake events, but landslide susceptibility in the years after specific events are also valuable for further discussion, especially after extreme rainfall events. This research provides a new method to draw an annual landslide susceptibility map in the 5 years after Typhoon Morakot (2009) in the Chishan River watershed in Taiwan. This research establishes four landslide susceptibility models by using four methods and 12 landslide-related factors and selects the model with the optimum performance. This research analyzes landslide evolution in the 5 years after Typhoon Morakot and estimates the average landslide area different ratio (LAD) in upstream, midstream, and downstream of the Chishan River watershed. We combine landslide susceptibility with the model with the highest performance and average annual LAD to draw an annual landslide susceptibility map, and its mean correct ratio ranges from 62.5% to 73.8%.


2019 ◽  
Vol 58 ◽  
pp. 163-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arishma Gadtaula ◽  
Subodh Dhakal

The 2015 Gorkha Earthquake resulted in many other secondary hazards affecting the livelihoods of local people residing in mountainous area. Plenty of earthquake induced landslides and mass movement activities were observed after earthquake. Haku region of Rasuwa was also one of the severely affected areas by co-seismic landslides triggered by the disastrous earthquake. Statistics shows that around 400 families were relocated from Haku Post-earthquake (MoFA, 2015). A total of 101 co-seismic landslides were focused during the study and were verified during the fieldwork in Haku village. The conditioning factors used in this study were slope, aspect, elevation, curvature (plan and profile), landuse, geology and PGA. The conditioning factor maps were prepared in GIS working environment and further analysis was conducted with the assistance of Google earth. This study used Weight of Evidence (WoE), a bivariate statistical model and its performance was assessed. The susceptibility map was further characterized into five different classes namely very low, low, high, medium and very high susceptibility zones. The statistical analysis obtained from the results of the susceptibility map prepared by using WoE model gave the results that maximum area percentage of landslide distribution was observed in medium and high susceptibility classes i.e. 38% and 33% followed by very high (13%), low (10%) and very low classes (5.8%) About 25% of the total landslides are separated to validate the prepared model used in the landslide susceptibility zonation. The overlay method predicts the reliability of the model.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suman Das

<p>Himalayan Terrain is highly susceptible to landslide events triggered by frequent earthquakes and heavy rainfall. In the recent past, cloud burst events are on rising, causing massive loss of life and property, mainly attributed to climate change and extensive anthropogenic activities in the mountain region as experienced in case of 2013 Kedarnath Tragedy. The study aimed to identify the potential landslide hazard zone in Mandakini valley by utilizing different types of data including Survey of India toposheet, geological (lithological and structural) maps, IRS-1D, LISS IV multispectral and PAN satellite sensor data and field observations. Relevant 18 thematic layers pertaining to the causative factors for landslide occurrences, such as slope, aspect, relative relief, lithology, tectonic structures, lineaments, LULC, NDVI, distance to drainage, drainage density and anthropogenic factors like distance to road, have been generated using remote sensing images, field survey, ancillary data and GIS techniques.  A detailed landslide susceptibility map was produced using a logistic regression method with datasets developed in GIS. which has further been categorized into four landslide susceptibility zones from high to very low. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the accuracy of the logistic regression analysis model. ROC curve analysis showing an accuracy of 87.3 % for an independent set of test samples. The result also showed a strong agreement between the distribution of existing landslides and predicted landslide susceptibility zones. Consequently, this study could serve as an effective guide for further land-use planning and for the implementation of development.</p>


2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. L. Zêzere ◽  
E. Reis ◽  
R. Garcia ◽  
S. Oliveira ◽  
M. L. Rodrigues ◽  
...  

Abstract. A general methodology for the probabilistic evaluation of landslide hazard is applied, taking in account both the landslide susceptibility and the instability triggering factors, mainly rainfall. The method is applied in the Fanhões-Trancão test site (north of Lisbon, Portugal) where 100 shallow translational slides were mapped and integrated into a GIS database. For the landslide susceptibility assessment it is assumed that future landslides can be predicted by statistical relationships between past landslides and the spatial data set of the predisposing factors (slope angle, slope aspect, transversal slope profile, lithology, superficial deposits, geomorphology, and land use). Susceptibility is evaluated using algorithms based on statistical/probabilistic analysis (Bayesian model) over unique-condition terrain units in a raster basis. The landslide susceptibility map is prepared by sorting all pixels according to the pixel susceptibility value in descending order. In order to validate the results of the susceptibility ana- lysis, the landslide data set is divided in two parts, using a temporal criterion. The first subset is used for obtaining a prediction image and the second subset is compared with the prediction results for validation. The obtained prediction-rate curve is used for the quantitative interpretation of the initial susceptibility map. Landslides in the study area are triggered by rainfall. The integration of triggering information in hazard assessment includes (i) the definition of thresholds of rainfall (quantity-duration) responsible for past landslide events; (ii) the calculation of the relevant return periods; (iii) the assumption that the same rainfall patterns (quantity/duration) which produced slope instability in the past will produce the same effects in the future (i.e. same types of landslides and same total affected area). The landslide hazard is present as the probability of each pixel to be affected by a slope movement, and results from the coupling between the susceptibility map, the prediction-rate curve, and the return periods of critical rainfall events, on a scenario basis. Using this methodology, different hazard scenarios were assessed, corresponding to different rain paths with different return periods.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.


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